The Report of the Expert Panel on Asylum Seekers contains some threads of a genuine shift from the prevailing framework towards a more regulatory model for responding to asylum seekers.
The panel has abandoned the language of deterrence (in favour of a more nuanced incentives and disincentives approach) and reflected the evidence that people seek asylum in Australia because there are few, if any, feasible alternatives in transit countries.
The panel has recognised that preventative measures to avoid deaths at sea must be adopted at various locations. But the lack of a real timeframe or strategy along side their recommendations makes the next steps rather unclear.
Importantly, the report does not suggest a return to temporary protection visas (although the removal of family reunion is a key plank). The panel has dismissed towing back the boats for now, and they build all recommendations around an increased annual intake of 20,000 in the short term, and 27,000 over the next five years, as well as improving processing capacity in the region.
Also worth highlighting are recommendations to remove mandatory penalties in relation to Indonesian minors and others crewing unlawful boat voyages from Indonesia to Australia; integration of the Humanitarian and Skilled Migration Programs to explore possible opportunities, however small, for irregular arrivals to access skilled migration avenues, and the doubling of funding for a regional cooperation framework jointly managed by DIAC and AusAID.
Finally, The Conversation’s commitment to evidence-based research has been rewarded with a Panel recommendation of $3m per annum for at least two years to establish a research program on asylum and irregular migration to inform future policy direction.
But tangled in those threads are some deeply disturbing proposals.
First and foremost the combination of the Nauru, PNG and Malaysia solution raises significant concerns that cannot be airbrushed over. All three are proposed as transitional arrangements until effective regional processing arrangements can be put in place.
But neither PNG nor Nauru are transit nations, so their role in responding can only be read as punitive. So while the language and framing of the recommendations sought to bury this kind of punishment, they remain for now the centrepiece of the approach.
Offshore processing has been proposed as an interim measure without time limits.
So if the regional arrangements required for a comprehensive and integrated regional program drag on, so will the use of facilities that have proved unpalatable to the Australian public in the past.
Would it be acceptable that people wait one, two or three years for processing? And how long thereafter would they expect to wait for resettlement? Time is critical in influencing decisions not to make dangerous onward irregular journeys – to Australia or elsewhere.
The High Court ruling on Malaysia is not given its due in the report. Instead, various legislative mechanisms to get around the findings have been proposed.
It also takes some time for the report to use the term “human rights”. But human rights are critical in relation to refugee protection and should be given far greater prominence as we track forward into a future likely to come with greater irregular movement in this region.
While the panel sought to stress their recommendations gave “no blank cheque” to legislators, it falls short of what many international and refugee lawyers have called for in ensuring Australia does not breach its international obligations.
That the report itself highlights how few countries in the region are parties to the 1951 Refugee Convention, should be justification enough of the need for Australia to set an example in regional protection and asylum standards.
Large parts of the report are concerned with the long-term regional collaborations required to ensure efficient and effective access to processing in transit countries.
The centrepiece is that those who arrive in Australia by boat should have “no advantage” over those that do not. The problem with this approach is over whom? The report contends those in transit countries.
It is pretty easy to have an advantage over these people – there is no co-ordinated, integrated approach to processing people in Malaysia, Indonesia or Thailand. So this “advantage” is meant to be over rights that actually do not currently exist. In the future this may be the case. But for now there is no advantage gained by coming to Australia by boat. Instead, the journey is the only option weighed against the alternative of decades in legal and social limbo.
The report still includes assumptions which the evidence at least disputes if not rejects.
Family reunion is pitched as a “pull factor”, or incentive, and the Expert Panel Report has recommended its removal. Under these recommendations, any asylum seeker who makes the voyage from Indonesia in the direction of Australia will not have access to family reunion (an aspect widely regarded as a key driver of women and children boarding boats during the TPV era, and of the high proportion of women and children drowned in the SIEV X disaster).
This blanket restriction of family reunion will, at least in the short to intermediate term, see greater numbers of women and children, or entire family groups, on the move. As has been detailed so often in the past six weeks, women and children die in far greater proportions in shipwrecks and drowning incidents.
As the report authors note:
it is impractical for Australia to encourage and support … a regional cooperation framework on asylum and protection issues without an Australian national approach to such issues that enjoys broad-based support and the prospect of sustainability over time.
This statement highlights the inter-dependence of a positive domestic response to matters of asylum, with a comprehensive regional framework.
With actual timeframes and clear strategies for implementation, the threads identified in the report could well be woven into a new approach for asylum seekers that shifts away from deterrence to prevention of deaths at sea. Until then, lives remain at risk.
Fiona McKay
logged in via LinkedIn
The main problem that I see with this report, is that it assumes choice. It assumes that people fleeing their country and coming to Australia have a choice not to do so. In my experience, people who have made it to Australia by boat have done so because they are out of choices - coming to Australia is incredibly dangerous and no person would chose to board a boat, , or chose to send their son to Australia by boat, if there was another option. We need to stop assuming that people in the most desperate and vulnerable situations have any choices left.
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Sad stuff this. I don't think I've ever seen three men look so uncomfortable and compromised delivering their "solution". Not much to be proud of in this political fix. Something for everyone - at best a clever wedge on Abbott - and we are still stuck back on "sending messages" via razor wire and breaching our international obligations ...
2 out of 10, Julia. Don't settle for this. It is not a solution.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
International obligation do not trump our own laws and it is illegal under our laws to arrive in Australia without a valid passport and visa.....end of subject.
If you arrive unanounced and uninvited then you can hardly expect VIP treatement.
If they don't like this treatment then it is just tough titties. They can always elect to be returned and try again through an official UN camp.
Paul Pagani
Teacher
These sentiments remind me of the St Louis. Tough titties - back to your concentration camps. The b*stards should have had visas. End of story.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
You are assuming that all of them are genuine refugees which has been proven not to be the case given the Captain Emad saga detailed in the Four Corners Report.
If they are merely economic refugees then yes, they can go back to where they came from and there places can be taken by REAL refugees from official UN camps.
Peter Hindrup
consultant
That people leave their country and launch out into the unknown, with no certain destination, no certainty of there being a destination, ought to indicate that it is an option of a last, desperate resort. To assume that fear of hardship or fear of death will deter them is irrational — it is certain death by violence or starvation from which they flee.
For Australia to setup off-shore processing, Australia with its vast, perhaps unparalleled amount of space, to inflict our international responsibilities…
Read moreJan Whitaker MACS (Snr) CP
logged in via LinkedIn
I found the 'no advantage' comment to be odd as well. My first thought was: are they comparing to the advantages realised by those who arrive by plane? Will those who have arrived by plane (without a correct visa of course) also going to be denied family reunion? Put in detention? Tracked? Vilified?
My heart went out to those Sri Lankan fellows on Lateline last night. That situation is a disgraceful 'star chamber' of ASIO.
Finally, listen to the Scott Morrison comments carefully. If there was a way to put a literal fence around the country, that man would sign the contract to build it.
Dalit Prawasi
Auditor, Accountant, Trade Teacher
Hon Sen Scott Morrison is right. All countries have a fence around them by claiming to be a sovereign state. Some countries have and had real walls: Israel and China (great wall) are examples.ASIO has to fix inefficiencies of Australian Security Intelligence Service (ASIS). The ASIO has to make sure no individusl or a group is not a threat to Australia and its wider population that is not covered by State or the Federal Police. These alleged Tamil terrorists who were trained, armed and managed by another powerful country's intelligence service the Third Eye is a concern for the locals.They may have pulled the trigger or pressed the button that let a bomb go off killing civillians in their original habitat. These refugees and asylum seekers as soon as they got their PPPPRRRR they are off back to awful place bring spouses with massive dowries.
Jonathon Field
PHD candidate
Thank you for this article.
Australians’ seem to misunderstand or ignore their past, forgetting that we turned back the boats in WWII or forgetting our recent white Australia policy. It is time for Australia to mature and step up to our collective humanitarian and legal responsibilities. While it is too glib to say we get the politicians we deserve, we do not have to accept their partisan party politics. Perhaps Mr Abbott needs to reflect on the leadership shown by Mr. Fraser in the aftermath of the American war on Vietnam and Ms Gillard to shake off the ghosts of her party’s all to recent support (1970’s) of the white Australia policy.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
1) I hope the government will proportionall reduce the skilled immigrant intake to compensate for the increase in humanitarian intake - we don't want to return to the Rudd era with his 'big Australia' and excessive immigration intake.
2) What a load of crap from 'Chris Bowen' I think it was. "We have to have a soft heart but a hard had". Talk about trying to send mixed messages to prsopective boat refugees. Naturally they will choose the "soft heart" part of the message and continue on down to Australia. What an imbecile!
It is one or the other. Either you open the northern borders and let them flood in with a soft heart. Or you close the northern borders and get rid of them as fast as they arrive with no exceptions.
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
But the law of the world says all borders must be open to refugees.
Imagine if every country decided to close them.
Wait, we did that already in 1938 and it didn't work out too well.
Ben Heard
Director, ThinkClimate Consulting
Well, we could list all the "laws of the world" that are either poorly applied or completely ignored by a lot of nations. That would take a while.
Or, we could do our elected members a favour by acknowledging that decisions of such complexity in a world that is decidedly imperfect are incredibly difficult and involve really challenging moral compromises. This might free them up to make good decisions instead of just sounding off to the electorate.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
If you want to help them Marlyn then advocate for global fertility reduction and population reduction with subsequent control.
Nothing will solve all these all these terrible problems more effectively than a substantially smaller global population!
Seeking to fix them through immigration to Australia is short sighted and naive in the extreme.
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
Well Ben, you better dig up Eleanor Roosevelt and Bob Menzies and tell them.
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
I have been suggesting we send in the pill to Africa and other countries where there is so much poverty and starvation since 1965.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Then we are in agreement on this at least.
It still does not change the fact that immigration to Australia is not a signficant part of the solution to Africa's problems.
