We are living in an era of science denial. An era when well-established facts are disputed, fake experts are interviewed by the media and blog posts trump science papers.
It’s an era of vaccine denial, evolution denial, and of course, climate change denial.
I’d also add Big Bang denial to that list. Sure, it might be more esoteric than climate change denial, but it’s attracting increasing amounts of attention, thanks to the efforts of people such as US congressman Paul Broun, who declared late last year:
All that stuff I was taught about evolution and embryology and the Big Bang Theory, all that is lies straight from the pit of hell.
In living memory, the most vocal opposition to the Big Bang has gone from the realms of legitimate scientific debate to that of science denial.
But how did this come to pass? What are the origins of Big Bang denial? And does it provides clues about the future of science denial generally?
Early debates
Today the Big Bang paradigm is supported by a plethora of observations:
- the expansion of the universe measured with variable stars, supernovae and the distribution of galaxies
- the faint microwave afterglow of the Big Bang fireball
- the abundances of the light elements (such as hydrogen and helium), forged in the hot and dense furnace of the early universe
- the young galaxies seen in the distant universe.
Even a tiny bit of the static seen on an analogue TV is from the afterglow of the Big Bang.
But in the 1940s there was far less to go on.
Einstein’s general theory of relativity was largely untested. Edwin Hubble had measured the expansion of the universe, but was grossly in error. Using Hubble’s data and the Big Bang theory, it seemed like the sun was older than the universe. And the original Big Bang paper was conceptually brilliant but technically flawed.
In this environment, other theories seemed equally plausible. Perhaps the universe was in a “steady state”, where new matter was created as the universe expanded. This seemed reasonable given the limited data available. Crucially, most theories made robust predictions about what astronomers might have observed in the coming decades.
Breakthrough
In 1964 there was a Eureka moment. By accident, Arno Penzias and Robert Wilson discovered the microwave afterglow of the Big Bang. This afterglow simply hadn’t been predicted by other theories.
Edwin Hubble’s protege, Allan Sandage, improved measurements of the expanding universe, showing it was far older than Edwin Hubble supposed. And so the Big Bang theory was no longer conflicting with the age of the sun.
Most astronomers were increasingly convinced by the Big Bang theory, but a core of opposition remained.
Steady state theories were tweaked rather than abandoned. In the process some abandoned Ockham’s Razor, the idea that the simplest hypothesis that explains the data is the best. Often the tweaks were contrived, such as “iron whiskers” being spread across the universe by exploding stars.
Typically the tweaks came into conflict with data soon after their inception. For example, we can observe very distant galaxies and quasars at microwave wavelengths, but this would be impossible in a universe full of “iron whiskers”.
Some claimed the Big Bang theory could not explain “anomalies”, such as groups of quasars and galaxies that should have been at different distances. But the statistics were so poor that these “anomalies” could be explained via random alignments of nearby galaxies with distant quasars and gravitational lensing.
Extraordinary claims about the supposed failings of the Big Bang theory weren’t being backed by extraordinary evidence.
Repetition
Today, there is a wealth of data that is explained with the Big Bang paradigm. Astronomers and physicists still propose many new theories (e.g. quintessence), but most include an expanding universe with a Big Bang at its beginning.
The original Big Bang opponents are dead or old, but some persevere. Unfortunately, they often just repeat flawed theories and analyses from earlier decades, often ignoring well-established facts and newer research.
Astronomers have surveyed millions of galaxies and quasars, but many Big Bang opponents continue to focus on small samples with poor statistics. This is similar to the way vaccine opponents often rely on small studies and anecdotal evidence rather than large epidemiological studies which show the benefits of vaccines.
The inability of many Big Bang opponents to update their analyses and let go of disproved ideas now serves as a cautionary tale to younger scientists.
Denial
But now, a new generation of Big Bang opponents has risen. Often they have an amateur’s knowledge of astrophysics and strong ideological motivations, even if they have a background in science. They want the universe to conform with their preconceived ideas.
As a consequence, science denial can come from those at both extremes of the ideological spectrum. Young Earth creationists oppose the Big Bang because it makes the universe billions of years old. Even some atheists oppose the Big Bang because it has a creation event.
Big Bang opponents often ignore well-established evidence, and as a consequence they are publishing less and less in peer-reviewed science journals. Often the most vocal opposition to the Big Bang appears online in fringe journals and websites, where it can avoid astronomers' difficult facts and criticism. This is also true of those opposing anthropogenic climate change, who publish just a tiny fraction of all peer-reviewed papers on climate.
The amateur Big Bang opponents make amateur’s mistakes and straw-man arguments are common. There are claims, for instance, that the distribution of quasar and galaxy distances isn’t explained by the Big Bang paradigm.
However, Big Bang opponents have not compared observations with predictions from theory and simulations, so these claims are baseless. When astronomers compare observations with simulations, there is no discrepancy between the data and the Big Bang paradigm.
Astronomers point out these mistakes time and time again. However, many Big Bang opponents reframe the criticism as scientists defending orthodoxy, rather than acknowledging the errors made.
Australian physicist (and Big Bang opponent) John Hartnett has stated:
The standard model is assumed to be correct and when evidence questioning that conclusion is found … a special effort was immediately made to show how it could still be explained in the standard model.
“Special effort” is an unjustified and strange choice of phrase. What matters is the fact that observations and theory simply agree.
Perception
The public perception of the Big Bang debate has changed with its protagonists. When opposition to the Big Bang is discussed, it is framed in terms of ideology rather than scientific debate.
US presidential hopeful Marco Rubio recently sidestepped a question in an interview with GQ about the age of the Earth, perhaps in an effort to court young Earth creationists. The resulting controversy focused on politics and theology, and the science was rarely questioned. Eventually Rubio clarified his answer, stating that the Earth is at least 4.5 billion years old.
Perhaps this is the end result of science denial – the media and public largely stop debating the science. Decades ago the smoking debate in the media was focused on the validity of the science. The science is no longer disputed in the media, and the debate has moved on to the politics of individual choices versus public health.
So what does the current state of Big Bang denial mean for the future? There are interesting parallels with the climate debate.
The tiny minority of climate scientists who are vocal critics of anthropogenic climate change are mostly over 50. Younger climate change deniers are often amateurs, bloggers and ideologues. The number of scientists questioning anthropogenic climate change is going to decrease in the coming decades.
Perhaps this is the good news about science denial. While science denial can influence public debates, this influence wanes without the backing of scientists. As elderly scientists fade from view and aren’t replaced by credible alternatives, the public debate will stop questioning the science.
To quote German Nobel Prize-winning physicist Max Planck:
A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it.
Or, to paraphrase ever so slightly: “Science advances one funeral at a time.”
Laurie Willberg
Journalist
To a dentist, the whole world revolves around teeth.
The issue of "science denial" is simply a rejection of Scientism.
Joe Gartner
Tilter
To a journalist without a science background the whole world revolves around getting a good story.
The issue of science denial is simply an expression of ignorance. And no man is so ignorant as one who fails to acknowledge the limitations of his understanding.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
"To a journalist without a science background the whole world revolves around getting a good story.
The issue of science denial is simply an expression of ignorance"
See, Joe, it isn't about 'science denial'. It is about what some scientists tell us what to do on the basis of what they believe the science tells them that they should tell us what to do. You follow me? They are asking us to abandon all other forms of understanding and living within objective reality, and asks us to follow instead the cult of scientism. Science is great at describing the objective dimensions of our reality. It isn't so great when it is used to tell us how to live, and when we refuse to follow its advice we are then labelled ignorant, and worse. When science is used to do this, it then becomes no different from the current religions and subjective systems which help organise our lives and how we relate to each other. I am not too sure that I am ready yet to adopt the great new religion of 'realism'.
Joe Gartner
Tilter
Diana, no I don't follow you. Science has no remit in making assertions as to what we ought to do. This is the province of ethicists. To conflate the two and assert tha science is somehow wrong because it's products are misused is medieval thinking.
Geez, it's like the Enlightenment never happened.
Geoffrey Edwards
logged in via email @gmail.com
"The issue of "science denial" is simply a rejection of Scientism."
Not really.
Opposition to "Scientism" at least has a basis in reasonable discourse, and participates in a useful discussion on what claims are epistemically justified.
As part of the ongoing discussion in the Philosophy of science, and philosophy in general, it is worthy of consideration
On the other hand, "Science denial" is simply the rejection of science based only on the grounds that it does not fit our agenda, or questions our personal commitments.
You are not rejecting the philosophical position described perjoratively as "scientism," you are merely rejecting the well founded positions of the empirical sciences.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
Is Laurie Willberg a journalist or homeopathy advocate?
Grendelus Malleolus
Senior Nerd
Given the evidence of prior comments on The Conversation, I think the latter – although the two roles are not incompatible. Unlike "homeopathy advocate and scientist" which are pretty much mutually exclusive.
Sue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
To a "journalist", the whole world revolves around water.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
Scientism - a term made up by people who don't like facts and evidence to ruin their beliefs in fairies and other nonsense.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
Joe, if you read what I have written carefully, you'll note that I have not bagged science, or said that it is wrong, but that I am taking issue with those who use science as a platform from which to moralise and ridicule those who happen to have humanist perspectives on reality. This has nothing to do with science, but with scientism. The Enlightenment was more than science coming of age, it was actually more about the dawn of reason.
Geoffrey Edwards
logged in via email @gmail.com
Tim - the "facts and evidence" suggest that "scientism" is a term popularised and used by many people who have a great deal of respect for said facts and evidence. They just suggest that there are areas where its paradigm is innapropriate.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
Sadly, the original developers of the term (Popper et al) were not thinking of it being used by people who don't like science being used to discuss things.
Take for example, Laurie Willberg, who is a homeopathy proponent and continues to argue logical and physical impossibilities. She uses the term scientism because she doesn't like that science proves her beliefs in magic water to be false. It is her belief system rather than a rational application of science that she objects to.
Geoffrey Edwards
logged in via email @gmail.com
I agree Tim, but Laurie's abuse of terminology shouldn't lead us to abuse it.
I appreciate that your intent was probably not to offer an accurate etymology ;) but when we resort to such tactics we risk distracting from our message. Wllberg, L., et. al. are perhaps beyond saving, but I imagine there may be others who benefit from the insights on these pages.
Sebastian Poeckes
Retired
Well, Sue, in the old days to a journalist the whole world revolved around the next drink - not water, even though there may have been a little put in the whiskey sometimes. In a pinch beer would do. :-)
Alex A. Sanchez
Post-Doc in Clinical Psychology
To a scientist, the world revolves around an axis.
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
Homeopathy advocate, and anti-vaccinationist!
Emma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
I think you're reaching for "on it's axis, around it's sun"
Emma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
Magic water promoter, and Polio lover
Felipe Dimer de Oliveira
Risk Scientist at Macquarie University
Interesting article, but I notice the opening statement:
"We are living in an era of science denial."
Any evidence for that? I would say that evidence points in the opposite direction. Religions are in decline, even in the US. There, the (regarded as) anti-science political party has less and less voters every years.
Even if you consider evolution: It wasn't a professional branch of science until the 1950's [Michael Ruse in "Evolution, the first 4 billion years"] and is a thriving field today more than ever. If fact there are more scientists alive today than in any other time.
And, perhaps we should consider the status of pseudo-sciences in the early XX century, I doubt it is much different from today.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
An interesting point. Perhaps a more accurate statement is we live in an era of vocal science denial.
While vocal science deniers may be a minority, they can be very effective at gaining media coverage, influencing policy and influencing peoples choices. For example, while the Republican Party struggled during the last US election, it will still be able to hinder policies to deal with climate change.