Andrew Wakeling
Actuary
It would be srely be more honest for us now to withdraw from the 1951 UNHCR Refugee Convention and make explicit our refusal to properly process asylum requests from those arriving in Australia by whatever means.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Agree. The 1951 UNHCR Refugee Convention is now being exploited by economic refugees and was not designed to be able to distinguish between them and political refugees.
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
You have not a trace of evidence to prove that those who come by sea are doing that though.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
And YOU don't have a shred of evidence that all refugees are purely fleeing political persecution.
Captain Emad was certainly not fleeing political persecution!
How many jewelry store did he own in Malaysia?????????
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
There is significant evidence actually Greg, take a look at the numbers being accepted as genuine refugees. They have background checks which at present can take up to several years to verify their stories before they are accepted. Mistakes do get made, I am unsure but it may be possible that you have made one before in your life. Was that an acceptable thing or should all people stop making errors today or face your wrath.
The many problems of the world are complex, as Mark Harrigan explains so well below. Yelling about the most simplistic view of an issue does not make you right. You should also remember that everything you hear on the commercial news and on shock jock radio is not always true, sometimes they throw some razzle dazzle in to up the ratings and get people angry.
Maybe try to relax a little and look through some facts, dept of immigration has numerous white papers as do numerous other organisations working in this field.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
I despise the shock jocks Kurt and do not listen to them.
My position on immigration is informed by my position on population and ecological sustainability in Australia.
The shock jocks do not factor into my position on immigration!
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
I have made only a couple of points on ecological sustainability but I think it is enough to show that population is not the real issue, its mismanagement. The depts of sustainability and environment around the country have numerous documents showing that we should be doing exactly the opposite of what our policy makers are doing, unfortunately the opinion of mass media is more important the the knowledge of our leading scientists.
I know someone who worked on the water plan for Vic, they weren't quite sure where the part proposing the desalination plant came from, but one day there it was stuck to the back of their report as the number one recommendation. It was the most expensive option and provided a fraction of the water of numerous other options. But it sure does sound cool and provides good hard hat photo ops.
Its sad how our policy gets made, its to the detriment of all but a few.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Well then Kurt I can only conclude that you are poorly science educated and have little or no understanding of ecological sustainability and population dynamics if you still maintain your view that population size is not an issue with sustainability.
Only non-scientists maintain such a view!
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
I am assuming this is an area of science you are well versed in and you can point me to a number of studies illustrating your point. I am always happy to be proven wrong.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Apart from the rudimentary mathematics Kurt!
http://www.unfpa.org/6billion/populationissues/development.htm
http://dieoff.org/page112.htm
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=population-and-sustainability
If you really want understand how population and sustainability specifically relates to the Australian continent then you would do well to read Tim Flannery's "The Future Eaters".
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
These are good articles and its a good book. I suppose here again I am wondering about relevance to the Australian situation and refugees. Slowing the migration / humanitarian intake does nothing for global population growth or sustainability. Improving sustainability in Australia can serve as an example to the rest of the world and help to reduce consumption and improve sustainability.
This is a situation where wanting less people is not going to make it happen, the people exist, we need policies that deal with this fact logically. Australia does support some family planning programs in the third world, they aren't going to take effect overnight. From all the evidence I've ever seen the best place to put resources is in the emancipation and education of women if you want to reduce birth rates. Having people in Australia, where they receive opportunity and education is likely to reduce the number of children born to those people, reducing overall population growth.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Kurt the problem is no doubt due to the fact that you are viewing the problem from a VERY narrow perspective. Widen your view and look at the big picture.
Zero net population growth in Australia has nothing to do with global sustainability. But it has everything to do with ensuring that with ensuring that Australia does not become an environmental and human infested sess pit like much of the rest of the world. This also sets an example to the rest of the world that zero net population growth at…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Now to address your continued exasperating questioning of the link between population and consumption. It just blows me away that you cannot see the bleeding obvious!
We will do some remedial mathematics on the issue by means of an metaphor that you surely cannot fail to ‘get’.
Consider a water tank containing 10000L of water and an average daily inflow of 1000L.
10 People live off this water tank and consume, on average, 100L per day. That includes washing, cooking and cleaning etc…
Read moreMark Harrigan
Dr
Greg, you seem so very sure of your opinions and conclusions in this matter. And you make many didactic claims. But you offer no evidence to support them.
Let's deal with water.
Perhaps you should look at some facts? http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Lookup/CAE301277A675941CA257956000E646E?opendocument
http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/41362.html
Both these sources of information show there is ample support for Kurt's approach.
Finally - to debunk you analogy.
Water cannot…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Well we have already seen, in a Four Corners, report that one of the review panels in the immigration department is little more than a rubber stamp for assylum seekers because they fear being criticised.
I don't have complete confidence in the assessment process and that arrivals deemed genuine refugees by default simply because the department is unable gather adequate evidence or they are accepting evidence from unreliable sources e.g. friends and family.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Mark, no amount of evidence will convince you if you simply do not want to be convinced.
Population deniers are little different to climate deniers on that score.
It matters little that water is not destroyed Mark.
The only thing that matters is if collective consumption exceeds the rate of replenishment.
If it does then the water supply will eventually be exhausted ad we all die, including the refugees your were trying to help.
With the benefits of science education such ecological concepts a just plain common sense and abundant evidence is not hard to find.
So again, I can only conclude that you have little or no science education and therefore your views lack any credibility as is the case with any scientific matters.
One might as well ask the local plumber his opinions on audio amplifier design.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Greg, offering ad-hominem style arguments is both offensive and illogical. In effect you are saying I must be wrong because I have no science training?
Laughable. I have a PhD in Physics - I think my science training is pretty good.
In any event the question is to be decided on the evidence. Not assertions. I have offered some, you have offered none.
I do not doubt that the management of water is a problem. But I have pointed to factual sources to indicate that this, along woith other resources issues, is a flimsy case for arguing against refugee intake/assylum seeker acceptance
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Lookup/CAE301277A675941CA257956000E646E?opendocument
Your vision is SOOOO narrow and short term.
So based on this you build Australia's population to 80 million on the back of humanitarian immigration in a grandiose act of compassion.
Then the next 10-20 year drought hits. Probably after you are dead and buried.
Parts of the east coast came close to running out of water with our present population during the last drought.
What the hell do you think will happen with a population of 80 million.
What is your motivation for throwing caution to the wind and allowing the refugees and other categories to flood in?
Is it building your stairway to heaven? Earning public kudos? Simply being contrarian?
Democracy is certainly a double edged sword!
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
If you are physicist then I find it very hard to believe that YOU believe that population size has no baring on water supplies or sustainability in general.
In which case you are simply being contrarian.
So tell me Mark do you honestly believe that my metaphor has absolutely no relevance to environmental sustainability in Australia in particular and the world in general?
The ecological concept of population sustainability as determined by resource consumption versus replenishment is as much…
Read moreMark Harrigan
Dr
Greg - I can see you are not worth having a sensible discussion with.
So far you have used ad-hominem, emotive language, reductio ad absurdum, and bad analogy.
Not to mention ascribing statements to me I have not made.
That's a pretty extensive use of the standrad dishonest tricks of argument http://www.hebrew4christians.com/Clear_Thinking/Informal_Fallacies/Tricks/tricks.html
Perhaps you also need to read and understand your own links?
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
1+1=2, running a bank account, running an economy, running a physics lab..........
Nothing can be sustained indefinitely if the out goings exceed the in comings.
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
The story on Captain Emad was a hoax. God you are ridiculous.
He only helped his family to safety and it took years to do it.
What is the crime in that.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Greg, you claim we don't understand science but you are not using science to counter the argument, you are using a rather extreme metaphore. Using your metaphore, what is actually happening in the refugee debate is:
Read moreLets start with your 10 people on the island. To make it at all sensible I will need to include our entire migrant intake as planned by our govt at present, 190,000, but I'll need to increase that further for it to really be workable in your metaphore. So, in this metaphore let us say…
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
I resort to ad hominem in frustration when it becomes obvious to me that know amount a rational discussion or evidence will convince a combatant who simply does not want to be convinced.
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=population-and-sustainability
Mark the key word with this was SHORT TERM. Reducing individual consumption is a short term measure to reduce environmental impact.......and GOOD LUCK with that. I have little confidence that it can be acheived to any signficant…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
So the American CIA recognizes that expanding populations can and do contribute to political instability and violence.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
What have you been reading? Citizens Electoral Council rubbish or something?????
Captain Emad was the subject of a Four Corner report.
I trust what they say about the subject far more than the crap you have obviously been reading.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Greg, can you detail the practical steps in your population control and reduction plan globally. Both Mark and I have explained how population control occurs naturally through increased socio economics, something that is actually occurring in the real world now. I have also explained how more sustainable practices can assist in the progress to better socio economic standing. I also mentioned early on that family planning in the third world is a positive step that western NGOs are working on.
The facts are not in dispute, the simplistic argument that this single cause leads directly the destruction of the world is. The issues are complex as I have stated numerous times but you have not made any suggestion of a practical solution. In fact population control is a small part, and an effect of, the solutions the people you are insinuating are stupid are suggesting.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
We are at or over the ecological limits of the planet now with scientific reports flooding in about peak fish, peak food and peak oil etc.
It may simply not be possible to develop the third world in the hope that there fertility will drop sufficiently to avoid a population crash due to wide spread war, famine, disease and starvation.
Even if the west halved its average consumption I have serious doubts that the increased surplus would go very far at all among the conservatively expected 9 billion by 2050.
It is not the destruction of the world that I fear Kurt. Life will go on one way or another. But western liberal technological civilisation will not necessarily go on and a fear very much what will be in its place for my children.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
And it is also questioned by some whether 'development' will always lead to adequate fertility reduction:
http://www.popcouncil.org/pdfs/wp/pgy/007.pdf
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Once again Greg, I do not see a solution in your answer. Population in this debate, to me, is like saying that heat is the problem in the Climate Change debate. Its a symptom, not the cause. The solution you keep mentioning is to keep Australia's population stagnant, but the issues you mention are global, peak oil, peak fish etc. What is your solution to this issue globally? Or, do you believe that if Australia's population remains stagnant we will not be effected by peak oil, peak fish etc?
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
QUOTE
Read moreLets start with your 10 people on the island. To make it at all sensible I will need to include our entire migrant intake as planned by our govt at present, 190,000, but I'll need to increase that further for it to really be workable in your metaphore. So, in this metaphore let us say we will increase our migrant intake to 1,000,000 per year, a figure suggested by no one. Under this new assumption, your island would get 1 new person per year rather than increasing the number of persons on…
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Interesting isn't it... this posturing about population, sustainability and western liberal technological civilisation?
Underneath this fig leaf of concern for the planet is nothing more than jingoistic nationalism - the delusion of going it alone - a rejection of notions like liberalism, humanism and democracy ... suspicion of the foreigners and those who assess their claims of persecution... conspiracies abound under every bush.
Methinks I'm watching Ms Hanson's dance of the seven veils here.
How curious that sustainability should become a code for Our Way of Life and fending off the world. Deep madness.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Yes, I made an error in my maths, I am trying to work and doing this quite quickly on the side. Thought of a sensible solution yet, or would you prefer to just attack me.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Actually Greg, would you care to correct my maths or adjust your metaphor to reality?
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Just as I regard the poverty and hardship that you seek to solve as being a symptom of over population.
The first step is to get people like you to concede that over population is one cause of the world 's problems that must be directly addressed and not merely ignored as a symptom.
Then perhaps we can both sit down and discuss how we might be able to approach BOTH the problems of over population and development TOGETHER and not in isolation.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Done. It is a symtom and a cause of numerous inter-related issues of this planet. I have made several suggestions of ways to work towards dealing with these issues as have others. Stopping migration to Australia is not one of them as it seems to be so completely unrelated to global sustainability. I pose my earlier question again. What is your solution to this issue globally? Or, do you believe that if Australia's population remains stagnant we will not be effected by peak oil, peak fish etc?
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Kurt, you are missing the point - this fella knows nothing about such matters and cares even less. This is about Us ... our way of life... our standard of living - being eroded and diluted by letting a whole swag of foreigners in here to eat everything and make us live in little apartments.
That is all he cares about.
Nothing to do with sustainability, nothing to do with resources, nothing to do with the rest of the world - it's just US and going it alone.... puling up the drawbridge and fortifying ourselves against the rest of the planet.
Pauline Hanson in an Indian skirt.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Thanks Peter, I am aware, I have encountered these population scare mongers before. The sad thing is I am sure that he is fully aware that his argument for a small Australia based on sustainability is rubbish, but there are many impressionable folks out there who will listen to this and start to believe.
I worry about this type of argument taking hold, as the many non-white migrants who help to make this country great will be the ones affected in the end; at the present time the muslim community feel it more than any other. I am feeling, now more than ever, that the ignorant, fearful and intolerant are being encouraged and brought out by our opposition leader. I will continue to attack their arguments when I have the time.
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
OK Kurt ... as long as you know what you're dealing with.
I've found a few of these characters lurking about in the undergrowth - using the jargon of environmental concern to mask their hateful ideology. It can bne quite interesting to draw them out and exhibit their underlying bigotry and the consequences of their superficially "concerned" posturing and remedies.
Doesn't take long to get to the deeply irrational and ignorant substrate beneath it all - at least not with this bloke anyway. Some of them are cleverer than others though.
Don't let him upset you.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Thanks Kurt and Peter.
Greg simply refuses to admit that his concerns are global, not merely local. He won't admit to using them as an excuse for anti-assylum seeker bigotry because that would expose his prejudice.
There is no evidence from Greg (or that exists I suggest) that simply drawing up the walls of Fortress Australia will have any impact on the legitmate global problems of over consumption of non-renewable resources.
The best way to lachieve a goal of a global human populace not…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Ohhhh of course......the thinly veiled racist slur.
Speaking of ad hominem attacks!
You are not the first person to accuse me of being a racist, a nazi, a genocidal maniac, blah blah blah!
Don't bother Peter. Your slur is falling on deaf ears and you WILL NOT deflect me from my purpose.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Well actually I am curious to see how you are going to use statistics to minimise and rationalise the reality of it.
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Nothing thinly veiled Greg - straight up racist and nationalistic flag waver... nothing about nazi or fascist though. Just an ugly racist viewpoint pretending to care about sustainability and population growth. About which you know or care nothing, Greg.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Kurt we are a world of nation states at present.
Australia has little power to force other countries to do anything about their populations.
But we have absolute power to set our own environmental / population affairs in order in our own country.
And set an example on the world stage in the process.
We should stop dithering and denying reality and do so ASAP.
Just maybe other governments will see the wisdom in it and start preparing their people for the same reality.
On the world…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
So what is your solution Peter. Allow the hordes to flood in and turn Australia into a sess pit like other over populated parts of the world.
Would you care to enlighten us as to exactly how this would help the large and growing problem of global poverty Peter!
And you are dead right Peter.
I am concerned about the effect mass immigration will have on Australia's standard of living.
But the concern is not for myself because I will likely be dead and gone long before the $hit hits the fan.
My concern is reserved for the fate of my children and their children.
Do future Australians factor into you agenda Peter?
If not then I reckon you are a selfish #### hell bent of short term moral or religious gratification and no empathy for those Australians who come after you.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
And you are and ignorant moron incapable of considering the long term implications of what you advocate nor comprehending the scale of the problem or that your chosen strategy will have little or no impact on the problem you seek to solve either in the short term or the long term!
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
And where is YOUR evidence that:
1) There are sufficient resources left, particularly oil, to raise all of the third world to western living standards.
2) That doing so will reduce the global population before the tipping point is reached
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
What do you understand by "tipping point" Greg?
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
I happen to agree that a zero net population growth policy in Australia will do little in the short term to address the global over population or sustainability problems......apart from setting an example and providing a secure future for our children and future generations.
But you need to concede that increasing australia's immigration intake to even 100,000 per year will have little effect on global poverty now and negligeable effect on it by 2050 if the predictions of 9 billion or more population come true.
So, if it will have little or no impact, then why do it and risk damaging the prospects of our children and future generations?
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Population Vs Nature - Civilization Tipping Point
http://rense.com/general92/civ.htm
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Population Vs Nature - Civilization Tipping Point
http://rense.com/general92/civ.htm
Have you read the latest archaelogical evidence for a civilisation collapse on easter island due to over population?
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Hi Greg, the mathematics argument is yours, I am just pointing out that in your metaphor there is a an incredibly large increase in a short period of time. A metaphor should reflect the reality you are trying to explain by using it. Your metaphor is extremely exaggerated in relation to the issus you are trying to explain and therefore a poor metaphor IMHO.
Perhaps, mainly because you are far more intelligent than the rest of us here in the forum you could redo your model on the island to reflect a similar ratio as we would see with an increase of 20,000 per year for a population of 22 million. Or perhaps this would be too small to be logical in the model, lets do it on 200,000 increase for the 22 million. I wonder if it would lead to the same disastrous result, I can't figure it out myself.
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Ah Frosty Wooldridge!
Excellent source - a ratbag anti-immigration activist from the USA ....
Have a look at that reference above folks, it's a hoot, then find out more about him here: http://www.splcenter.org/get-informed/intelligence-report/browse-all-issues/2005/winter/the-nativists-0?page=0,18
That explains everything Greg. Deeply racist hate-filled stuff dressed up as environmentalism.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Kurt it is a metaphore that was not meant to be taken literally.
I have simply used it in an attempt to get you to understand a self evident mathematical reality that cannot be denied.
I.E.That consumption reduction cannot indifinitely postpone population management.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Kurt IT DOES NOT MATTER precisely what numbers are used in this metaphore.
The self evident mathematical fact remains.
The only variable is time - how long it takes for a given resource to be exhausted.
And that is dependant on 4 things: the population size, average individual consumption, the standing size of the resource and the rate of replenishment of that resources if it is renewable within a human life time..
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Metaphor! It's a bloody Metaphor!
Not a bloody Metaphore, or a Mettaphore, or a Mettafaw or a Metterfore.
Why can't these ignoramuses spell? It's because they don't reed nuffink.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Peter Ormand.
1) You clearly have no comprehension as to what racism really is.
2) You read like one of those Citizens Electoral Council nut jobs. You're not a member are you?
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Ormonde ... no "a" ... and a very important "e" ... we don't talk about the one's without the e.
Like lanscaper - what you ses you is - has a "d" in it innit?
Stroof!
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
If its a mathematical fact as you put it the the value of the variables does indeed matter Greg, I thought I was the one who was bad at maths. Come on please, redo the calculation in your metaphor based on a numbers that would more closely meet reality.
Or have you done them already and realised just how well it destroys your own argument. I hate it when reality gets in the way of a good story. Sorry to be a spoiler for you Greg, but you have called everyone in here stupid and on numerous occasions have provided evidence directly against your small australia / sustainability argument.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Mark, you have offered me no evidence that consumption reduction alone will save our civilisation.
Or that development of the third will bring about sustained fertility reduction.
Or that there are sufficient resources left to bring sustained development to the entire third world at a price they can afford.
Just your say so and the say so of other like minded ideologs
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
You sound angry Peter.
Better go and have a bex and a lie down LOL :-)
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Not angry ... disgusted.
And to fink you got on an honours list with your degree ... wiff spellin like dat!
Your website's full of spellin errahs Greg. Get someone what can fix it.
Just goes to show the difrance tween trainin an edjerkashun donit.