This being the case, science deniers have too much influence, even if science denial may have declined relative to a century ago.
The internet has certainly provided a means for highly motivated (but dispersed) science deniers to organise themselves and publish pseudo-science. Also, quite a few opinion writers in the Australian media use material sourced from blogs.
Sue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
I think you are right, Michael Brown, that denialism of all sorts is more widely spread, heard and communicated by the internet and mass communication media.
These is also, however, a cultural "anti-expertise" movement in our society at the moment - which gives every uninformed opinion equal credence and scorns formal education and training as "brainwashing". Joe Bloggs' views on whether climate change is anthropogenic is heard alongside prominent climate scientists - as if this provides some…
Read moreDiana Taylor
retired psychotherapist
Could someone please tell me, does the big bang theory depend on the assumption that the speed of light is constant? If there are small variations in the speed or light over huge distances, how would that affect the calculations? Does a black hole swallow light because it accelerates its speed? Perhaps a good reference for a lay reader would be useful.
If the speed of light is slowed over vast differences, would this give the impression if an expanding universe?
Mike Swinbourne
logged in via Facebook
Diana, I hope you aren't one of those creationists who is going to try and argue that the speed of light is changing. That has been debunked so many times that it doesn't even bear discussing.
Joe Gartner
Tilter
I imagine, Diana, that this is possible; but, as there is no empiric evidence for it, why add an unknown when there are so few knowns?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam's_razor
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
An interesting question. The speed of light in a vacuum is almost certainly constant or extremely close to it.
The structure of the Universe includes a component known as baryon acoustic oscillations. The size of the baryon acoustic oscillations is a function of the speed of light and the time it took the Universe to cool to 3000 Kelvin.
We see the baryon oscillations in the cosmic microwave background and throughout the Universe, and their size is what we would expect it to be if the speed of light is constant.
An introduction to baryon acoustic oscillations is online at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baryon_acoustic_oscillations but it gets pretty technical pretty quickly.
Diana Taylor
retired psychotherapist
Thanks for the info. Mike, you may be tired of discussing this, but it is nevertheless a serious question. I am not a creationist. Just a curious layperson looking at the issues.
Joe, if there are so many unknowns, how valid is the debate? Maybe the calculations are easier if the speed of light is constant. That is not a valid reason for accepting the hypothesis.I am well aware of Occam's razor. .
Michael, thanks for useful reference.
Can anyone explain black holes if the speed of light is constant.?
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
Black holes are entirely consistent with a constant speed of light. As a photon falls towards a black hole it gains energy but still travels at light speed.
A longer answer with some references is provided at http://imagine.gsfc.nasa.gov/docs/ask_astro/answers/970314d.html
Joe Gartner
Tilter
Diana,
Because there are many unknowns it does not make consistent evidence supporting a theory invalid, inconsistent o wrong. But nor does it make competing conjectural theories with no evidence automatically valid.
Diana Taylor
retired psychotherapist
Thank you, Michael. A simple concept that I had overlooked.
Diana Taylor
retired psychotherapist
Nor does it definitively prove the current hypothesis. Anyway I now realize that my mistake was forgetting Einstein's equation... that it is the mass and/or the energy of the particle that increases and therefore traps it in the black hole. QED.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
Diana, Einstein's equation is actually more complicated that most know. See this video for more.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=NnMIhxWRGNw
Joe Gartner
Tilter
Science is denied by the vast bulk of humans because they simply don't understand the principles or scope of scientific endeavour. That is not a disparaging statement, its merely that the plebs can hardly grasp the concept of good science.meven scientists are flawed in this regard -as this article points out.
Read moreWhat is required is good communicators of science, like Karl kruszintski without the quirkiness and loud shirts, or perhaps good science journalists, like the vast majority of Australian…
Chris O'Neill
Telecommunications Engineer
"What is required is good communicators of science, like Karl kruszintski without the quirkiness and loud shirts"
I'm glad you noticed he's a good communicator when he's not quirky and wearing loud shirts.
Laurie Willberg
Journalist
"I just put them up, I don't care where they come down -- that's not my department!" said Wernher von Braun.
How many environmental disasters have been averted by scientists so far? Think Italian geologists. How many disasters have been caused by the handy technological use of "science"? Chernobyl anyone?
There seem to be more than a few whiners crying about "science denial". Science is a tool, nothing more. More often than not there is disagreement, politicking, competitiveness for grants, funding, etc.
One thing "science" has proven is that it propagates theories, and one tends to predominate over others. This is not certainty, not proof, just theory. And the predominating theories these days tend to be paid for by commercial interests.
Joe Gartner
Tilter
Perhaps you should familiarise yourself with the philosophy of science before jumping on the science hating bandwagon. You might be surprised about what proof and theory actually means in the context of science,you might also be ashamed about how vacuous and querulous your argumentation is in the light of the philosophical underpinnings of science.
David Collett
IT Application Developer at Web Generation
"How many environmental disasters have been averted by scientists so far?"
One which immediately comes to mind is the hole in the ozone layer averted by good science.
http://www.theozonehole.com/
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
Spot on, Laurie. Scientism at its best here, including the whining component. That is, using the science platform to make subjective arguments and blaming every other form of thought or being that somehow comes up against scientific 'truth'. And to Chernobyl we can add Nagasaki, where scientists made the decision to construct a weapon capable of killing millions of civilians in one go. Not to mention lovely ideological movements based on the 'reality' which science can show us where the stupidity…
Read moreMark Amey
logged in via Facebook
'This is not certainty, not proof, just theory.'
Yest some 'theories' are inescapable (he says with his bum firmly attached to his chair by the 'theory' of gravity).
Geoffrey Edwards
logged in via email @gmail.com
"How many environmental disasters have been averted by scientists so far? Think Italian geologists."
So... Science is bad because Italian Geologists failed to "avert" an earthquake?
Cheers for the lulz.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
Dania commented...
We have seen BigBang" (Did it really went "Bang!"? And how loud was it?)
Funnily enough there are sound waves in the early Universe and we see them as structures in the cosmic microwave background. An introduction is provided at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baryon_acoustic_oscillations
Grendelus Malleolus
Senior Nerd
"How many environmental disasters have been averted by scientists so far?"
Every environmental disaster that has been averted.
Scientists are involved in detecting the risk and designing mitigations - new building codes for example where scientists and enginers design structures to withstand earthquakes better. Endangered species are preserved through the careful work of biologists, mass diseases are prevented by immunologists and vaccines...
The list is endless because the work goes on.
Derek Bolton
Retired s/w engineer
"How many environmental disasters have been averted by scientists?"
Read moreFirst, don't confuse science with technology, nor the latter with the abuse of technology.
Science can help avert disasters by detecting the problem and/or identifying its cause. Acid rain, ozone hole, tsunami prediction; the dangers of smoking, lead, asbestos; epidemics; weather prediction to avoid famines; ... it's a long list.
The culpability of the Italian geologists is far from clear. In all the reports I've read it's unclear…
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
Yes, but did it go "Bang!"? Or was it more like a high pitch screech? Would it freak you out if, upon finally interpreting the microwave background, it turns out to be Beethoven's Symphony No.9?
Sue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
Ms Ng - you deride the "uneducated" scientists "you know - the ones that know no philosophy, and equate prudence and ethics with religion" - but your comments don't appear to reflect any training in science.
Are you an uneducated non-scientist?
alfred venison
records manager (public sector)
"... Nagasaki, where scientists made the decision to construct a weapon capable of killing millions of civilians in one go". wrong, president roosevelt decided to build the atomic bomb & president truman decided to use it. -a.v.
Sean Lamb
Science Denier
A little disingenuous there Alfred
http://www.aip.org/history/einstein/images/ae43a.jpg
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
I'm surprised that Mrs Ng is here, given that there are no 'homosexualists' to deride!
alfred venison
records manager (public sector)
you're right, Sean Lamb, i wanted to keep it simple & address specifically the malicious claim that "scientists decided" to build the bomb & use it against japan, without burdening everyone with a mini essay in history.
as you know, and fairly call me out on, einstein & others urged president roosevelt to build the atomic bomb, because they knew the nazis would be working on one & the prospect of the nazis having the only atomic bomb during the war was too terrible to contemplate.
scientists…
Read moreMark Amey
logged in via Facebook
Of course, we can all access the truth at 'truth2be.net', it's just so illuminating!
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
"wrong, president roosevelt decided to build the atomic bomb & president truman decided to use it". Wrong, Roosevelt decided to instruct his military and relevant scientists to build it. Scientists, decided to obey, even when knowing what it will lead to. -d.n.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
lol, are you serious, a.v.? just checking, because I hope you realise what you're saying.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
thanks for the plug, Mark, much appreciated
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
I thought it was craptacular, as did Mark Harrigan's solicitor!
Sean Lamb
Science Denier
Actually I didn't know a small number of scientists compiled the Franck report - quite interesting. So thanks for pointing it out.
Read moreAs for this
"the prospect of the nazis having the only atomic bomb during the war was too terrible to contemplate. "
You know I think it very unlikely that either the Allies or Germany would have used the nuclear bomb on each - except possibly in a tactical sense. After Dresden they rather backed away from wholesale tactic of destroying cities in terror bombings…
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
what? truth2be.net? thanks for the assessment, obviously you deal in crap quite a bit. oh, i am so scared by harrigan's solicitor, lol. quick everyone, dash off to my website before it is taken down by solicitors.
alfred venison
records manager (public sector)
you might like to look at gavriel d. rosenfeld, "the world hitler never made: alternate history & the memory of nazism", cambridge, 2005. a serious study by an american historian of some 200 or more alternative histories written by british, american, german, french, czech writers from 1939 to the present. len deighton, philip k. dick, and many more; novels, short stories, comics, plays, and t.v. dramas.
i think its highly likely the nazis would have used the atomic bomb if they'd developed it…
Read moreSean Lamb
Science Denier
There is been better work since Gar Alperovitz.
Read moreThe best is Tsuyoshi Hasegawa, who concludes that the Soviet entry into the war was probably had greater impact on the thinking of the Japanese govt based on available documentation than Hiroshima. Of course America could have ended hostilities with Japan without either, but it was seeking unconditional surrender - a pretty tall order without actual invasion. What Hasegawa suggests is the Japanese agreed to American occupation and unconditional surrender…
alfred venison
records manager (public sector)
fair enough, Sean Lamb, as you've surmised i have no specific gripe with you on this one, only with individuals who maliciously attribute to scientists decisions they didn't make & who claim holocaust denial is a form of knowledge, as a lie is not a form of knowledge, it is a misrepresentation of knowledge. anyway, you clearly know your stuff & i think we have digressed enough on a topic tangential to the thread. nice talking with you & thanks for the reference to hasegawa; i will keep an eye out & check dower's bibliography when i get home. i heartily recommend to you rosenfeld & dower, who, unike alperovitz, knows japanese. -a.v.
Sue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
True, Mark. Ms Ng appears to be diversifying the type of factories that she works in.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
" i have no specific gripe with you on this one, only with individuals who maliciously attribute to scientists decisions they didn't make & who claim holocaust denial is a form of knowledge, as a lie is not a form of knowledge, it is a misrepresentation of knowledge"
Read moreWho is the malicious individual here, a.v.? Methinks is the one who simply lies and misrepresents what the other said. But if it makes you feel good, go for it. For myself, I rather try to respect divergent views, though I may not agree…
alfred venison
records manager (public sector)
yeah, whatever. -a.v.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
You really don't know what I am talking about, do you? The last was a paraphrased quote by Elie Wiesel. You can go make fun of his knowledge as well, since he saw what some scientist did to his people.