Read more Greg. There is nothing simple about these issues. Read more then come back if you still agree with the likes of Woodridge and his attacks on US immigration. Deep trash Greg.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Actually Greg, I am going to have another crack at that maths thing, as you said, it doesn't matter precisely what numbers are used. I am going to try and keep it simple as I am not as clever as you, so lets just add the 4 variables together. So if I remember my algebra correctly we can do something like this.
a + b + c + d
and we'll do 2 test cases.
a = 1
b = 2
c = 3
d = 4
and the second one
a = 5
b = 6
c = 7
d = 8
For the first one I get 10, how did I do? Not well obviously as you said that the numbers in the variables don't matter and I get 26, I don't think that equals 10. You must be really good at the maths thing to make it so the numbers don't matter. Go on, please redo your metaphor so those of us who struggle with these things can understand. We can't all be so clever.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Actually Greg, I just had a horrible thought, could it be that because of your gift of incredible intelligence, you thought that if you made some wildly exaggerated claim as to population growth rates in your metaphor, all of us lesser people would not realise that you were continuing to attempt to scare us with misinformation to further push your xenophobic agenda.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
It is pretty clear to me that you, Peter and Mark are not remotely interested objectively looking at evidence or mathematics and potentiually changing your minds.
You are no different to the climate change denier ideologs who will rationalise, manipulate scientific data, select only favourable scientific data,.........
So I don't think I will waste my time setting up another example that might make it easier for you to misrepresent.
The simple example is there on public record for all to read and consider regardless of what you think and say about it.
I will content myself with that!
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
There is only about 4 of you on this ideology driven band wagon and I am really not remotely concerned about your slurs and accusations.
I will leave it for the silent majority to judge.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
I have made 4 enemies is this thread. But I also make many friends. So :-P
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Greg, you assert that it is we who "who will rationalise, manipulate scientific data, select only favourable scientific data", however I am not sure where this occurs in this forum. However you do this regularly. When it was pointed out that "we will need to radically reduce individuals’ footprint" and "the principle of equity: in order to achieve economic and environmental goals, social goals" were solutions to this issue in your own links you railed against it stating that this is only a short…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Kurt I acknowledge that economic development has reduced fertility to some extent in many cases, but I have also seen instances where it is questioned whether this is in all cases reliable or whether tti can be sustained purely through economic development alone.
This for example: http://www.colorado.edu/ibs/events/flyers/pop_070222_Foster_paper.pdf
And given the problems we are already having with 'peak everything' you are making the assumption that it will be possible to raise the entire…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
The only variable in question is how long it will take for the tank to run dry and for everyone to die.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
And Kurt you are conveniently ignoring my point that mass immigration to Australia will neither solve world poverty or world sustainability, or even have a signficant impact on them.
But adopting a policy of zero net population growth, along with other measures to cope with peak everything, WILL acheive sustainaility in Australia for future generations.
Why, in an act of compassion to those that are to come after us, shouldn't we do this?
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Not ignoring it Greg but as you said yourself "Australia will be effected by peak everything to some some extent". I just don't agree that locking ourselves up will help us, I think that is just sticking our heads in the sand. I do think and I think there is strong evidence and sound theory of how assisting the rest of the world will help Australia and the world avoid the worst of what could come.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
You cliche terms of 'locking ourselves away' and 'fortress Australia' are similarly designed to scare people away from the idea of zero net population growth and are in no way accurate.
Because a policy of zero net population growth does not mean zero immigration intake or zero foreign aid or no reduction in Australian consumption or no improvements in energy efficiency.
Bruce Waddell
logged in via LinkedIn
Like many fellow commentators I join with them in pronouncing this is a sad solution for a country that is supposedly mature in its response. Whatever we do next if it is based on this "solution" it is a mismatch with wholesome behaviour toward the vulnerable.
The only thing I see in its favour is that it was a clever wedge to put an end to a deadlocked parliament.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Bruce, the problem is there are a few hundred million more very sad cases in the third world.
But the cold hard fact is that they can't all come to Australia and it is just tough titties.
Increase foreign aid and increase family planning but don't bring them all here and don't allow them to come here illegally.
The currently very small problem Australia has with illegal arrivals is the thin end of a VERY LARGE wedge.
And by the way Bruce have you consulted you grand children as to whether they understand the consequences of a massive increase in refugee intake and whether they are happy about?
Bruce Waddell
logged in via LinkedIn
Agreed, Australia presumably offers a better life to newcomers than many others. Without consulting my grandchildren I appreciate your view that Australia would become intolerable if all transient peoples could come.
However the majority of Australian people are of other than the indigenous genetic races. Currently >26% were born elsewhere but this is small in comparison with Singapore >40%.http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Products/A6B6AC80B29DE8F3CA2578B000119758?opendocument
So accepting different races is no bad thing which brings me back to my point regarding the use of the wedge. Labor could not be seen to give into the Coalition. Appointing Houston was to blindside the Libs/Nats intransigence to alternatives. That's what I saw anyway from this move. It remains a sad response because it lacks understanding of statelessness.
Comment removed by moderator.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
QUOTE
So accepting different races is no bad thing which brings me back to my point regarding the use of the wedge. Labor could not be seen to give into the Coalition. Appointing Houston was to blindside the Libs/Nats intransigence to alternatives. That's what I saw anyway from this move. It remains a sad response because it lacks understanding of statelessness.
END QUOTE
Bruce I do have additional concerns concerning the direct effects on social harmony, economics and political stability with respect to large immigration intakes.
But my primary concerns are ecological sustainability which will also dramatically effect all of the above if our ecological limits are exceeded much more than they already have been.
And in both cases my concerns are not focused on any particular religion or ethnicity.
The fact that a signficant proportion of Australians are not of anglo-saxon background is utterly irrelevant to this discussion.
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
What concerns me Greg is the implication that we can somehow limit our population here and maintain our comfortable lifestyles while the rest of the planet's population continues to grow.
This idea that we can insulate ourselves from a global catastrophe of overpopulation and the associated resource depletion is fanciful.
How would we do it? How would we become the world's largest gated community? Razor wire the beaches? Shut down the airports?
We are a big island Greg but we live on - and depend on - the planet as a whole. We're all in this together I think.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
QUOTE
Greg, the migration program is 190,000 yer annum, why would increasing the refugee program to 20,000 have any consequence on anything at all.
END QUOTE
Our annual immigration intake is already something like 100,000 to many so adding another 20,000 will go a long way towards returning us to Rudd's 'big Australia' agenda.
There are just too many 'human beings' in need of help Marlyn. Far too many for Australia to help. We do not have the water supplies or the soils to sustain a large population.
So you may as well give up your grandiose plans for Australia to be the saviour of the third world.
And by the way Marlyn, my two children, our grand children and future generations of Australians are also human beings.
Have you stopped to consider them with respect to your vision of saving the third world?????????
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
I'm thinking along the lines of mixomitosis myself - via aerial spray and baby formula - that'll sort 'em for a bit. And I've put all my superannuation into a small company that valiantly presses out razor wire by the kilometer. The future's looking just rosey.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Greg, at present we flush 90% of our water down the toilet or down the drain, our inability to effectively manage our resources is in no way related to the number of people in the country. This incredible inefficiency is poor policy of successive govt's. Our water target is 155L pp, many European countries who dwarf us in their annual rain fall per sq km use less than 50L pp.
We are also moving city borders into our best farmland to create more McMansions for the middle class, but at the same…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
"Greg, at present we flush 90% of our water down the toilet or down the drain, our inability to effectively manage our resources is in no way related to the number of people in the country. This incredible inefficiency is poor policy of successive govt's. Our water target is 155L pp, many European countries who dwarf us in their annual rain fall per sq km use less than 50L pp."
Oh Kurt! Perhaps one day you foolish naive people will understand that consumption levels cannot be considered independantly…
Read moreKurt Foster
Small Business Owner
This is another issue that does annoy me.
"the majority of Australians may not agree with you that living in high rise dog boxes is an acceptible standard of living. I certainly don't!"
These aren't the only two options. I don't want to live in an apartment either, I quite like having a backyard, although mine is quite small. This is another area where the polarising argument of "I'm not living in a box" vs "we can't release any new land", means that sensible policy can not come to the fore…
Read moreKurt Foster
Small Business Owner
And just to clarify on the heater comment as I am sure many will think I am a stupid hippy who wants to sit around in his jumper and 5 layers of blankets. Actually, I know someone who has built their house properly, it was more expensive initially but the house paid off the extra expenditure over about 5 years in reduced running costs, and there is better tech out there now that could be used.
The house ranges between 21 and 23 degrees inside the whole year round, with no heater or airconditioner…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Kurt I neither want to see people forced (financially) to live in high rise or low rise dog boxes AND nor do I want to see more urban sprawl.
The solution is very clearly zero net population growth with the immigration intake adjusted up and down every 5 years or what ever to take account of natural increase over that period.
Baby bonuses abolished entirely, or at least only claimable for the first 2 children.
"Just another small point on the population vs ecology debate. If we don't have…
Read moreJoe Gartner
Tilter
1st rule of posting: never reply to anyone who uses more than 5 question marks at a time. It's like starving a bear, it just makes them salivate more.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Thanks Johanne, good suggestion, also your comment sparked a light bulb over my head.
We can't get good policy in our country as our politicians are pandering to the ignorant, fearful and intolerant, many western countries face the same issue. Many of the refugees are fleeing countries where the ignorant, fearful and intolerant have taken charge quite violently, eg the Taliban. Maybe instead of swapping refugees with Malaysia, lets swap them straight with the original countries. We can take our ignorant, fearful and intolerant and trade them for decent people who are being persecuted. Then all the ignorant, fearful and intolerant can play unhappily together and fight and fuss where they are and the rest of us can live sensibly.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
We have an answer for them don't we Bruce.
Accept fertility control and reduce your population and the number of kids each couple have and their prospects will improve with our continuing help and generosity.
If they don't accept this help then they can stay as they are!
At any rate I seriously doubt that many third world woman at least would refuse help with fertility reduction. I doubt that many of them at all enjoy spending the greater part of their live pregnant and caring for a continuous stream of children.
Michael Vagg
Clinical Senior Lecturer at Deakin University School of Medicine & Pain Specialist at Barwon Health
It seems both sides of politics have chosen a strategy of selectively living up to our international obligations on humanitarian issues while embracing unilateralism in our military obligations. There is no international legal obligation for us to have been in either Iraq or Afghanistan, but we are still there. The cost in lives and military spending we have incurred 'living up to our obligations' is puny compared to the costs we have incurred in avoiding our international humanitarian legal obligations. What a sad day for our country..
Ben Heard
Director, ThinkClimate Consulting
The headline does the panel a disservice, as does the article which poorly supports the headline.
The panel is to be congratulated.
The report tells all three major parties that key positions they hold are wrong. No we cannot take them to Malaysia. No we cannot tow them out to see. No we cannot continue with on-shore processing. The first two are more self-evidently stupid and inhumane IMO, so I will focus on the third, which is really addressing the Greens.
Continuing to pretend the rate…
Read moreRussell Hamilton
Librarian
"not ad hoc acceptance of anyone who survives the journey by boat"
which you know is not true - to be accepted they have to be assessed as genuine refugees.
Robert Jones
Retired
Well said.
Comment removed by moderator.
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
Have a look around the world at refugees. Is there some orderly process happening in Syria for example?
What about Pakistan or Iran or Iraq.
Anywhere?
We treat refugees like migrants who can go home to safety if they choose.
Ben Heard
Director, ThinkClimate Consulting
Gladly acknowledge this correction, my intent was not to infer that the need of these arrivals is not genuine.
Ben Heard
Director, ThinkClimate Consulting
Yeah... you know Marilyn, when people respond with that type of vitriol, I am pretty sure it is because they have found what I have said to be disconcertingly logical yet contrary to a long held position of theirs. It's known as cognitive dissonance and it can bring out the worst in people.
I know little about refugee law. I am pretty sure the same cannot be said of this panel of three independent experts and my comment is based on their recommendations. Between you and them, I am quietly confident in deferring to them.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Whether or not they can go home in safety is ultimately irrelevant, and to be perfectly blunt I don't care.
The fact remains that a few hundred million refugees around the world cannot come to Australia for safety. That would make Australia much like that which they seek to escape from and help none of us!
The 20,000 who will be granted citizenship are the thin end of a bl00dy enormous wedge and a line HAS to be draw regardless of the sad stories.
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
They don't know about refugee law. If they did they would not make any of the stupid suggestions because they completely ignored refugee law in their dumb ignorant report.
There is no such thing as an advantage test for refugees, they are refugees with the same well founded fear of persecution who are too afraid to go home.
We don't apply the same ridiculous nonsense on migrants, tourists, students or anyone who flies here or sails on a cruise liner or around the world yacht.
Only to one small group of people in the world.
It's ridiculous.
And if you think I am being vitriolic yet you claim you know nothing about refugee law why are you even commenting?
I worked on most of the major legal cases in this country in the last decade, I do know what I am talking about and so does Sharon Pickering.
You don't so either shut up or go and learn the law and get back to us.
It's incredibly simple - everyone has the right to seek asylum.
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
No-one has ever said that a few hundred million people can or would want to come here so you rant is ridiculous.
20,000 - there are 3 million refugees in Pakistan currently being booted out.
Wait till they come here then you might have something to whinge about.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Sweet heart you fail to understand what the phrase "thin end of the wedge" represents.
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
Yeah, because it is moronic.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
So says Miss Naive 2012
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
I am almost 60 and have not been naive since my father started molesting me when I was 7.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Yeah well Marlyn, you may be 60 but age alone does not universally and automatically bring wisdom on all matters.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
There is not more eloquent demonstation of that than my own mother unfortunately, particularly on scientific issues in which she has no education.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
She has her share of wisdom in other areas of life how ever, on which I draw from time to time.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Just a quick correction for Greg Boyles, refugees arriving by boat are not illegal according to the migration act of Australia, the are seeking refuge. There are over 40,000 illegal residents in Australia who arrive legally and overstay or breach their visa condition to become illegal; many of these individuals are from Canada and the UK and although they do take Australian jobs and are a negative impact on our economy, for some reason they do not seem to be so much of an issue.
Read moreMany refugees create…
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Kurt if you arrive on a plane without a passport, bypass the authorities and disappear into the suburbs, then you are an illegal immigrant!
Why do you bleeding hearts make a distinction for people who arrive by boat also without a passport?????
All people who arrive by boat, unanounced and uninvited, ARE illegal immigrants until and if they are found to be genuinely escaping political persecution.
And escaping economic hardship is not the same as escaping persecution.
A large propoertion of illegal boat arrivals
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Greg, I was talking about the people who arrive with a passport, legally, then break visa conditions or overstay their visa. The number of people doing this is about 20 times the number of boat arrivals, and as I mentioned the reason that the political wedge was not drawn on this is that it would not be as effective to show anglo backpackers who are working in the cash economy as it was to show muslim men and women. I am not claiming that you are racist, but race is a very effective wedge tactic…
Read moreDavid Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Kurt Foster: "... people dying at sea is a live issue and it needs a solution ...". Assuming we manage to stop people taking the hazardous voyage to Australia, will it solve the problem?
I guess it depends what you believe to be the problem. If it's people coming to Australia, then the answer is yes. If it's people leaving their homelands, then it's no.
People are leaving their homelands and some of them are dying on the way to Australia. If they stop coming to Australia, will they stop leaving their homelands? My guess is they won't. They'll end up dying on the way somewhere else.
All we'll have done is move the problem.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Hi David, thanks and I accept your point. I guess I think the main problem is that as long as this issue is remains on the front pages with dramatic headlines suggesting we are being overrun, then sensible policy cannot be put in place. I agree with your sentiments and I suppose my hope is that if we can stop the boats for a little while, maybe people can start getting angry about there being too many flys at barbecues or some other issue that makes little difference to the Country. If this happened and we moved to sensible policy in this area, maybe we could start making incredible differences in the lives of a very small number of these poor, innocent people, whose crime is to run when people try to kill them.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
I have seen any numbers concerning visa over stayers so I will take your word for it.
But that problem would be slashed to a more manageable size of slashing are total immigration intake to well under 100,000 per year.
Increase the humanitarian to 20,000 if you like, but slash and burn all other categories so that the total intake is under 100,000.
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
Under Australian law there is no such thing as an illegal immigrant, there is no offence for entering or staying in the country without a visa which is why they don't round up the tens of thousands a year who do so.
the law changed in 1992.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
I disagree Kurt. From what I have read thus far on the subject ANYONE arriving in Australia without a valid visa and passport is an illegal immigrant with no exceptions.
You can apply for assylum, but until your claim is processed and approved you remain and illegal immigrant. If you claim is not approved then you are deported as an illegal immigrant.
If on the other hand you enter a recognized UN refugee camp and apply for assylum from there then at no time are you regarded as an illegal immigrant.
So once again you damn bleeding hearts are twisting the facts for your own self interested ends!
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Take a look at this http://www.aph.gov.au/binaries/library/pubs/bn/sp/asylumfacts.pdf. On page 3,
"The term ‘illegal’ may more appropriately apply to those without a valid visa (‘unlawful non‐citizens’) who are not seeking protection, such as visa overstayers."
You can argue over interpretation by yourself, this is the info.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Also, Greg, if you are genuinely wanting to get people to understand that population is an issue, probably try not entering a forum and starting by calling everyone who disagrees with your point of view stupid or the list of other insults you are levelling at people. I know that I also indulged in some of this more base argument, something of which I am not proud. If our country is to start dealing with tough issues, people need to start taking them seriously and not resorting to schoolyard bullying…
Read moreMark Harrigan
Dr
I sinecerely doubt he is interested in anything except for external validation of this self-expressed xenophobia and demonstrable prejudices on the topic of asslym seekers. Apart from an interest in abusing anyone who doesn't provide it.
There is a global commons. There is no lifeboat escape possibility for the rich. All nations will have to come to grips with the limits to carrying capacity. Unless measures are taken by the rich to facilitate sustainable development, the continued destruction of humanity's life support systems (and a reduction in biophysical carrying capacity) is virtually guaranteed.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Kurt I am a blunt man and I call a spade a spade.
Some of your collective arguments fly in the face of simple common sense let alone science and are simply STUPID.
One such argument that I find utterly STUPID is that efficiency gains alone can save humanity and that number of humans is irrelevant.
And from your increasingly desperate responses to that mathematical analogy I think you have realised that some one has finally revealed the idiocy of the central premise of your main argument.
Not that I expect you to admit it. Rather you will continue to attempt squirm your way out of it in vain.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
QUOTE
Unless measures are taken by the rich to facilitate sustainable development, the continued destruction of humanity's life support systems (and a reduction in biophysical carrying capacity) is virtually guaranteed
END QUOTE
I agree 100% Mark.
But what I do not agree with is that this is used as a substiute of inaction on the population side of the equation because it is all too hard or because you are too weak to confront the third world with the bad news that they no doubt will not want hear at first.
But before we do deliver that bad news to the third world the west must set the example, on consumption levels, efficiency AND zero net population growth.
Australia is in a excellent position to do all of these.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
The full quote
"There is a global commons. There is no lifeboat escape possibility for the rich. All nations will have to come to grips with the limits to carrying capacity. Unless measures are taken by the rich to facilitate sustainable development, the continued destruction of humanity's life support systems (and a reduction in biophysical carrying capacity) is virtually guaranteed."
comes from a source you provided
http://dieoff.org/page112.htm
It's meaning is clear. Unilateral action by a single nation to "create a lifeboat" - which si what xenophobic rejection of the assylum seeker issue amounts to - is not an option.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
I am not squirming out of anything Greg, unfortunately yet again you have not attacked the argument you are attacking the people, I think I said to someone in here play the ball not the man. I wouldn't agree that you are calling a spade a spade, when someone attacks your argument, you do not defend your argument you call them stupid. If you had faith in your position you should be able to defend it from all counter positions, I am yet to see you do this.