Emma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
I wouldn't rule it out....
Seriously how cool would that be
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
Beethoven's Symphony No.9? In the cosmic microwave patterns? I'm absolutely certain it's there. All we need do is use our imagination ... after all, that's what created this precious musical jewel in the first place Wasn't it Einstein who said, "Logic will get you from A to B. Imagination will take you everywhere"? And where would the Reasonably High Pitch "Hummmm" theory be without Einstein? Indeed, where would Einstein's warm humanity be without Beethoven's imagination? Eh? :`)
But in essence I agree with you, it would be way beyond cool!
Emma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
I'd be happy with any concerto, polka, waltz, symphony....but Beethoven would be wickedly poetic.
Still even if it's not (and it's a pretty sure bet it's not, though I'm not ruling it out just yet) some other gifted musician will probably turn the maths of it into a symphony. Or perhaps even death metal, complete with four minute solos and double kick drums....
Oh, the music of the spheres indeed.
alfred venison
records manager (public sector)
music of the spheres?
http://sonoraaurora.blogspot.com.au/2012/11/nasa-voyager-space-sounds-flac.html
i've heard this album - it sounds like a crowded spectrum of electronic noise - not much of a message there & certainly no discernable music even by the most attenuated avant garde definition.
holst would be most poetically wicked to have found but no holst there. -a.v.
David Collett
IT Application Developer at Web Generation
Great article. Very much enjoyed reading it!
Tim Comber
logged in via Facebook
My favorite is when a school teacher once said to me "You don't believe in science do you?" That was 30 years or so ago but clearly there still are people who think that science is something you can 'believe' in!
Geoffrey Edwards
logged in via email @gmail.com
I think it is a neccesary component of science that it is admissable for one to dis-believe.
The attitude of doubt is what drives science forward. Major advances can come from not believing that any given account is the final word.
The attitude of "certainity" is often a brake on inquiry, not a spur.
The criticism you state above ultimately relies on what your concept of "belief" is. While I would suggest that ignoring, or flatly denying, science is not advisable, science still requires us to "believe" things.
http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/belief/
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
When it comes to what to believe, I very much agree with http://theconversation.edu.au/no-youre-not-entitled-to-your-opinion-9978
Glenn Tamblyn
logged in via Facebook
Geoff
Big difference between "disbelief in science" ,and "disbelief (skepticism) in the evidence supporting a particular assertion within science (a hypothesis)"
The latter is the life blood of how science works. A part of the machinary of how science works.
The former is simply "I don't want think the universe runs by rules because I don't like the conclusions those rules lead to"
Essentially a disbelief 'in' (or perhaps 'of'') science is the last bastion of Anthropocentric thinking:
- I am the center of the Universe. I am the Universe. It revolves around me. It is 'for' me.
- Therefore, ideas that the Universe doesn't revolve around me must be wrong. If I don't like the conclusion, the premise must be wrong. Because,of course, if I don't like something, it can'tbe true.
Geoff Taylor
Consultant
Michael
My questions have more to do with Hubble's constant than the big bang.
We observe a variety of EM radiation from the distant universe.
That radiation travels through we are told a dark energy field, also containing dark matter. Are we sure there is no interaction? Could there not be parallel effects a bit like Rayleigh scattering? Could there not be absorption, reradiation at an altered wavelength?
Then there is gravity drag on the EM radiation, which can alter its vector. Gravity can change the time parameter, hence GPS satellite velocity corrections.
There is Lyman alpha to consider.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
Astronomers have spent a great deal of effort trying to understand the absorption and scattering of light as it travels through the Universe.
In particular, people worried that absorption could make objects appear dimmer and mimic more distant objects. This was one of the primary concerns of Brian Schmidt and his collaborators when they measured the changing expansion of the Universe.
In recent years, astronomers have been able to measure distances using geometric methods (e.g., baryon acoustic oscillations) that are not susceptible to absorption of light. The distances derived using these methods agree with the distances measured using the observed brightness of celestial objects.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
The deflection of light by gravity is well known to astronomers, where it is known as gravitational lensing. The effect was first observed using distant stars and the Sun during a Solar eclipse.
The results can be quite amazing. For a nice example see http://hubblesite.org/newscenter/archive/releases/2009/25/image/ao/
David Hamer
student
I find it amusing that so many scientists attack people for denial. The scientific process is based on denial. If it wasn’t for denial we would still believe the world is flat.
Personally I won’t be bullied into agreement with people, however if I choose to form an opinion on a subject I will examine the evidence until I believe a reasonable conclusion can be drawn.
In my opinion the big bang happened, and CAGW is still unreliable. But that does not mean I should not doubt those conclusions.
And about “Science advances one funeral at a time.” presumably science is banking on a mass human extinction ;)
Dejan Tesic
Former Lecturer at Charles Sturt University
I think that you might be confusing 'denial' with 'skepticism'. Anyway, the scientific process is most certainly not based on 'denial'.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
The roughly spherical shape of the Earth was first determined thousands of years ago. Sailors have been well aware of the shape of the Earth for a very long time. The spherical Earth long ago ceased to be an abstract concept.
To believe in a spherical Earth does not require denial. What it does require is accepting that first impressions can be incorrect and relying on data rather than gut feeling.
Sue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
There is a difference between directly observable/measurable phenomena, and those that aren't (yet).
So, for example, the shape of the earth, the effects of gravity, the sodium concentration inside and outside cells, the effect of insulin on blood glucose levels - these phenomena are no longer open to review (although the language may change).
For other things - like the cause of causes of multiple sclerosis, the best adjuvant to use in vaccines, the science continues to evolve as new evidence is incorporated.
No new evidence for homeopathy, though. Water is just hydrogen and oxygen, in a fixed ratio.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
"Water is just hydrogen and oxygen, in a fixed ratio" And you would simply die without it, eh? Tell me, before we knew that water is H2O, did we not know that we would die without it?
Knowledge is valuable, even when it isn't scientific knowledge.
Sue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
Not sure what your point is, Dania-not-a-factory-worker, but I'll play along.
Yes - we've known for a long time that we need water to survive. It doesn't cure diseases, though, except for dehydration.
Knowledge can be valuable when it is accurate and used in a constructive way. Both false information held as knowledge (like homeopathy, or Holocaust denial), and misapplied knowledge (like building bombs or using dangerous pesticides) can be dangerous.
Is that what you had in mind? Tell me.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
Very good, Sue. You're getting somewhere. Thank you for playing along. Now please be patient and try the next step. Think about this statement: Scientists should not be arrogant and disrespectful of other knowledge and ways of knowing.
Read moreThe examples you gave are nonsensical for a specific reason. Whatever you think of them, they represent forms of knowledge, no matter whether wrong or correct. I personally don't believe homeopathy works, or the thesis the Holocaust never happened. However, though…
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
So, complete nonsense counts as 'knowledege'. What unmitigated piffle!
alfred venison
records manager (public sector)
"the thesis the Holocaust never happened" is not a different form of knowledge, its a lie. -a.v.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
and how, pray tell, matters if knowledge is a lie or not? for instance, I prefer the knowledge that you're a nice chap who respects difference, even though such knowledge is obviously a lie -d.n.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
example of (according to the reality which Mark inhabits) unmitigated piffle: http://www.kullillaart.com.au/default.asp?PageID=47&n=The+Great+Watersnake+of+Nagamaru
let me also thank you again for mentioning my modest website before, Mark. I have just checked and there were 15 visits to it since your plug here.
Sue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
Ms Ng, if you choose to re-define the meaning of the word "knowledge", you can argue anything you like. But with negligible validity.
Do you spot the way in which you and I differ here?
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
Mrs Ng, I have enormous respect for our Aboriginal forebears, and don't regard this as piffle. What I do regard as piffle is the anti-homosexual, and anti-vaccine rubbish that you and Ms Willberg constantly inject into TC.
If I feel like a really good belly laugh I go over to truth2be!
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
I rest my case, Mark. You're incapable of staying on topic, but since obviously your aim is to be as obnoxious as you possibly can, changing your story comes easily to you. As a matter of fact, I am no more an 'anti-homosexual' than I am anti-anyone who makes nonsensical accusations. I simply pity them, they must have such limited perspectives on life, justice and dignity. Not that you would understand the difference, but I stand against homosexualism (the ideology that homosexuality is the same…
Read moreDania Ng
Retired factory worker
So then, please tell me, Sue, which is better, truth that is a lie or the lie that is truth? If you know the answer, then you'd also know how we differ.
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
Thanks for your pity, Mrs Ng, but, I don't need it!
As for not being anti 'homosexualist', if you have black feathers, fly backwards to keep the sun out of your eyes, and cry 'caw, caw' you're likely to be called a crow!
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
Oh, I am indeed an anti-homosexualist, Mark. And I think you do need the pity, since you can't even comprehend what I have said.
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
From truth2be:
I am Dania, and this is my personal site. Here you'll find commentaries added from time to time, analyses of issues which are of interest to me, and other writings on all sorts of topics - also of interest to me.
Read moreI am a spiritual person, I believe that the sanctity of life holds over individual wants, and that we are not merely animals but human beings. I hold strong values on freedom, the main one being that freedom is impossible without responsibility. I respect, have a high…
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
Thanks for this additional plug, Mark, even though you might think you're doing an expose of me. I must tell you that the website is doing really well since you have taken to plugging my modest website. Sincere thanks!
Read moreSince you went to such length to selectively quote from an entry on my blog, here, let me complete the quotation thread so that others can get a more complete picture of the exchange. I said in return:
"But you don't have to, Mark, you seem to do quite well here, promoting one particular…
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
"But you don't have to, Mark, you seem to do quite well here, promoting one particular view and complaining about and asking for other people's comments to be deleted. You got it made! ..."
Your nasty, vindictive, personal attack on Dr Harrigan was flagged (by me, as I admitted, but others may also have flagged, as well). Your comment was removed, and you were notified by email, which you have graciously reproduced on your web-site.
You consistently fail to be able to comprehend scientific…
Read moreDania Ng
Retired factory worker
I am nasty because I resisted the continuous targeting and hounding by Harrigan, and ridiculed him back for doing so? I may post a longer response to this question on my website over the next few days, but let me just mention a couple of things here. Anyone can go to Harrigan's profile here: https://theconversation.edu.au/profiles/mark-harrigan-1790 and read the kind of aggressive and demeaning comments he makes in response to other people's opinions and contributions, one can see clearly that I…
Read moreSean Manning
Physicist
All true knowledge is gained via the scientific method. The fact that we die without water was arrived at by testing the hypothesis: I can't live if I don't drink water. The expreiment consisting of, not drinking water and seeing what happens. Many people have repeated this expreiment over history so we have pretty good statistics now and can confidently say; I can not live if I don't drink water.
Humans are fundamentally scientific; just watch a toddler explore their world. We are only later indoctrinated into a world of bulls#$t superstition and make believe.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
Sean
Read moreI think you're talking about objective facts. You don't need 'science' to make sense of the objective facts around you. For hundreds of thousands of years humanity made sense of the physical world around them without science, but through the ability to develop culture and so a system of symbolic meanings to explain their objective reality, and to convey this culture as knowledge from generation to generation. It wasn't simply 'if you don't drink water, you die', but entire stories of how to…
Grendelus Malleolus
Senior Nerd
"Only through formal education do we learn the scientific explanation for water. And only in the last three or four hundred years have we gained the ability to develop science."
I am speechless - well almost. In one statement you wipe clean an incredible history of recording and communicating empirical observations in the Mesoptamia, Asia, Egypt, India - and early Greece. Plato? Aristotle? Are these not the fathers of deductive reasoning, of taking a systematic approach to examining the world?
Perhaps you you take your own advice and go read. Start with Thales.
Chris O'Neill
Telecommunications Engineer
"And only in the last three or four hundred years have we gained the ability to develop science."
She's bitten off more than she can chew this time.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
Are you confusing 'modern science' with philosophy? Plato did science, did he? Aristotle, if I remember correctly, talked about three dimensions to human knowledge, episteme, techne and phronesis - something modern science ain't, that's for sure. Thales was a philosopher, early mathematics was one of his trades, geometry and such. Empirical observations, though obviously part of it, are not the same as experimental science, hypothesis construction and testing, manipulating the independent variable…
Read moreDania Ng
Retired factory worker
An addendum: I had a few words to say about this little discussion on my website, here: http://www.truth2be.net/1/post/2013/01/crocamey.html
Enjoy!
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
Oh, joy, the great, and highly intellectual Dania Ng has deigned to mention me in her blog ( I think I may have had more words written about me then Dr Harrigan).
Crocoamey, how clever!!
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
Glad you like it :`) I think you should realise that it isn't really about you personally. Rather, you are a representative case; it's about the type of individual whom you represent. I would be most pleased if you prove me wrong, though, by engaging in a real dialogue.
Otherwise, please continue to snap away, seems to be your thing.
Emma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
Mate if you're such a history buff, please advise on why people like Galileo were treated as they were considering, in your opinion at least, "it was the bull*** and the superstition which actually got us here"
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
I don't understand the question, sorry. If you mean the disrespect which some scientists have for other forms of knowledge, then I can only reiterate my view that the climb by humans to the top of all living matter on Earth is largely due to human endeavours that had nothing to do with science. It may hurt the feelings of some, but it was largely culture which made us into sapient beings, and which finally enabled us to do science. Without belief in Gods, magic, symbolic meanings, traditions, politics, arts and crafts, we would not have found a need to developed complex language (and so certain logic) and thus we wouldn't have developed the intellect and capacity to eventually do science - we wouldn't have the brain we now have, see? There may be immense amount of scientistic tooth gnashing and mountains of vitriol being generated as we speak, because of me daring to utter this simple objective fact, but there it is! If I didn't answer your question, please fell free to ask it again.
Emma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
Your arguments about the origins of science are partially valid but they are mostly irrelevant to what I am discussing.
Besides, if science represents a step forward in our intellectual development as a species, regardless of it's origins, even from that point of view, it is likely a more advanced tool for generating knowledge.
Indeed, it is. Science brought us vaccines. Their efficacy can be tested.
Non-scientific arguments based on hysteria, paranoia and panic bring us a situation where…
Read moreDania Ng
Retired factory worker
Wow, sorry I responded and encouraged the development of this conversation. My short answer is: "Yes, I for one would like to believe in fairies at the bottom of my garden if I wish to. No, I don't agree that anti-vaxxers place the life of others at risk, there is scant evidence for this, with the occasional casualty trumpeted by the popular media. They only risk their own lives and those who agree with them. Science is not the only form of useful knowledge, nor is it, in my view, the highest. To…
Read moreRobert Tony Brklje
Robert Tony Brklje is a Friend of The Conversation.
retired
It has all become far uglier than simple denial. If there is a profit in it, it is true and if it threatens profits it is false.
This is bad enough but now politicians and mass media are all to willing to join in the game. It now requires a far more aggressive defence of facts and sounds scientific theories, those that promote for profit lies should be aggressively challenged until they publicly recant, otherwise this nonsense will get further and further out of control.
Pat McConnell
Honorary Fellow, Macquarie University Applied Finance Centre at Macquarie University
Great article, well done
What to do about deniers? Call them out - as you do here.
A good example is the response to (acting leader of the Opposition) Warren Truss's comments yesterday about bush fires, "Indeed I guess there'll be more CO2 emissions from these fires than there will be from coal-fired power stations for decades"
Total and utter tosh that was rebutted immediately by experts who just happen to know the facts. Surprisingly the rebuttal was printed without comment by News…
Read moreLeslie Shaw
Retired
It seems to me that Big Bang denial is equated with anti science. This is ridiculous. There are many valid alternative theories which do not appear as valid on Wikipedia as they are quickly edited out by the denizens of the media accepted community.
My favourite alternative is the Plasma cosmology or Electric Universe theory which posits that electromagnetism a force which is 10 to the 39th power more powerful than gravity is the main agent in the universe. If this is correct there are no requirements for dark energy or dark matter or black holes and definitely no big bang theory. Also the red shift calculations of distance were shown to be dodgy 50 years ago yet are still used to "fix" the age of the universe.
Overall it seems to me there are too many people who would have egg on their faces and would lose millions of dollars in funding if any of the alternatives proved to be more likely than Big Bang which is as funny as the TV sitcom of the same name.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
The reason that the Big Bang has support and the Plasma and Electric thingys don't is down to good science versus unsupported supposition.
You can't pretend that direct observations haven't been made that support aspects of the Big Bang, whilst the others don't even conform with known physics and measurements.
http://scientopia.org/blogs/galacticinteractions/2011/01/15/how-i-know-plasma-cosmology-is-wrong/
http://www.tim-thompson.com/electric-sun.html
And adding in the classic denial tactic of "scientists would lose money" for not supporting a certain theory does not lend weight to your argument.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
A good resource for debunking plasma cosmology is http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/astronomy/bigbang.html#lerner which includes links to other resources.
Sean Lamb
Science Denier
Being a Platonist I am obviously not a believer in the Big Bang - but I am not sure I would go as far as to say I deny it.
It would like be denying aristocracy was declining or static before the French revolution - whatever the prevailing theory is at the moment. It is something a bit difficult to work up a sweat over and since short of traveling back in time to the French Revolution or the Big Bang we can't be definitive about, it is always liable to be over turned by the young lions of the next generation of scientists looking to shoulder their older colleagues out of the way.
Michael J.I. Brown believes in the Big Bang - good for him. I would support any political party that slashed funding for astrophysics research, unfortunately none of them are going to.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
So you want to slash money from the arising technology developments that have arisen from astrophysics?
I see you are strong on your denial of evidence as well as science. Seems we can add logic to that list if you don't like funding things that develop the technology you use. Just a short list, more on their site: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NASA_spin-off_technologies
Sean Lamb
Science Denier
A. NASA isn't astrophysics
B. You are developing a fallacy that such technologies could only have emerged from funding NASA (or astrophysics). I expect artificial limbs are not that much different regardless of whether we landed on the moon or not (not astrophysics). But that's just me.
I would fund them on a par with philosophy departments, as that is essentially what they do.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
Incorrect on both points Sean.
NASA uses astrophysics. Not only that, they put (most of) the satellites up that allow us to communicate. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Astrophysics
And you can't claim that a technology would have been developed regardless unless you can prove that. Technology was invented, is a provable, this cannot be weighed against supposition. Especially since that supposition assumes that the needs would have been able to develop the technology on its own, would have the resources and the investment.
Also, you are also committing the common mistake of thinking that research has no benefit unless it is direct. Time and time again, in just about every field of science, research benefits are calculated to far outweigh the research costs. I can't think of many that run at less than 1:3 (three dollars in benefit for every dollar spent).
Sean Lamb
Science Denier
"And you can't claim that a technology would have been developed regardless unless you can prove that. "
Yes I can
"I can't think of many that run at less than 1:3 (three dollars in benefit for every dollar spent)."
Oh well, since you appear to have such precise data at your finger tips, what are the fields that run at less than 1:3?
It is a spurious claim anyway, I am not saying we shouldn't fund research, I am just saying that I personally wouldn't fund Professor Brown's research. Rather I would fund research that delivers 1:4 or 1:5 benefits rather than the measly 1:3 you seem content with.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
Well technically that would mean that you should fund astrophysics then. NASA and the like return $10 for every $1 spent.
http://useconomy.about.com/od/usfederalbudget/p/nasa_budget_cost.htm
http://er.jsc.nasa.gov/seh/economics.html
Sean Lamb
Science Denier
Sez NASA.
Anyway I wanted to hear about the list of fields - not many you said - which the return was less than 1:3.
Pony them up.
Grendelus Malleolus
Senior Nerd
"I am just saying that I personally wouldn't fund Professor Brown's research"
Translation:
"I don't agree with him therefore he should not get anymore money"
Not a great way to run any kind of research.
Sean Lamb
Science Denier
I dunno, making me Grand Impresario of Research Funding would be the smartest move Australia ever made. Unlikely to happen maybe, that in no way diminishes the excellence of the concept.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
No. I won't entertain your blatant ignorance further on this subject.
You have just dismissed two analyses of the benefits of NASA, both independent of NASA, finding that the work they do is massively financially beneficial. I also linked to the direct benefits of the LHC and the Mars Rover, which you have again dismissed.
Unless you have actual rebuttals and evidence with which to call into question the references I have provided, then your argument is null and void. Thus, it is you who should be providing evidence. But of course you won't do that because you don't like evidence or science, you like to pretend that your opinion is somehow more valid than all of that. This is nothing but arrogance and is exactly what drives science denial.
Sean Lamb
Science Denier
Dismiss them? I didn't even read them! If they are not written by NASA they will have been written by someone reliant on NASA for patronage. In any case I doubt they have fully investigated the outcomes if money spent on NASA had been instead diverted to dedicated technologies research. For example I expect Bell Labs have given us far more than NASA ever did - Bell Labs are no more.
As it happens I don't particularly object to money being spent on space exploration either - I don't think NASA is a very good vehicle for doing it though. It should be disbanded and new structures set up based on competition, openness and transparency and contestability.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
So, your uninformed opinion, based on no evidence nor understanding, just gut feel and what you reckon, has come to a conclusion?
Forgive me for giving no weight to anything you ever have to say. What you think is clearly a waste of everyone's time if you aren't even willing to read anything on a topic you spout off about.
Chris Harper
Engineer
Sean,
As an FYI, by the mid nineteen seventies the entire space program had been paid for just by property damage foregone as a result of better weather forecasts. Everything else we got out of it up to that time was a freebie on top.
Regardless of whinges about NASA these days, and I got loads of 'em, the money spent on space is one of the best investments the human race has made since Queen Isabella hocked her jewels to fund Chris Columbus.
Fred Pribac
logged in via email @internode.on.net
Thanks for this article.
One interesting point you raise: "Even some atheists oppose the Big Bang because it has a creation event."
Isn't it true that there is no inviolable ground and that it is in fact entirely appropriate for folks to question every single aspect and assumption underlying scientific orthodoxies!
For instance, there remains a powerful reluctance to accept the apparently unfalsifiable core assumption of the standard Big Bang theory that something can come from nothing. My understanding was that this motivates a number of legitimate attempts at finding alternative cosmologies that could give rise to the observable universe.
This "denial" may be frustrating in the near-field but in the far-field it may actually robustify science.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
I think it is important to question underlying assumptions. For example, there are some cyclic models of the Universe that don't have a creation event like the standard Big Bang theory (e.g., the models of Turok and collaborators).
However, most of these models do have events that produce rapidly expanding and initially hot/dense universes that have many of the same properties as the conventional Big Bang theory.
In contrast, the alternate models produced by science deniers typically fail to reproduce well established observations and do not produce robust predictions.