I have returned to the maths argument…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
KURT.
It DOES NOT MATTER if the increase in population per annum is 1% or 400%.
The self evident and indisputable facts in that anaology are that:
1) If the collective consumption of water from the tank rises above the rate of replenishment of water, then the tank WILL run dry at some point in the future and EVERYONE will die of dehydration.
2) Efficiency gains are not some sort of magic puding that continue indefinitely allowing for perpetual compassion to avalanche of assylum seekers…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Well sorry Mark but I am not prepared to throw my hands up in the air in defeat and allow my country to become a sess pit like other countries. I would sooner defend our borders with a gun before I just give up.
"It's meaning is clear. Unilateral action by a single nation to "create a lifeboat" - which si what xenophobic rejection of the assylum seeker issue amounts to - is not an option."
Then I am more than comfortable being regarded as a xenophobe by you!
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Interesting - so now the "reference" that "proved your case" has been shown in fact to do exactly the opposite you walk away from it?
You ARE throwing your hands up in defeat. What you are saying is "I, Greg, don't care if the rest of the world becomes a "cess pit" (let's put aside for a minute this idiotic charcaterisation). I want my Country to stay pure pristine from those foreigners so I can live in an illusion of oopulation control while the rest of the world goes to hell in a hand basket…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
I don't see how the rest of the world gains anything by allowing Australia to go to hell in a hand basket along with countless other regions.
In fact you basically remove any hope humanity has of improving lives and societies.
And clearly YOU need a reality check because the majority of Australians do not agree with your position that preserving our environment and our way of life is untennable.
So it is you and your lobby that is out on a limb here Mark, not me!
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
At no point have I suggested that we entirely exclude assylum seekers Mark.
That is another typical misrepresentation tactic used by you bleeding hearts.
I have merely said that annual immigration intakes in general should be adjusted periodically to maintain zero net population growth!
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Or similar words to that effect.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
I believe I have stated, for example, that zero net population growth does not mean zero immigration
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
On this point you are defeated old man, and everyone who has an ounce of intelligence can see that. Debying it just makes you look rather foolish.
However, in that analogy, what we can sensibly debate is how big the tank actually is and how much average daily inflow it receives, and therefore the level of compassion we can afford.
In my OPINION were are currently exceeding the metaphorical average daily inflow. However there has been no systematic scientific study to verify this in Australia. We ought get on with that study now and settle this dispute once and for all.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Correct Greg.
"If the collective consumption of water from the tank rises above the rate of replenishment of water,"
So the ratio between the rate of population increase and the rate of replenishment is quite crucial in your sums.
And once again, you are ignoring the inconvenient sections of arguments made by myself and many others to focus on this maths thing (which I am happy to drop) and to call us names. There has been a broad discussion of multiple issues with your proposed solution…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
YOU are a pack of bloody beligerant old farts!
Apart from my opinion on the subject, I have conceded the point that the amount of spare ecological capacity in Australia, the rate of renewal of that ecological capacity and therefore the precise amount of compassion towards the third world we can afford has not been impartially and scientifically assessed.
NOW I WANT YOU TO CONCEDE MY POINTS:
1) THAT EFFICIENCY GAINS ARE NOT A MAGIC PUDING THAT GO ON GIVING FOREVER.
2) Collective consumption is a function of BOTH individual consumption and population level and neither can or should be considered without the other.
2) AND THAT AUSTRALIA DOES NOT HAVE AN INFINITE CAPACITY TO SHOW COMPASSION TO ALL 1 billion (or what ever the hel the exact figure is) poor hard done by refugees! And that at some point YOU will have to say "NO" to them.
None of this mathematical or linguistic gymnastics bull$hit you are still persisting with.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
A simple phrase along the lines of
"OK Greg I concede your 3 points and acknowledge your concession about the unanswered question about how much compassion we can afford"
WILL SUFFICE!
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
No belligerent is not quite the right description for you lot. Obstinate is a better descrption of you.
I may be belligerent but at least I have conceded a seperation between self evident fact that cannot be challenged, other than those who are obstinate, and my personal oppinion that flows on from that self evident fact.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
And I have absolutely no intention of altering the figures in my analogy until they suit you because
IT WAS AN ANALOGY DESIGNED TO EXPLAIN A CONCEPT TO YOU that you did not obviously comprehend or consider.....one of the two.
It was NOT designed as an example of reality and therefore there is absoutley no requirement for the figures to be realistic.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
1. I don't think I have claimed that efficiency gains are a magic pudding, I have acknowledged continuously that I don't believe my suggestion is a magic cure all. I do not need to concede here, I have not made any claim to oppose this.
Read more2. Once again, I have never disagreed or made any assertion to the opposite of this.
3. Once again, I have not claimed that there is infinite capacity anywhere. I have however stated numerous times that your consistent assertion that we cannot take on 1 billion…
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Also Greg, take a look at this, https://www.ted.com/talks/james_stavridis_how_nato_s_supreme_commander_thinks_about_global_security.html, it is a great explanation of the relative benefits of collaboration over building walls. It is not directly related to this scenario but if you broaden your view you may be able to draw some parallels and better understand where I am coming from.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Perhaps this will assist your learning:
The thing about the tank was an 'analogy' or 'metaphore' NOT NOT NOT an 'example'.
QUOTE
a·nal·o·gy /əˈnælədʒi/ Show Spelled[uh-nal-uh-jee] Show IPA
noun, plural a·nal·o·gies.
5. Logic . a form of reasoning in which one thing is inferred to be similar to another thing in a certain respect, on the basis of the known similarity between the things in other respects.
END QUOTE
QUOTE
Read moreex·am·ple (g-zmpl)
n.
1. One that is representative of a…
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
And again, I have made numerous points that illustrate issues in your argument, and you have returned to the maths example you claim to hate so much. To make my earlier analogy, your argument is similar to me making the argument that all rain is bad because of the destruction caused by floods.
I have given you plenty of issues to work on in your argument, I am yet to see any counter claim. Also, I thought returning to the maths things was a sign of increasing desperation. I mentioned that I am happy to drop your analogy, the maths I mentioned recently was in relation to reality, ie 15,000,000 does not equal 1,000,000,000.
Also, the linguistic gymnastics was a joke that I thought you'd find funny. You keep mentioning how much more intelligent you are so I thought you'd get it. The Hevea brasiliensis / Epoxy thing was basically "I am rubber your are glue, it bounces off of me and sticks to you". Just dropping down to your level again briefly, sorry.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
"I don't think I have claimed that efficiency gains are a magic pudding"
Well that is pretty much the message you bloody lot are sending to me and no doubt others like me.....which is why I am so god damned furious with your collective rantings.
So then Kurt, you acknowledge that at some yet to be decided point YOU will have to say "NO" regardles of the fate of those receiving this answer and no matter how much it hurts your soul to do so?
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
International cooperation on the over population problem is what I would like to see and absolutely necessary ultimately.
But as long as you and other nations are not using international cooperation as a cover for avoiding making tough decisions on fertility etc. E.G. By exporting their over population problems to Australia!
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
I TOLD you Kurt I have no intention of altering the figures in my anaolgy to make it easier for you to confuse and manipulate the analogy to your own agenda.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Perhaps I am confusing stupidity with obstinance or ideology then.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Greg that is the message you are receiving not what we are sending, it is not the message I have read into the comments of the others in this forum. You are a little black and white on this issue as, like Marylin it is something you are clearly very passionate about. However this issue is complex, with a lot of grey; taking the ideas or comments of others to their logical extreme does not make your view of the comments more accurate, just more polarising.
Also Greg, I don't agree that there is…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
"Also Greg, I don't agree that there is a point where saying no to migration to Australia becomes more sensible, sustainability is a global issue, population size is a part of the sustainability problem"
The you and the majority of Australians, including me, are at logger heads.
Because WE will not allow you to keep saying 'yes' to refugees, to appease your own weakness or appease the refugees or what ever the hell is motivating you people, beyond the point that we consider socially and environmentally sustainable.
So may the best man win the fight so to speak!
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
For your reading pleasure Kurt: www.gregsindigenouslandscapes.com.au/
"Asylum Seeker Debate"
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Unfortunately Greg you are still not countering the numerous arguments that demonstrate large holes in your belief system. Believing that more people think like you than think like me is not a scientific argument, it is a statement of faith. I really wish that logical, scientific analysis was taken more seriously than blind faith, but unfortunately there probably are more people like you and blind faith is probably going to win the day.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
From your own writing:
"the author and his/her supporters often resort to ad hominem attacks on the scientist rather than addressing the his/her concerns about the facts and figure presented and about the authors interpretation of them"
I have made numerous counter points to your argument, you are yet to answer many of them. Since you stopped throwing insults your counter argument is that more people think like you. I think you are making it more difficult to have this global debate in a serious…
Read moreKurt Foster
Small Business Owner
And then there is a whole new level of moron who I think we can both agree to disagree with, who refuses to look at sustainability, population, climate change or anything based on science that is too complicated for him to understand. http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/family-planning-aid-vote-stirs-opposition-20120816-24bgh.html
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Your collective position on refugees is not based on science or logic Kurt.
It is based on irrational emotion about 'poor asylum seekers' and/or pure left political ideology.
You have all but stated your preferred strategy to deal with poverty and lack of equality across the globe is to effectively reduce Australia to a similar level of misery as the third world.
And I will be making sure I tell everyone at every opportunity that this appears to be your collective attitude to the problem of refugees and third world poverty.
And you are getting rather delusional if you believe your loby is not a minority in Australia. If your loby had majority support Kurt then why are the Greens not in power and off shore processing of refugees abolished for good?