Emma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
Oh good I wasn't sure how much was my imagination or not
Does Turoks model suggest that our universe is a black hole
I reckon the universe is a self generating black hole
The black holes inside our universe contain the matter that is outside our universe and feeds it
And vice versa
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
The Turok model does not suggest our Universe is a black hole. A very brief introduction is provided at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclic_model#The_Steinhardt.E2.80.93Turok_model and the model is definitely not trivial to explain.
David Noel
Researcher
Actually, the whole Big Bang idea is now disproved. See, for example, http://www.aoi.com.au/bcw/Placid/index.htm and http://www.aoi.com.au/bcw/RIPExpanding/index.htm. All the points in the Michael Brown's article are analyzed and their falsity shown.
What's interesting in this article is that it shows the stage the Big Bang item has now reached. Gandhi once said (on introducing new concepts): "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, and then you win!" This propaganda has now reached Stage 3 - "then they fight you". Michael Brown's fervent exposition is the last knockings of a failed theory, and we can, slowly, now expect to see the shamefaced excuses of those who previously supported it.
Grendelus Malleolus
Senior Nerd
David - proposing an hypothesis is not disproving a theory
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
David, your "research" seems to lack any credible references, has no maths, has no statistics, has no measurements, has no direct observations, is not scientifically published, has not been through the peer review process and, to be quite honest, is laughably childish.
I also find it odd that you run two research centres with one person involved: Tree Crops Research and Ben Franklin Centre for Theoretical Research.
Seems that your the one needing to provide evidence here, rather than just dismissing the Big Bang, otherwise you are just another science denier.
Ben Brooker
Technical Analyst
You said everything I was going to say Tim!
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
I noted the following in the article:
Often the most vocal opposition to the Big Bang appears online in fringe journals and websites, where it can avoid astronomers' difficult facts and criticism.
Sue Ieraci
Public hospital clinician
A proposal: let's discard the word "belief" in this discussion.
The new question would be this: "When you assess all the existing evidence for (x or y phenomenon), what is your interpretation of that evidence?"
Better?
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
I love science denial. Nothing like seeing someone communicate, via the internet, using mobile computer devices and the like, powered by electricity, across the planet and via satellite, to say that they don't believe in science.
I was watching a documentary on physics recently with the key leaders in "big bang" research and theories. They were well past the singularity and expansion part of the question and looking at prior to this and how to create experiments to measure test their hypotheses…
Read moreSean Lamb
Science Denier
I took the moniker science denier as a sort of epater les bourgeoise after seeing the term bandied about in climate change debates.
Read moreI think, as someone else pointed out, we need to distinguish between Science and Scientism.
I did work a bit in science, mostly as a technician, and from that vantage point it seemed to me that scientists are all too human, prone to group-think and the same hierarchies of dominance we see play out in business or in parliament. Doubtless angels would make good scientists…
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
Anti-science drivel, Sean.
You are pretending that scientists are science. Scientists are only human, science is the way we seek to understand the universe without the inherent problems you've raised (and many you haven't).
As to your anti-LHC spiel, well it has already had societal benefits, and not just knowledge and advancement of understanding. http://lhc.ac.uk/about-the-lhc/who-benefits/what-has-the-lhc-done-for-us.html http://news.nationalgeographic.com.au/news/2008/09/080912-lhc-practical.html You really should read about science, rather than denying it all the time, since you do rely on science every day.
Geoffrey Edwards
logged in via email @gmail.com
Yes, the great irony of our global communications technologies being used to espouse theories which, if true, would exclude the possibility of such technology.
Anyway..
The gap in knowledge between experts and lay people can be problematic.
But I think a bigger problem may be the obvious lack of understanding of how science actually goes about its business, as evidenced by such rhetorical gems as "it's just a theory."
There is often a great deal of focus on what we know, but the issue of "how" we come to know this seems of critical importance. If people don't comprehend this aspect, knowledge becomes, as it was in the past, a series of arguments from authority and skillful rhetoric usually trumps cautious and complex explanations.
Sean Lamb
Science Denier
"As to your anti-LHC spiel, well it has already had societal benefits, and not just knowledge and advancement of understanding"
Of course it has, the scientists running it has told us so.
Did you know if you donate to the Garvan Institute ours will be the last generation to die of cancer? It will probably depend on how much you donate though
Emma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
Conflating the method with the madness, I see.
The sociology of science needs to be sorted out, yes.
The method however, works.
Science is a method.
Scientism has nothing to do with your argument....wrong term being applied here!
Nick Denniston
Dietitian
We are indeed are now living in a world where our media gatekeepers such as journalists now no longer feel a need or perhaps do not have the skills to develop rationale well researched articles or provide accurate information. And readers have yet to make the switch towards accurate informed information sources and a are being led a merry dance by media outlets chasing a quick headline grabbing story. There was a time where media was the champion of science and in fact medicine now they go out of…
Read moreNicholas Roberts
Software Engineer
Maybe not the best idea comparing something as theoretical as "big bang theory" with something like well defined and understood like vaccine science. Only encourages the denier mob !
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
The expanding Universe, the cosmic microwave background and the structure seen in cosmic microwave background are very well established. Billions of years ago the Universe was very hot and very dense, and it has expanded and cooled since. There is very little wiggle room in this, as there are a variety of independent observations supporting this.
That said, there are aspects of the Big Bang that certainly aren't well understood. For example, there is much that we need to learn about inflation. An article discussing this is online at Paul Steinhardt's website at http://wwwphy.princeton.edu/~steinh/inflationarycosmology.html
Bruce Tabor
Research Scientist at CSIRO
"Extraordinary claims about the supposed failings of the Big Bang theory weren’t being backed by extraordinary evidence."
Quite. Similarly you will note that extraordinary claims about the supposed non-existence of the Flying Spaghetti Monster (FSM) are also not backed by extraordinary evidence.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flying_Spaghetti_Monster
Great article by the way, but a new twist on the burden of falsifiability in science!
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
A useful Big Bang FAQ is http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/astronomy/bigbang.html which includes links to original resources.
The FAQ provides lines of evidence for the Big Bang and debunks several of the flawed alternate theories.
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
Thanks for the link. Have bookmarked it for future reading!
Leslie Shaw
Retired
in reply to Tim Scanlon
You must be one of the trolls of Wikipedia who goes through and deletes anything that smacks of Heresy to established Big Science. From a point of view of common sense it requires mathematical fantasies of Dark Energy, Dark Matter, Black Holes etc to support the gravity only expansionist model of the universe called the Big Bang, when electromagnetism working through dusty plasma easily accounts for all the so called missing mass. There are many recognized physicists, electrical engineers, astronomers and even Nobel prize winner Hans Alfen, who see these alternatives.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
Plasma cosmology has been debunked many times. http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/astronomy/bigbang.html#lerner provides many of the details, with links to original resources. This site also discusses evidence for dark matter and dark energy.
There is a great deal of evidence for black holes. We can observe stars at the centre of our galaxy orbiting a dark object that has a mass over a million times that of our Sun. For more information useful article is http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=milky-way-black-hole
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
Thanks Michael for countering those points.
@Leslie, I don't really need to defend myself here, as I referenced my statements, but I will say that I don't "troll" Wikipedia or delete articles or anything of the sort.
As I have already stated, these hypotheses should be able to stand on evidence or sound plausible arguments. Current physics uses extensive calculations (the calculus is far beyond me, yet Hawking does that stuff in his head) to validate their proposed ideas. They have proposed tests to these hypotheses and often have preliminary data that informs and confirms these ideas. And as I have already pointed out, Plasma cosmology is not supported and runs counter to many actual measures and tests.
Besides, how can stuff like dark matter be a fantasy when it has been observed? http://www.nature.com/news/dark-matter-s-tendrils-revealed-1.10951
Sean Lamb
Science Denier
I read on one science blogs when the Higgs Boson was announced someone who said he was a young particle physicist, embarking on a career, said someone had told him that they were afraid it would be like the Apollo missions, the great breakthrough that kills the field stone dead.
If you think about it is, you can see what he means. We will never be able to pretend the Moon landings didn't happen and anything further in that area will be weighed down with that leaden weight. Also we will never be able to pretend we didn't discover the Higgs Boson and probably that will prove equally disastrous for particle physics.
Leslie Shaw
Retired
For Tim Scanlon
It is interesting that you gave a link to Scientopia blogs to "educate " me. However you did not read comments on that article so here are two combined :
Siggy_G January 28, 2011 at 1:46 pm
Read moreEven with your apparent solid astrophysical knowledge, you seem to have spent some ten minutes understanding Plasma Cosmology. Even if you think it's not worth the bother to read more into it, how can you know it's wrong and plead readers not to look into it, based on this apparent glimpse…
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
As a courtesy to other readers, please use the reply button.
Plasma cosmology is very much debunked and is not advocated by the many astrophysicists who work on magnetic fields and plasmas. The properties of astrophysical magnetic fields and plasmas are not consistent with the claims made by plasma cosmology advocates.
Advocates of plasma cosmology typically overlook a large number of observations of the Universe. This includes phenomena such as gravitational lensing, which allows astronomers to determine the masses of galaxies without relying on the motions of stars and gas. Baryon acoustic oscillations observed at a range of distances (including in the cosmic microwave background) are also in conflict with plasma cosmology while being entirely consistent with the Big Bang.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
Leslie, if Plasma cosmology was a serious alternative theory then there would be solid evidence for it. I don't know why you assume I read, let alone solely read, Wikipedia, but you will note that I have referenced science discussions, Nature articles on peer reviewed papers and experts who have all shown that Plasma cosmology is not supported.
Michael has the expertise in this area (I just read a few articles occasionally) and he has also pointed out the flaws with these alternate theories.
Leslie Shaw
Retired
Tim and Michael,
The main question that is not answered in the debunking of Plasma cosmology is the weakness of gravity compared to electromagnetism. 10 to 39th power weaker. Please enlighten me as to how gravity can overcome electricity.
Also on another thing altogether, surely if as Stephen Hawking says time did not exist before the BB then how can it exist now? I guess it exists only in the egoic mind.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
First off, the debunking doesn't have to show why one is weaker than the other to disprove Plasma cosmology. Secondly, the large hadron collider is expected to answer why gravity is weaker. As far as I understand it, string theory is likely to hold true in proving this. Given the correctness of supporting theories thus far, I would expect these will be supported with observation soon.
As to time not existing before the Big Bang, this question has been discussed widely in many physics and science…
Read moreLeslie Shaw
Retired
Thank you for that answer Tim, it reminds me of my foolish younger days when I would try to argue with priests. They would always say they did not have to prove the existence of god and would quote reams of published authority in Bibles and commentaries etc. They never used a common sense line. Certainly they would have loved BB theory it fits very well for those who believe in a higher power and strings are the number of angels on the head of a pin.
I actually do not really subscribe to any cosmological theory. I do not see time existing and the only moment that can be known is the present. The past and future are just thought forms as are all theories.
There, now you can dismiss me as just a crank and can congratulate yourself on your belief system and not self investigate "who am I" to find out what you really are.
Leslie Shaw
Retired
What I mean is Non-Duality probably just another thing that needs to be debunked.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
Yes, I realise that your statements are based upon beliefs, whereas mine are informed by science. It is hard for people to see past their beliefs and understand something that is perhaps too big or too complex or too challenging. I try not to have beliefs, because that is the road to prejudicial thinking that stops learning and understanding.
Leslie Shaw
Retired
If you do not understand that "informed by science" is a belief system or thought form then I feel sorry for you as it is obviously very hard for you to see beyond your beliefs and the belief that you have no beliefs is a belief in itself.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
Science is the opposite of belief, any statement otherwise is nothing more than a lack of understanding of the difference between actual evidence and make believe.
Leslie Shaw
Retired
I give up, your ignorance is too profound, try reading some philosophy for a change.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
The electrostatic force is stronger than the gravitational force if you are measuring the forces between an isolated electron and an isolated proton. However, many objects in the Universe don’t have large net positive/negative electric charges (relative to their masses). As a consequence, gravity dominates the motion of these objects.
Unlike plasma cosmology, conventional cosmology makes robust predictions that have subsequently been tested via observation. For example, the baryon acoustic oscillations seen in the microwave background and in the distribution of galaxies were predicted well before they were observed.
Laurie Willberg
Journalist
The author of this article and people like Timmy here are typical of those who subsitute Scientism (really a form of fascist fetishism) for the real deal. They do not appear to grasp that their petulant views actually undermine the spirit of REAL science.
Cultural Anthropologists have already had a field day with their mind-set, which as we can clearly see, is too fixed to allow any form of balance.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
Yes, how dare I demand evidence for claims made. How dare I question information and want rigorous understanding and insight...... Funny that is the scientific method.
Seems you just don't like science, because you have a belief system that makes up your mind without evidence. I mean, why else would you argue that Dark Matter and Dark Energy are "made up" and "never proven" when they have been observed and measured, that there is evidence for them?
Now, as to your denigrating post. Your use…
Read moreMichael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
A good discussion of the problems with steady state models and recent revisions of those models is provided by Ned Wright at
http://www.astro.ucla.edu/~wright/stdystat.htm
The discussion notes that many of the claims made by steady state proponents were inconsistent with the data at the time of their publication.
Ben Brooker
Technical Analyst
Seriously all,
Go down to your nearest beach and pick up a grain of sand, then compare that one grain of sand to every other grain of sand on the beach - that is how relevant this topic will be in 100 years time.
For what its worth, there is much more evidence supporting the big bang that the other theories mentioned.
Laurie Willberg
Journalist
Abbe Georges Lemaitre first proposed this theory [Big Bang]. Lemaitre was, at the time, both a member of the Catholic hierarchy and an accomplished scientist. He said in private that this theory was a way to reconcile science with St. Thomas Aquinas' theological dictum of creatio ex nihilo or creation out of nothing.
Read moreThe existence of Dark Matter and Dark Energy are inventions/suppositions that "need" to exist in order to maintain the BB Theory -- they have never been proved.
I suppose the Buddhist…
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
I don't know what you have against science and knowledge, but I've already pointed out that Dark Matter has been observed http://www.nature.com/news/dark-matter-s-tendrils-revealed-1.10951
This is not the only tenant of the Big Bang that has been observed and measured, but it moves the theory out of the theoretical and into the reality of "proven" theory.
So this isn't about you disagreeing, it is about you making claims that are the opposite of the truth (such as "dark matter has never been proven"). This means that you claims are unfounded and thus denying science, either through ignorance or wilful ignorance.
As to the anti-homosexual comments, the people who made those were not directing them at you, rather at Diana Ng. It appears she runs a blog/website that is bigoted against gay people.
Geoff Taylor
Consultant
Perhaps Laplace 1796 with his expanding cloud of gas theory.
Laurie Willberg
Journalist
Someone claims to have found one filament -- a lot more has to be put forward than that in order to substantiate the theory, not to mention Dark Energy, Tim. And in keeping with your die-hard Skeptic attitude, please show us where this finding has been duplicated in numerous other research facilities? Your claims are not proven by robust evidence, which means you are operating from confirmation bias. If you can't take it, don't dish it out.
Again, we're just talking theory.
It seems that anyone who disagrees with your philosophy or opinions of astrophysics, etc. gets labelled as being "against science and knowledge"... Cute. Next you can claim that anyone who uses firewood is "against" trees or that someone who squashes a bug is "anti-life".
I guess that's what Scientism is all about.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
I don't know why you keep calling an entire field of proven science "my opinion".
Like I said earlier, it appears you use the term scientism to mean "I don't understand it therefore potato". Your logical fallacies run second only to your lack of willingness to read and understand the science that is presented to you.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
There are many lines of evidence for dark matter. As discussed in my article, science deniers often ignore/minimise evidence and often reframe evidence provided by scientists as defence of a supposed orthodoxy.
The earliest evidence for dark matter was the motions of galaxies in clusters and the rotations of galaxies are too fast given the conventional matter observed within them. This evidence appeared in the 1930s and 1960s respectively.
Gravitational lensing, where light is deflected by…
Read moreMichael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
There are many lines of evidence for dark energy, only some of which I list below.
The distances to supernovae reveal the accelerating expansion of the Universe. It was for this research that Brian Schmidt, Adam Reiss and Saul Perlmutter won the 2011 Nobel Prize for Physics. Note that they won the Nobel Prize only after their results were confirmed by many independent measurements.
The measurements of distances using baryon acoustic oscillations also provide evidence for dark energy. This…
Read moreGeoff Taylor
Consultant
How do we know how an object looks unlensed if what EM radiation we see has been lensed by dark matter gravity?
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
A good question. Conventional “baryonic” matter and dark matter both deflect the passage of light via gravity and distort the images of celestial objects. However, in most cases the deflections and distortions are so small (“weak lensing”) that they are negligible for most purposes.
There are cases of “strong lensing” that require the alignment of a massive object (star, galaxy, galaxy cluster) with a more distant celestial object. In these cases the image does get grossly distorted and magnified. However, the distortion and magnification can often be modelled, allowing astronomers to produce an image of the distant celestial object that is better than what one would get without strong lensing.
There are many Hubble Space Telescope images and descriptions of gravitational lensing at http://hubblesite.org/newscenter/archive/releases/exotic/gravitational-lens/
Emma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
Obviously Michael's answer is based on what astronomers actually do to sort that mess out, but I'm going to imagine the problem in another way to see if it helps me understand it at least.
Basically, I'm going to imagine I am a surveyor. I have a theodolyte (can't spell it - the doovy surveyors look through using a laser to measure distance) pointed at an object that is so small to my field of vision that I can hardly see it. I am using a lens in the theodolyte to magnify the image.
The lens…
Read morealfred venison
records manager (public sector)
i read everett, et al., "many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics" back in the '80s & i reckon he's nailed it for all time. plasma cosmology is too weird & big bang theory is too been there, seen that, got the t-shirt. i vote "one" for many worlds interpretation. -a.v.
Geoff Taylor
Consultant
Could those who want to argue something else but astrophysics find another blog please?
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
Given the article uses Big Bang denial as an illustration of science denial, I think people can (and should) discuss science denial (and its origins) more generally.
That said, people should consider The Conversation community standards that are online at https://theconversation.edu.au/community_standards
Zoe Brain
logged in via Facebook
In order to understand opposition to "scientism", you should read the philosophical basis for this.
"6. Scientific Method
Read moreWe affirm that the scientific method is useful in carrying out the creation mandate of Genesis 1:28 to subdue and have dominion over creation when the investigators have Biblical presuppositions and when the Bible does not directly give us the answers we seek; that the use of the scientific method is entirely controlled by the presuppositions of the investigators and therefore…
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
It is unclear why you draw on a system of belief to explain another, Zoe. It represents an agenda, I take it? Since, in essence, scientism is an ideology (i.e., a system of belief), what purpose is there not to use a secular (and therefore less subjective) definition instead? E.g.:
Read more"Unlike the use of the scientific method as only one mode of reaching knowledge, scientism claims that science alone can render truth about the world and reality. Scientism's single-minded adherence to only the empirical…
Zoe Brain
logged in via Facebook
Goedel's incompleteness theorem proves (scientifically) that a system can either be complete - that is, everything is provable - or consistent. It cannot be both.
Therefore there have to be unprovable truths.
Scientism by your definition is therefore unscientific, as it does not accord with scientific finding,
I suspect the definition though is due to misapprehension of the facts, in turn due to ignorance about science.
Science *is* the only way of apprehending truths. But there are truths…
Read moreDania Ng
Retired factory worker
"I suspect the definition though is due to misapprehension of the facts, in turn due to ignorance about science."
Not my definition, Zoe, I suggest you argue with the likes of A.L.Hughes [http://www.biol.sc.edu/faculty/hughes]; funny that he doesn't know what science is, yet has written hundreds of scientific papers. I suggest reading his paper, linked to in my previous post. Also, truth is a human invention, it doesn't exist by itself. It is a power construct in most cases, an arrangement of objective facts. It helps to distinguish between truth and objective facts, if only to begin to understand the difference between scientism and science.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
And it isn't about rejecting science - that's not what it is argued here. The argument focuses on how science is used. Eugenics, for instance, has nothing to do with religion - yet some ideologues used science (not religion) to justify the extermination of classes of people. Your argument is way off topic, and is inappropriately linking scientism with religion here. I understand you may have a gripe against religion, in which case you may want to locate a more appropriate thread.
Bruce Boyes
Consultant
A related article - "The Science of Why We Don't Believe Science":
http://m.motherjones.com/politics/2011/03/denial-science-chris-mooney
Chris Harper
Engineer
Bruce,
Chris Mooney, the author of your link, has a limited understanding of what science is or how it works. His stated expectation of how scientists pursue their calling is best described as contra-science.
http://www.countingcats.com/?p=10221
http://www.countingcats.com/?p=11732
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
Chris, those links to a Jo Nova blog post is the definition of science denial. If Jo isn't cherry picking data to make graphs, she is pretending that the BEST study didn't debunked her entire hypothesis about climate change.
Chris Harper
Engineer
Tim,
Ok, so you know nothing of Jo Nova, that’s fine by me. However, try having a look at the original DeSmog Blog article, and the analysis of it at the links I gave. Your comment about Jo Nova is about as irrelevant to the issue as one could get, given that she is merely mentioned in passing on one of the posts and otherwise not referred to.
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
I admit, I saw "via Jo Nova" and assumed the article was a reblog from her site. I stand by my comments about her, she is nothing but a stupid science denialist.
As to the "why we don't believe science" this has been discussed well in this article and in others, such as Stephen Lewendowsky's articles. There is also plenty of cognitive science on this, especially about how myths become ingrained in the mind. I can't speak to Chris Mooney's credentials, but his article isn't wrong in its statements and conclusions.
Chris Harper
Engineer
"his article isn't wrong in its statements and conclusions."
Other than for demonstrating that he doesn't know what science is or how it works.
alfred venison
records manager (public sector)
this chris mooney?:-
"the republican war on science", basic books, 2005
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Republican_War_on_Science
"the republican brain: the science of why they deny science & reality", wiley, 2012
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Republican_Brain
Leslie Shaw
Retired
I hope you have read the Geraint Lewis article in the Conversation today.
Bruce Boyes
Consultant
Chris Mooney may have more appropriately titled his article "My Opinion of Why We Don't Believe Science" rather than "The Science of Why We Don't Believe Science". However I think his opinion is still valuable in the exploration of science denial provided that there is an understanding of the differences between observation and assumption and the information gained from scientific enquiry, and an acceptance of what each of these can and can't bring to an issue. Elsewhere in these comments, article…
Read moreMichael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
I don't think there is any tension between Geraint Lewis' article (http://theconversation.edu.au/cosmic-dance-challenges-our-understanding-of-the-universe-11581) and my article.
Indeed, in the comments section Geraint notes:
"There is nothing holy about the Big Bang, but the evidence shows that the Universe was hotter and denser in the past (which is effectively all the "Big Bang" actually says)."