Hmmmmm?
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Sir David Attenborough also supports massive cuts to Britain's immigreation intake as I understand it.
He also does not support the notion that immigration to Britain is a signficant solution to world poverty.
He supports the same idea as me that third world fertility control, combined with western consumption reduction, is the only long term solution to the problem.
Does that make him a xenophobe or racist?
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
I am not a member of the Greens or any lobby group, it appears perhaps that you are from a lobby group, I have simply written down a number of issues with the policy idea you put forward and you continue to avoid providing any answers to the issues I raise. When you have asked questions of me I have answered them. I have not said anything about "poor asylum seekers", I have stated repeatedly that this is a global issue and that zero net migration to Australia will not fix the global issue.
The issue I keep talking about is sustainability, and at no stage have I stated that I wish to reduce Australia to third world standards, this is a view you keep falsely ascribing to me. Perhaps rather than making false claims to people about what individuals like myself say, just link to this web page from your site and let people judge your argument for themselves.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
You may not be an official Greens member Kurt, but as far as I am concerned you follow similar ideology on refugees.
I.E. You can no point at which you may have to say no to refugees regardles of the futrue conseques for the Australian society that your grand children will inherit from you.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
That is pretty much Sarah Hanson-Young's attitude - no limit to Australias refugee intake.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
That is pretty much Sarah Hanson-Young's attitude - no limit to Australias refugee intake.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
QUOTE
Britain's most famous naturalist, David Attenborough, is backing a campaign to reduce the UK population by half. He claims that if population control doesn't become government policy, nature will do the job for us - and the poor will suffer most. (1)
The campaign is organised by the Optimum Population Trust (OPT), a group set up in 1991 by environmentalists and population campaigners, whose current patrons include Paul Ehrlich, Norman Myers and Jonathan Porritt.
END QUOTE
http://populationmatters.org/documents/immigration_control.pdf
http://www.populationmatters.org/about/our-people/patrons/
David Attenborough and many other prominent and respected British citizens support reasonable but LIMITED immigration.
Are they all xenophobes and racists Kurt?
Mark Harrigan
Dr
I welcome the report from the panel. Not because it offers "solutions". They are illusory - this problem cannot be "solved" without a global approach, and even then it would be a "wicked" problem.
I welcome it because it offers improvement. I welcome it because it may reduce the number deaths at sea and because it offers a better life for the increased numbers of genuine refugees we accept into this country, which will give more people better lives.
I have no expectation it will eliminate the problem and I expect we will see harm done from off-shore detention, as we did last time.
But I do not wish to make the perfect the enemy of the good. There is not "perfect" in this condundrum.
Perhaps I should say I welcome the "less worse" outcome it offers.
Thw world is full of lesser evil choices - as unpalatable as it may be it appears we face only lesser evil choices in relation to this problem :(
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
Well that is fine for you, you are not one of the innocent people who would be flogged off to permanent prison in some malaria infested hell hole in the name of stopping someone else from drowning.
Really and truly the complete lack of logic by some drives my hair grey.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Marilyn. Instead of attacking me, why not offer a superior alternative? I would welcome discussion of it.
I am not "happy" with the report by any means.
I could just as easily attack you and argue that you are happy to let people drown in the name of avoiding people being sent to offshore processing.
I suggest you need some balance in your approach
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
John Menadue has some interesting proposals ... google him up or if you can't track anything down I'll send you some papers he's done based on what we've done in the past that has worked very well.
Importantly this involves offshore processing - not this rubbish deterrent business - but next door to the source countries - walking distance - and an efficient process for evaluating claims of asylum seekers, doing all the necessary checks and flying them in. No boats, no drownings, no people smugglers, no Nauru, no razor wire.
We must get over this business of using people's lives to "send messages" ... it's brutal and inhumane.
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Hi Marilyn,
I understand and share much of your anger and passion over this issue, however I think attacking people who have a different view is not all that helpful. The emotive nature of this debate is exactly why Howard first created this wedge, if everyone is still yelling, no one is really listening or noticing that the debate has sailed so far away from truth that is no longer makes any sense.
All news on all networks and radio now report boat arrivals and the number of refugees arriving…
Read moreMark Harrigan
Dr
Oh, and for the record, I would support an increase in refugee intake well in excess of what the Panel recommended. I suspect they had an eye to political acceptability though.
Perhaps, instead of criticising any approach that at least improves the outcome for some, we could focus on how we can encourage our fellow Australians to accept, welcome and add to the productive fabric of your society larger numbers of genuine refugees?
Ben Heard
Director, ThinkClimate Consulting
Very eloquent as usual Mark. These are much the themes I sought to strike in my comment too. Well said.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Thanks Ben.
It may well prove academic judging by the debate in Parliament right now.
The Greens seem determined to stick to ideological purity - making an illusory perfect solution the enemy of improvement (at least for some). Abbott is clearly demonstrating he has no interest in solutions, only politcal point scoring and fear mongering, by seeking amendments that call for TPVs to come back in and to "tow back the boats" - an idea that has been shown to be dangerous and impractical
Sad :(
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Well Maryln why don't you stop bleating on about it and show us all in here that you have the courage of your convictions??????
Quit you job, sell your house and car, volunteer for one of the foreign aid NGOs and spend the remainder of your days helping these people in the third world.
Are you prepared to do that Marlyn?
If not then I am afraid I cannot take your bleatings about this issue as any thing more than a self serving political agenda!
Comment removed by moderator.
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
For god's sake, again you demand answers from me. It's not my job to answer your stupid questions.
The refugee convention articles 1-34 are legally binding and comprehensively map out the rights of refugees. WE helped write it and were the 6th to adopt it. What is so frigging hard about living up to it?
We choose to have razor wire, we don't have to. No other country in the world whines as incessantly as we do about so few people.
300,000 people have fled Syria, are their neighbours whinging about it?
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Marilyn, how, in any, is this verbal assault helpful? Offering to assult me physically?
You attack others for their views and then claim no responsibility for offering any possible alternatives. At the same time you do not aappear to be doing anything personally to address the problem.
I don't think I've made "a suggestion" - just that I would support a greater intake of refugees than has been advocated even by the panel.
I'm also happy to accept genuine refugees however they arrive but…
Read moreKurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Here, here Mark. With your background and knowledge of these issues Marilyn, there is no need to attack people. The political landscape is also a reality one can't escape and arguing as Mark has done for an improvement in policy should not draw such attacks. As he is suggesting provide argument for better alternatives, play the ball not the man (or woman).
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Blah blah blah.
More political rhetoric from from a bleeding heart.
Your rhetoric is falling on deaf ears love!
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Well it is time that we with drew from that out dated legal instrument.
It no longer accurately reflects the realities of our present world.
It was written at a time when Australia's population was a small fraction of what it is today.
Back then we were further away from the ecological limits of this continent.
Blindly following this out date convention is to cosign future generations of Australians to the same misery that current refugees are trying to escape from.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Thanks Kurt. Clearly Marilyn is passionate about the matter, which I can respect. But abuse of those with different views isn't helpfull. In any event I had simply said I welcomed an improvement on the current impasse, but recognised it was far from perfect.
It would appear, on my reading, that Marilyn is arguing for no limits and no detention, though she hasn't come out and directly said that. She also has not articulated what refugee intake (taken directly rather than from unauthorised arrivals…
Read moreDalit Prawasi
Auditor, Accountant, Trade Teacher
Greens (leftists after a vinyl pain bath) are after a guaranteed block vote and funds in the future.
Dalit Prawasi
Auditor, Accountant, Trade Teacher
How do we select the 20K?
500 from Manus, 500 from Nauru, 500 from Sudan, 500 from Pakistan, 500 from Thailand, 500 from Malasia, 500 from Bangladesh, 500 from Iraq, 500 from Colombia, 500 fro Uganda, 500 from south Africa..............................
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
I don't think our ecological limits will be stretched by a few thousand bloody refugees.
How come you don't use that bullshit over the millions of tourists who come here every year. They don't bring their own water or food.
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
Well for god's sake how would we cope if we were Pakistan who has been forced by the continually invading west to have Afghans in their millions over the past 34 years.
We could let people apply at our embassies overseas instead of locking them out, that way we save billions, feed millions of people in other countries and save lives.
Everyone wins.
But we are too busy wasting billions on lies and racist bullshit.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Oh Marlyn you have such a narrow short term focus.
A thousand today, two thousand tomorrow, 100000 the day afer,.........
Where and when do you draw the line Marlyn?????
May be if you people did draw a well defined line in the sand, people like me would have more confidence in giving ground to you.
Ahmad Abu-tukit
Plumber
Reading and listening to a lot of the commentary re the Houston Panel and this discussion here reminds you – Australia is an island (in mentality too).
It’s all about those refugees who are heading towards us or arrived to our shores, the way we treat them and the only SOURCE references are from antagonists happy to bring in their negative views on Australia’s involvement in Iraq, Afghanistan or their general anti western/American/Israeli views.
Asylum is sought by those being persecuted for…
Read moreMark Harrigan
Dr
Thanks Marilyn. You haven't addressed a single point in my post above. It appear you passion on this topic is actually blinding you from having a productive discussion.
Perhaps you should consider that such an approach is likely to win very few to your point of view - in fact it is more likely to polarise and entrench opposition. Is that what you want?
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Ahmed, if what you are saying is that Australia should stop participating in the USA's misadventures in Iraq and Afghanistan etc and indeed stand against them in the UN, then I agree with you.
Ahmad Abu-tukit
Plumber
No doubt wars generate refugees and when these are overlain on societies with clear differing ethnic/ religious etc makeup many refugees will be deemed asylum seekers. That is why you get so many Iraqi/Afghan/Sri Lankan refugees today. But seeing that in an Anti-American prism as you do is to hijack the issue.