Tim Scanlon
Debunker
You clearly didn't read it Leslie. The findings of his study are saying that there is dark matter but dark matter possibly influences the formation of stars, etc, in a different way to previously thought.
https://theconversation.edu.au/cosmic-dance-challenges-our-understanding-of-the-universe-11581#
Chris Harper
Engineer
Yes, apparently the same bloke.
I’d heard of him, but having read the DeSmog item I looked around to see what else he had written. Apparently the anti science attitude of non progressives is a theme of his. However, after having read that article I have no expectation that any of his older stuff would be any better informed, regardless of how popular he may be.
First of all he acknowledges, as per the Yale Study, that sceptics tend to be more numerate and better informed than warmists, but…
Read morealfred venison
records manager (public sector)
the issue is not that "conservatives, libertarians and liberals "(?) are anti-science, the issue, specifically, is that english speaking conservatives are anti-science. german chancellor angela merkel, for example, is dyed-in-the-blue conservative, very numerate, and not at all skeptical about climate change science. there are two reasons for this: (1) angela merkel is a chemist by training, who speaks with her climate science adviser in equation, and (2) angela merkel is not an english speaking conservative & so does not, like stephen harper, or george w. bush, or tony abbott, debauch politics by rejecting climate science for purely party partisan advantage. -a.v.
Chris Harper
Engineer
Alfred,
When I refer to liberal I tend to use the definition I grew up with. The meaning has reversed itself in the last half century in the US and over the last quarter century in the rest of the English speaking world. To me, many of those who refer to themselves as liberal these days are amongst the most illiberal around.
Now, English speaking conservatives are anti science? Really? All of them? Without exception? What about David Cameron? Conservative Prime Minister in the UK and leader…
Read moreMichael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
I think the most vocal science denial often comes from political, ideological or theological extremes. I don't think it needs to come from the political right, and I have encountered anti-vaccine people from the political left.
This being the case (and even if ones beliefs are middle of the road), it does make sense to question ones beliefs when they fall within the domain of science. Are these beliefs based on the most reliable evidence possible, or are we just picking those slithers of evidence that fit with our pre-determined conclusions?
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
For those with an interest in astronomy, there is some good online coverage of the fires that swept past Siding Spring Observatory yesterday.
Amanda Bauer (AAO astronomer) has a good blog at http://amandabauer.blogspot.com.au/2013/01/siding-spring-observatory-fires.html
Brian Schmidt (Stromlo astronomer, Nobel Prize winner) has been posting on twitter at https://twitter.com/cosmicpinot
The NSW Rural Fire Service is also providing updates via their website and facebook page.
The mainstream media (e.g., ABC, Fairfax) has sourced quite a bit of material from Brian Schmidt's twitter posts and facebook page (which makes sense given his expertise and access to imagery/data from the observatory).
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
A morning update on the fires from Amanda Bauer is online at http://amandabauer.blogspot.com.au/
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
The Astropixie has a great blog. thanks for the link. Reminded me of the Mt Stromlo fires, which essentially destroyed a dozen scopes plus many custom made lenses in the making.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
One thing I didn’t mention in my article is science deniers often falsely claim they are defending science. Deniers often state science is engaged in groupthink and suppresses alternative ideas/theories. However, many key issues and facts are missing from the deniers’ narrative.
Firstly deniers downplay or ignore the evidence for prevailing paradigm. Often they do this by using language like “fudge factors” or “just a theory”. They overstate how well their own theories work, ignoring the fact…
Read moreDania Ng
Retired factory worker
"One thing I didn’t mention in my article is science deniers often falsely claim they are defending science. Deniers often state science is engaged in groupthink and suppresses alternative ideas/theories. However, many key issues and facts are missing from the deniers’ narrative"
Read moreRight there you have lost a large amount of goodwill on my part. Since you're so harping on about how terrible all these science 'deniers' are (and I think you're referring to those who rightly call ideological tripe hiding…
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
I certainly didn't suggest in my essay that we should abandon humanism, but we should certainly abandon pseudo-sceintific ideas that conflict with a wealth of data. Pseudo-scientific ideas can do real damage to real people, such as the damage done by anti-vaccine movements around the world (e.g., polio).
And I doubt I ever had Dania Ng's goodwill.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
But Michael, you are focusing on the extremes. And this is translated by some into statements that EVERYTHING other than scientific facts or arguments ought to be discarded, or at least ridiculed. That's a gianormous difference. And as a scientist, you ought to know that generalising from one set of data to explain a whole range of non-observable phenomena ain't a good idea. I am not going to abandon my curiosity as to why some people feel so strongly as to go to the lengths they have to argue and…
Read moreMichael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
My article is indeed about extreme behaviour. It discusses science denial where people reject the prevailing paradigm and cling to pet theories despite a wealth of data.
My article does not recommend unquestioningly taking the advice of (apparent) authority figures. Indeed, the article flags the issue that a vocal minority of elder scientists participate in science denial (e.g., Ian Plimer on climate change, Halton Arp on cosmology).
Dania mentions thalidomide in her comment. Thalidomide was…
Read moreMark Amey
logged in via Facebook
Mrs Ng, your 'other ways of knowing' simply amounts to anecdotes. This is the same sort of 'logic' that has women burnt as witches, and village idiots pilloried at the village gate.
As for herbalism, yes, Tiger Penis balm is terrific for tendonitis!
Bruce Boyes
Consultant
Dania I'd had the flu vaccine in Australia in 2011 and 2012 and not experienced the flu when most others in my workplaces had experienced severe bouts, so my personal experience differ to your observations. After these positive experiences I had the vaccine again in Hong Kong late last year after moving to China in early 2012. However even though I have received the flu vaccine over the past two years it wasn't until the current flu season here in China that I noticed in the newspaper article http…
Read moreDania Ng
Retired factory worker
Thanks Bruce, this is really interesting and useful information which I was not aware of. I am going to take it into account when the next flu season comes around, the flu needle is free at work so I may give it a try and see how I go. I'll keep a close eye on the time frames this time. It's not that I deny the usefulness of vaccines, I managed to get along without it all my life without much illness. I also take zinc and vitamin c supplements during the flu season (on a dr friend's advice) and these seem to help.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
Fair enough, Michael. It would have been useful to specify that the article focuses on extremes, and provide a definition of what an extreme is in your view. I am not sure that you focused on 'behaviour', either.
Read moreFlorence's story is more than anecdotal evidence, it is a human story. Her knowledge is valuable and to be respected, whether science rebuts her interpretations of what created the harm to her child, or supports it. I note that no one here expressed the slightest empathy for her, instead…
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
Scientists are trained in science but that doesn't mean they always use the scientific method, and consequently they can promote science denial. (If you want an analogy, people are trained to drive cars safely but that doesn't mean they always do.)
In fact, climate change "sceptics" have claimed that the world is cooling (although this is happening less and less). An introduction and debunking of this myth is online at http://www.skepticalscience.com/global-cooling.htm
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
' I note that no one here expressed the slightest empathy for her'
No, there was no sympathy expressed in the original post, it was simply used to support 'other ways of knowing'.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
Well, I am not defending the climate change skeptics, I think that if you look at everything I have contributed here, you'd agree that I said no such thing. I have done sufficient reading on the subject to make me turn my PC off at the wall when I finish with it, but thanks for the link - I'll have a look at it. What I am writing about is a tad more complex, it refers to how science can be used to underpin certain ideological views of the world, and to legitimise the marginalisation of individuals, whilst arrogantly maintaining that it is the only way of 'knowing'. I can't remember who said this: "Science can teach us how to feed everyone on the planet, but only politics can make millions starve to death". You can see it on these thread how science is being used to create politics of exclusion. You need only look at the nearest of Mark's comments here, they speak for themselves.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
While I don't believe Dania Ng agrees with the climate "sceptics", Dania did say "They don't say that the climate is not warming, they are skeptical of whether it is caused by human activity".
I disagree with this statement, as many sceptics did claim the Earth was cooling and now they largely have switched to the Earth isn't warming. They do this by using the fraction of the data that supports their claim and ignoring the rest. This is not being sceptical as they aren't critically looking at all the evidence. Chopping and slicing the data to reach a pre-determined conclusion is science denial, of the form I discussed in my article.
As for the politics surrounding science, the positive use of science to formulate policy, and the misuse of science to formulate policy - that could be the subject of a very long essay.
Chris Harper
Engineer
Michael,
You said: “as many sceptics did claim the Earth was cooling and now they largely have switched to the Earth isn't warming”
I am afraid the reality is a little more sophisticated than that. It is the case that sceptics were pointing out that the warming observed in the latter third of the 20th Century had ceased, while warmists continued talking as it it was still happening. During a period where the temperatures, although basically flatlined, were fluctuating slightly some people were…
Read moreMichael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
There are several comment myths in Chris Harper's comment, which are all discussed and debunked at http://www.skepticalscience.com/argument.php
Until recently quite a number of sceptics were claiming that the Earth had been cooling since 1998. The Svensmark quote found at http://www.skepticalscience.com/global-cooling.htm is one example of this. John McLean (ACSC) even claimed that 2011 would be the coolest year since 1956, and that just didn't happen.
Because of natural variability, with 15…
Read moreChris O'Neill
Telecommunications Engineer
"It is the case that sceptics were pointing out that the warming observed in the latter third of the 20th Century had ceased"
No, it is the case that sceptics were pretending that the warming observed in the latter third of the 20th Century had ceased when in actual fact there was no statistically significant decline in the rate of warming.
"some people were pointing out that there was a slight downward trend, and, at the time, there was."
And that slight downward trend had no statistical…
Read moreBruce Boyes
Consultant
The short-term variability within the long-term warming trend is well illustrated in the first "escalator effect" graph in 'Ten Charts That Make Clear The Planet Just Keeps Warming' http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/10/15/1014151/ten-charts-that-make-clear-the-planet-just-keeps-warming/ (and the remaining graphs clearly debunk other climate myths),
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
"the positive use of science to formulate policy, and the misuse of science to formulate policy - that could be the subject of a very long essay"
Read moreThere have been quite a few written already, Michael. The essence of modernity revolves around using science as the new religion. We now have "evidence-based" policy, politics which is based on 'the science says", and social programs that are just social engineering blindly shaped by complex statistical models. It isn't that the evidence or models are…
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
Science deniers claiming science (or an aspect of science) is a new religion is common and it is bunkum. Good science makes measurements that can be reproduced by others (often using a variety of methods) and theories whose predictions can be tested via observation and experiment. This is a country mile from religion.
Scientists are people and clearly have a variety of motivations. If these motivations taint a scientist’s work, then it won’t be reproducible and other scientists will pull it to pieces. This happens quite often.
Scientists are well aware the politicians will pick and choose what they want to further their policy agendas. Stephen Fielding’s reliance on Bob Carter, Stewart Franks and the Heartland Institute for “science” advice is a good example of what can go wrong. Scientists do try to highlight when such misuse of science takes place (http://www.crikey.com.au/2009/08/12/climate-expert-slams-fielding/) but that won’t necessarily change politicians’ minds.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
Michael, please do go and read some philosophy of science.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
I’ve read a bit of Kuhn and Popper, amongst others. Less impressed with post-modernism, unless you count the "Transgressing the Boundaries: Towards a Transformative Hermeneutics of Quantum Gravity".
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
'Thanks Bruce, this is really interesting and useful information which I was not aware of (sic).'
Most kids in high school are aware of this. What were you doing in science class if you missed out on this fundamental piece of information on the way the immune system works?
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
I linked a few papers, but otherwise try some post structuralist critiques, as opposed to post modernist ones (the two are sometimes used interchangeably, unfortunately). Michel Foucault would of course be where one would start, especially with his critique of "truth production".
alfred venison
records manager (public sector)
"transgressing the boundaries" was a transformative paper for me. -a.v.
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
Thanks, Michael, my reading of , "Transgressing the Boundaries: Towards a Transformative Hermeneutics of Quantum Gravity", lead me to examine: ' Reconstructing Nontrivial Structures on T^n', by Penrose, Gell-man and Motl. I believe that equivarent gerbs haven't been considered by modern cosmologists, and more work needs to be done!
Emma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
You mentioned this woman's children had convulsions prior to the vaccination and that Florence was tested for epilepsy and this was found negative
1. People can have seizures without having epilepsy
2. Convulsions are a sign of illness and in this case convlusions pre dated the vaccination (a pre existing condition)
We don't live in a world where effect precedes cause. Ergo, the vaccination did not cause the seizures.
Nonetheless, it sounds like Florence's condition got worse after vaccination…
Read moreDania Ng
Retired factory worker
I see what you're arguing, but I am afraid I am not able to agree with the crux of the logic you present. If I may, let me paraphrase just one part of your comment, to indicate what I mean. You present the following argument:
Read more"1. People can have seizures without having epilepsy 2. Convulsions are a sign of illness and in this case convlusions pre dated the vaccination (a pre existing condition) We don't live in a world where effect precedes cause. Ergo, the vaccination did not cause the seizures…
Emma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
"1. People can have seizures because they have epilepsy "
Not in this case. You specifically stated that Florence was tested for epilepsy and this test was negative. Her seizures were therefore non-epileptic.
http://www.epilepsyaustralia.net/FAQs/Frequently_Asked_Questions.aspx
Please read these FAQ, one question answered is "What is the difference between seizures, epilepsy & seizure disorders?"
As for the possibility of the vaccination aggravating an existing non-epipletic seizure disorder…
Read moreDania Ng
Retired factory worker
Yes, you are right about the epilepsy condition existing for Florence, as reported. I was concentrating on the logic of the argument you presented initially, and took that to task. Even in light of this inaccuracy, I still disagree with your argument, which you reiterate:
Read more"However, you've ignored the main thrust of my argument where it is possible - albeit not satisfactorily demonstrated - that the pre-existing disorder made her susceptible to a reaction that would simply NOT occur in the general…
Emma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
Ok
From the article on the guardian
"Alexander and Jabs would like to see screening systems so that more vulnerable children can be identified, and the withdrawal of performance-related targets for GPs administering vaccines."
This is a reasonable proposition, although I'd like to see if these structural problems occur in Australia and not just the UK.
Those vulnerable children are also subset of the general population. Meaning that, for children who are not vulnerable, the vaccine…
Read moreMark Amey
logged in via Facebook
I don't think you could say that Australian GPs are on vaccination quotas. The Medicare rebate is only $10.40...hardly a huge incentive: Mbs items for immunisation (10993) - Medicare Australia
www.medicareaustralia.gov.au/.../mbs_items_for_immunisation_and...
As for children who are thought to be vulnerable to the side effects of vaccination, such as preterm infants, those with allergies to vaccine components, and those with previous reactions, many hospitals will provide vaccination as part of a day stay procedure, monitoring the infants' heart rate, saturations and temperature for at least eight hours (long enough to detect serious side effects).
In spite of our fairly high vaccination rates (90 to 92%) we still have cases of diphtheria, tetanus, measles, mumps, etc: http://apps.who.int/immunization_monitoring/en/globalsummary/countryprofileresult.cfm?C=aus
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
I think the article is quite old, Emma. I have no issue with the processes and methods you have suggested to control for those who may be at risk for whatever medical reason they have to put them in the 'sub-sets' you mention. That's not what the issue is. The most appropriate approach to minimise risks has to be developed by experts, and this is obviously something we expect from these experts and we normally pay them really well to do this. No problem with all of this either. But there are two…
Read moreMark Amey
logged in via Facebook
'. On top of this, to see them almost always not assume responsibility, but instead blame their victims for the effects that these medications, vaccines and procedures have on them is disgusting. Our role, as I see it, is to hold them accountable.'
Do you really think that us health care workers, who prescribe and administer these vaccines do so out of some callous, misguided philosophy which you call 'scientism'. How dare you!
Get out from behind your computer, and go and care for someone with any one of the diseases for which vaccines are given before you point fingers at people.
Emma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
I can't speak for everybody but I have absolutely no problem with people sharing their stories and working together. Especially where kid's lives and keeping arrogant bullshit from ruining things is concerned.
There are plenty of examples, including in health care, where this has worked. It's worth doing.
Problem: with specific illnesses, say MS or epilepsy, they got organised and attempt to share accurate information with people. Not seeing that in the anti-vaxx movement.
"Vaccines…
Read moreDania Ng
Retired factory worker
Mark, why do you, once again, see fit to put words in my mouth? Is there some sort of illness that you suffer from that makes you do this out of blind hate for someone? Where did I say or indicated that I think "health care workers, who prescribe and administer these vaccines do so out of some callous, misguided philosophy which you call 'scientism'"?
Read moreI don't know you, so I have no idea what sort of a health worker you are. Having had the displeasure of dealing with your snarly persona here, I don…
Mark Amey
logged in via Facebook
You keep threatening to leave TC, and blog at truth2be...when is this going to happen? All you seem to be doing here, is undermining a public health programme which is very effective, and administered with the best of intentions. As for the likes of me making demeaning remarks about 'anti-vaxers', I will continue. Groups such as the, oxymoronically named Australian Vaccine Network having been striving to undo health care in this country for a long time. they are short on facts and long on recommendations, to the detriment of children's health. As far as I can see, they deserve all of the opprobrium they receive.
Dania Ng
Retired factory worker
Once again, Mark, you put words into my mouth. This is unethical and indicative of unprofessional behaviour. Show me where I "threatened to leave" TC? At times I said that I was finished with a particular conversation, a promise which I have a habit of breaking, I freely admit. I bait easily, which is one of my faults. Do you have any Mark? Or do you have no time to consider this, as you polish your hallo and preen those pristine white wings?
Read moreThese untruths you peddle only highlights the quality…
Mary Lush
scientist, craftswoman
As an aging, if not aged, scientist I am concerned and offended when I hear old scientists accused of holding back the progress of science. I wonder if there are data to back such assertions. It is not hard to think of old scientists who have done a great deal to promote science - Gus Nossal, Peter Doherty, Nancy Millis. Are you sure that the views of scientists over 50 hold back science more than the views of those under 50? Is fraud, for example, mostly a young scientists crime? Do views even differ between age groups? And if they do, are the differences correlated with time in science or age? Or are you really just talking about the capacity to attract attention in the media - a capacity that tends to be associated with status and therefore age?
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
While the article finishes with Max Planck's quote, it is interesting to note that Planck wasn't young during the early years of quantum mechanics (he was born in 1858). Max Planck’s quote doesn’t imply that all elder scientists hold up progress, but it does imply that “opponents” may never be swayed by the evidence.
I believe the vast majority senior scientists make very positive contributions to science and the public discourse about science. I collaborate with such scientists frequently. However, a small and vocal minority do seem to fall into pushing pet theories or being contrarians (I have heard the phrase “going emeritus” being used to describe this). I agree that their seniority may lead to a media profile that is above and beyond their expertise in the relevant field (e.g., Ian Plimer discussing climate change).
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
An interesting article on a related topic is "Science controversies past and present" by Steven Sherwood, which appeared in Physics Today in 2011.
http://www.physicstoday.org/resource/1/phtoad/v64/i10/p39_s1?bypassSSO=1
The summary of the article is "reactions to the science of global warming have followed a similar course to those of other inconvenient truths from physics".
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
As discussed in my article, pseudo-science and science denial is sustained (in part) by publications in fringe journals, journals with dysfunctional peer-review and online "publications".
A recent example is discussed and debunked at http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/01/15/life_in_a_meteorite_claims_by_n_c_wickramasinghe_of_diatoms_in_a_meteorite.html
Chandra Wickramasinghe, the author of the debunked article, is a proponent of both steady state cosmology and panspermia. It is quite common for proponents of pseudo-science to push multiple pseudo-scientific ideas.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
An interesting related story is
http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2013/01/15/whats-up-with-that/
This is then followed up by
http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2013/01/17/greg-laden-liar/
http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2013/01/18/anthony-watts-is-threatening-to-sue-me/
alfred venison
records manager (public sector)
p. j. myers also reviews this claim by chandra wickramashighe at pharyngula from a biologists point of view:- http://freethoughtblogs.com/pharyngula/2013/01/18/chandra-wickramasinghe-repliesand-fails-hard/ -a.v.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
It is interesting to see which media organisations fell for this dubious pseudo-science. An example is
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/technology-science/science/alien-life-discovered-in-meteorite-which-crash-landed-1550474
alfred venison
records manager (public sector)
seems that the right of the spectrum as well as the left of the spectrum equally can't pass over a story about alien life discovered on earth, however flaky: roswell / area 51 rules ok anytime, say the press. myers despairs at the huffington post covering this story -
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/01/18/extraterresterial-life-exists-chandra-wickramasinghe_n_2500008.html -a.v.
Freddy Hills
logged in via email @hushmail.com
"US presidential hopeful Marco Rubio recently sidestepped a question in an interview with GQ about the age of the Earth, perhaps in an effort to court young Earth creationists. The resulting controversy focused on politics and theology"
Of course he avoided the issue. Obama had previously avoided the issue by giving essentially the same response. And without the resulting media controversy, I might add. Why the difference?
http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2012/11/rubio_and_obama_and_the_age_of_earth_politicians_hedge_about_whether_universe.html
Such things are often less about the science as the politics or the egos of those involved. They are merely used as a club with which to beat the opposition. Perhaps if there was a greater interest in truth than schadenfreude then opponents wouldn't be so determined to dig in their heels and the issue would have been settled long ago.
Michael J. I. Brown
ARC Future Fellow and Senior Lecturer at Monash University
I think the Slate article is very interesting, discussing what Obama said about the age of the Universe and the teaching of evolution back in 2008.
It should be noted that I didn't want my article to be viewed as left vs right or religion vs atheism. For example, in my article I note that some (extreme?) atheists oppose the Big Bang because it implies a creation event.
It is also interesting that Pat Robertson had some (perhaps surprising) comments during the Marco Rubio hoopla, http://www…
Read moreEmma Anderson
Artist and Science Junkie
What an interesting conundrum that it's possible your article could have been viewed that way even though you didn't want it to be.
Atheism, science and religion aren't the same things. A person could support all three or reject all three or any combination of this. Yet public debate on the subject would suggest there are perceived dichotomy. Not necessarily on this thread, I mean generally in the broad sense.
E.g. A person who believes in the Abrahamic god is effectively an atheist for…
Read moreCaroline Copley
student
Personally I'm an atheist and scientifically trained and absolutely not an astrophysicist, but I really like the Big Bang. You may not like this, but I have extended it into my own theory of what may have occurred to produce it, which does not need a designer or even a design.
Read moreIt strikes me there may be an underlying field as yet undetected, which may be something along the idea of dark energy etc, but which may have been eternally existing prior to the Big Bang, and in which "strings" or "lines…
Caroline Copley
student
P.S. Love the Big Bang model, love the CMB, but an egg??
What's not to say that different parts are moving in different directions at different speeds, until a massive shockwave like inflation sent the whole thing completely flying????
Next time I blow up the kitchen I will get a perfectly formed boiled egg.