Millions of refugees were sent packing in the past due to activities by Japan and Germany during WW2. Millions are displaced by conflicts and never have the chance to “have no choice but…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Well then aren't we damn lucky you are not in a position that matters Mark!
Steve Hindle
logged in via email @bigpond.com
Perhaps I am misreading this report but the authors seem to offer a confusing critique.
"..recommendations around an increased annual intake of 20,000 in the short term, and 27,000 over the next five years"
I read this as saying we should take 27,000 over the next five years.
"But for now there is no advantage gained by coming to Australia by boat"
I am mystified by this statement. If there is no advantage then why are they risking their lives by coming?
"But the lack of a real timeframe or strategy along side their recommendations makes the next steps rather unclear".
(But further on..)
"With actual timeframes and clear strategies for implementation, the threads identified in the report could well be woven into a new approach for asylum seekers..."
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
Well no other country in the region has ever wanted to ratify the refugee convention so I guess the time frame will be when hell freezes over.
Dalit Prawasi
Auditor, Accountant, Trade Teacher
The report is a circuit breaker for our leader (Julia) and kicks the real leader (green boss). The report should have analysed who are real refugees and who are not. We have a moral obligation to Afghans and Iraqis etc as we are in their land to save them. So we should look after them when they are here at least until we fix their problems.
What obligation do we have to Tamils? There are seventy million or more Tamils in India and India can easily absorb a million of them.
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
Ah yes, Mr Sinhala you would say that wouldn't you?
We cannot discriminate like that but we certainly do owe the Afghans and Iraqis.
Dalit Prawasi
Auditor, Accountant, Trade Teacher
The two authors have forgotten that in a democracy laws are made by people. They have the right to change the laws. The so called HR laws have to be changed to stop crooks coming here claiming to be discriminated after blowing up civilians. Those who support these terrorists directly or indirectly are not good people.
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
There are no crooks coming here after blowing up anyone.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
In in the words of Mark Harrigan......your evidence for this is????
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
I notice you bleeding hearts have not started accusing Dalit Prawasi
of being a racist or a xenophobe.
Dalit Prawasi
Auditor, Accountant, Trade Teacher
If anyone had the opportunity to blow up the crooks, there wnt be crooks coming here/
Pamela Curr
campaign coordinator
If the aim of language is now to obfuscate and mislead then this report excels. The language of deterrence and punishment may be absent but is it's intent?
What is the denial of family reunion if not punishment? This most painful aspect of the hated TPV (Temporary Protection Visa abolished by Labor) is back in another guise in the reports recommendations.
What is the "no advantage test" in reality to the most disadvantaged? Against whom are they to be measured to ensure that they enjoy "no…
Read moreKurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Pamela, this is somewhat off topic, but I would just like to say that you do great work in a tough field and probably get more criticism than praise. Well done, keep it up and thank you.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Of course removal of family reunion rights is a punishment and rightly so!
Designed to send the message that if you arrive as illegal immigrants then you will be disadvantaged!
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
QUOTE
Only Australian citizens, permanent residents of Australia and New Zealand citizens who have entered Australia on a valid passport are allowed to stay and work in Australia without restriction.
All foreign nationals who want to travel to and stay in Australia must obtain visas before arriving.
END QUOTE
QUOTE
Under the Migration Act 1958 (Cth) (the Migration Act), asylum seekers who arrive on the Australian mainland without a valid visa must be held in immigration detention until they are granted a visa or removed from Australia
END QUOTE
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
I am far from the only one who says this.
The global population WILL fall dramatically as surely as night follws day.
It is an ecological certainty.
They only choice we have is whether that fall will be a catastrophic collapse, with all the human suffering that will involve, or whether it will be a managed (as humanely as possible) rapid decline
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
You continue to scare monger Greg. Yet again I pose my question. What is your solution to this issue globally? Or, do you believe that if Australia's population remains stagnant we will not be effected by peak oil, peak fish etc?
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Australia will be effected by peak everything to some some extent.
But one thing is self evident is that a population larger than the current 23 million will make it harder to cope wiith the problems caused by peak everything.
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Kurt, Greg has no solutions. Only faux concerns, ad hominem attacks and rants against the "hordes"
His use of language like "Allow the hordes to flood in and turn Australia into a sess pit" gives the truth to his unexamined racism. Cease to engage with him so he no longer has an excuse for his rants.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Physicist or not Mark you obsiously don't really comprehend what racism is.
I suggest you consult the Oxford Dictionary and Australia's Race discrimination act.
And read this interpretation of the Federal Race Discrimination Law
QUOTE
Read moreIn Miller v Wertheim, the Full Federal Court dismissed a claim of discrimination under the RDA in relation to a speech made by the respondent (himself Jewish) which had criticised members of the Orthodox Jewish community for allegedly divisive activities…
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
Point taken Mark and I'll stop with this final point. I was hoping to draw out his logic, although I am aware there is none in the argument. The many nations with very high population growth rates tend to have larger issues afoot, and creating a strategic policy on population growth would most likely not rate highly on their political agenda.
I am glad that he has finally admitted to being Xenophobic, I am glad to have helped to draw the admission out of him. I think there would be very few if…
Read moreMark Harrigan
Dr
Understood Kurt, and I take your point too.
For the record
"Xenophobia is defined as an intense or irrational dislike or fear of people from other countries or as an unreasonable fear or hatred of foreigners or strangers or of that which is foreign or strange"
The UN does not define “racism”; however, it does define “racial discrimination”: According to the United Nations Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Racial Discrimination,
"the term "racial discrimination" shall mean…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Yes but the charge of xenophobia is a much less effective slur for you people to roll out isn't it Mark.
Because 99% of the human race is xenophobic to some extent.
INCLUDING you towards anyone who dares to make the suggestion that it is the number of people in the world in addition to consumption levels that is the problem and not consumption alone. With the connotation that humanity is not the sacred untouchable holy cow as you lot preach.
And you can rest assured that I will continue shouting this message loud and clear at every opportunity from now until the day I die. Along with Dick Smith, Kelvin Thompson, Sir David Attenborough, Bob Carr and many others.
You no longer have this soap box all to yourself I am afraid.
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
But that isn't what concerns you is it Greg - what actually concerns yuou is letting them in here to your wonderful Australia where they will turn our wide brown land into a cess-pit.... these foreign devils.
Your answer to the world's population crisis:- let them die where they are and keep them away from me my grandkids and my "sustainable" life. These foreigners will make us all poor.
That's racist clap-trap Greg - and completely irrational.
I'm OK Jack ... an interesting slogan for someone purporting to have a view on sustainability.
Do some serious reading about the issue before you start parading your ignorance Greg. Not one of the people you try to associate with above share your bigoted opinions. Not one.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
My concern is driven by self interest.
I do not want to see humans, rats, cats, mice, starlings and dogs the extent of the biodiversity on Earth.
I do not weant to see natural landscapes and rural land repalced by megaslums and mega cities.
I do not want to see western civilisation, and all our technology and insights into the universe lost to history.
I do not want to see my children's future sacrificed for no long term gain for the sake of current humans who have made their own bed…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
If it comes to that Mark you don't have any real solutions to the problem either.
Except for the continued bleeding heart rhetoric of 'let em in', 'you are a racist' and 'more efficiency gains'.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
"I'm OK Jack ... an interesting slogan for someone purporting to have a view on sustainability."
What an %^&*# hypocrit you are Peter.
You are doing exactly the same thing.
"Im OK jack my stairway to heaven is secure."
OR
"Im OK jack my career is secure."
OR
What ever other self interest that is REALLY at the heart of what is driving you on this.
You have no regard for the your children or grand children or the $hit hole you might be building for them in the pursuit of your short term interest.
Or perhaps you don't have any children or grand children, which would amount to even more reprehensible short term selfishness.
Vikas Chadhokar
Compositor
It's a bit out of left field but it may help..
In addition to some of the measures recommended by the Expert Panel of Asylum Seekers, Australia should consider SELLING CHRISTMAS ISLAND TO INDONESIA.
Christmas Island is 1563 km from the town of Exmouth, Western Australia. Christmas Island is only 397 km to the town of Cipatujah, Indonesia. Christmas Island only became part of Australia in 1957.
Once Christmas Island is no longer Australian territory, refugees and people smugglers…
Read moreGreg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
I agree. Christmas Island is more trouble than it is worth and that we should off load it to Indonesia.
Christmas Islanders wont be happy about it though.
Pamela Curr
campaign coordinator
This article seems to have been hijacked by population fundamentalists. The discussion is no longer intelligent. ENOUGH.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Well get used to it love because I aint going away!
Mark Harrigan
Dr
Agree Pam. By one in particular who appears to have a "Boiling" obsession about the topic.
But Tireseome Repetitions Of Lateral Lacunae Sentences are like that.
Kurt - stop feeding it! It cannot see any view other than its own and is evidence and logic immune - not to mention off topic
Kurt Foster
Small Business Owner
OK, enough is enough, Greg's argument is going nowhere so I have un-ticked the box to keep be informed of updates so this argument can end.
Greg Boyles
Lanscaper and former medical scientist
Mark as a opinion writer on population and sustainability matters, you make a great physicist!
Your own arguments on issue of how to acheive global sustainability are entirely hollow and with out evidence to back them.
And you seem to conveniently ignore the fact that the likes of Sir David Attenborough also support the notion of limiting immigration to western nations.
Are you suggesting his arguments are 'Lateral Lacunae' Mark?
Is Sir David Attenborough a rabid racist or xenophobe like me Mark?
Richard Grant
President, R Grant Enterprises
You need look no further than the forthcoming Nov. elections in the USA for what you might expect in the future for Australia. If the current president is re-elected for a second 4-year term you will be seeing the effects of illegal immigration (asylum seekers; undocumented residents, or whatever else you might wish to call persons arriving on your shores illegally.) The lack of enforcement of existing Federal immigration law by the Department of Homeland Security has created a porous border and…
Read more