Science in crisis? Go on then, prove it

Litanies about how poorly science and the science “brand” are doing have become a little too common for my liking. The most recent notable example came courtesy of the EU’s Science, it’s a girl thing campaign. But it’s not my intention here to rip into this campaign. Rather, it inspired me to re-visit…

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Many pro-science arguments rest on the belief science is simply a “very good thing”. Raul Lazaro

Litanies about how poorly science and the science “brand” are doing have become a little too common for my liking.

The most recent notable example came courtesy of the EU’s Science, it’s a girl thing campaign.

But it’s not my intention here to rip into this campaign. Rather, it inspired me to re-visit the alleged problems facing science, and to challenge some of the big assumptions that underlie them. I’m talking about assumptions such as:

  • science needs to be sold (better)
  • people are becoming less interested in science/ becoming anti-science
  • not enough people like/ do science
  • brand science is in trouble

As best as I can tell, most of these concerns are poorly (if ever) contextualised and rarely based on good evidence. Actually, even when evidence is presented, the realities are never as straightforward as they are made to appear, and contradictions and unexpressed assumptions are always lurking.

In fact, as has been said before, most of these arguments seem to rest on the implicit belief that science is simply a “very good thing”. And like all very good things, more simply must mean better.

People just don’t like science

One of the big fears I often hear is that not enough people are “into” science. But what does “into” mean here? Studying science? Donating money to science enterprises? Reading New Scientist magazine? Voting for science-based policies?

But let’s nudge these complexities aside for a moment, and paint some positive pictures of science engagement in Australia. In a poll I conducted with two colleagues in 2010, our sample of adult Australians reported being more interested in science than films and sport.

Belis@rio

Furthermore, Australia’s ScienceAlert has more than 1.5m “likes” on Facebook: more than one point five million. By that measure, that makes it literally one of the largest Facebook news sites on the planet.

Clearly quite a few people do like science.

Science enrolments are falling

This report from the Office of the Chief Scientist says science enrolments increased by 30% between 2002 and 2010. Surely this is a very good thing?

Apparently not. Yes it’s growth, but it was the “fourth-lowest growth rate for 2002-2010”. So other disciplines are growing faster than science, and apparently this just isn’t good.

How about this OECD report on people studying science and technology subjects internationally? It suggests overall numbers of enrolments increased up to 2006, but again science and technology as a proportion of all higher education enrolments dropped.

Once more, apparently this is bad. It’s just not really clear why.

We’re running out of scientists

There are regular suggestions in many of the reports I refer to here that we are running out of scientists and/or losing our sci-tech capability. Are we?

Mark Ramsay

Surely one of the best indicators of a failure of supply would be an increase in demand, and with that, an increase in salaries and conditions for our scarce scientists. Thing is, I’ve not seen evidence of this (but please let me know if you have).

Our own Chief Scientist Ian Chubb was quoted in the The Australian just last week saying that PhD graduate scientists these days are lucky to get a (science) job at all, even after two or three post doctorates.

He also notes how their opportunities are further diminished because people don’t have to retire any more, so fewer science jobs become available.

What if we look at government funding via the Australian Research Council (ARC) and National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC)? If there is a need for more scientists, this must mean they have unallocated funds each grant round?

Actually, they are currently cannot fund around 75-80% of the research grant applications from our existing crop of scientists according to the ARC and NHMRC.

So by these measures, scientists ain’t so scarce after all.

International competitiveness

Another recurring assertion is that we need to be competitive internationally. But competitive on what? And more importantly, to what end?

Last year’s Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2011 shows us to be doing well on many indicators.

2009 publications per 1000 population, by journal quality according to results from the OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2011. Alan G. Pettigrew

To begin, it would be negligent to not question the utility of the performance measures themselves and why, exactly, we are using them (as a recent piece Will Grant and I wrote discusses). There are many issues there.

But even assuming we accept the current crop of measures as valid and/or useful, we inevitably find some which don’t see us at, or even near, the top. So what?

The author of the OECD summary above suggests among other things that:

Australia may also need to consider whether its current level of R&D investment in universities and government agencies such as CSIRO is adequate when compared to other small nations, particularly in Scandinavia.

Why is it useful, valid or meaningful to compare us to the Scandinavian countries on science and technology performance?

Simply because they represent “other small nations” like us, it seems. But why is this relevant to our competitiveness on science and technology? And what exactly are we competing for in the first place?

While a sense of competition has some benefits, does a failure to be beating the Danes really suggest a crises in our science and technology capability?

I smell competition for its own sake.

Democracy and social participation

Mark Ramsay

OK, what about participation in society? A common argument here begins: “science and technology are important to everyone because they regularly affect many facets of our daily lives”.

So far, so good. But then this gets taken further: “therefore we need to know more (and more) about science in order to properly/better participate in our democracy”. Getting a bit wobblier now.

You could as easily argue that we should know more about the Australian political system to properly participate in our democracy. Or that laws have a powerful daily influence on us so we should be more law-literate.

Or that we should be much more IT-savvy because computers are ubiquitous. Then there’s medicine, economics, motor maintenance, etc.

How do you argue convincingly for prioritising science above all these?

Are climate sceptics against science?

People aren’t necessarily anti-science if they don’t “believe” in climate change, as some notable meme-busting research by Yale Professor of Psychology Dan Kahan and colleagues attests.

Dan Kahan speaking on: Science Communication as the “New Political Science” for Democracy

Also, people aren’t usually rejecting the science in climate change debates; they are rejecting positions that don’t align with their own world views. Science itself is rarely the issue.

There is in fact evidence showing that when climate sceptics are presented with science-based solutions to mitigate the effects of climate change, they can be extremely pro-science. As long they don’t involve having to make changes that are personally unpalatable, science solutions are absolutely on the table.

So where are we then?

To be clear, I think science is bloody awesome and I am most certainly “into” it (just look at where I work). What I’m not into are arguments that make we who are into science look self-interested, irrelevant, or just plain silly.

And this is most likely to happen when we make claims about its importance that aren’t well thought through, or well contextualised.

Too often I see people decrying public rejection of science, a lack of science involvement, or failures in our science capacity using arguments that just don’t wash. What they are usually saying underneath it all is: “I like science, science is just a very good thing, everyone should like it too".

But intrinsic good arguments such as these only appeal to those who already agree.

To reach the unreached, engage the unengaged, and (what the hell), be appreciated and supported, we need to be relevant, useful and interesting to people. You need to be clear about what you’re trying to do, and contextualise it as unambiguously as possible.

You don’t do this by proclamation – you do it by demonstration.

Join the conversation

11 Comments sorted by

  1. Sean Lamb

    Science Denier

    I think we are training too many generic life scientists for the employment opportunities open to them at the other end. This has been hidden to some extent by the dramatic increase in NHMRC funding over recent years, but we can't keep increasing that funding pool forever.
    On the other hand, students who take physics, mathematics, chemistry and engineering (particularly engineering) have very good career opportunities ahead of them.
    Perhaps a limit on places on those courses where we turn out…

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  2. Gavin Moodie

    Principal Policy Adviser

    This is a good corrective to much science boosterism. A common assertion that contradicts the evidence is that there is a shortage of science graduates. In 2011 of graduates in all fields available for full time employment 76.6% were in full time employment. The rates for the sciences were:

    computer science 77.9%
    life sciences 61.8%
    mathematics 73.2%
    chemistry 63.0%
    physical sciences 71.0%.

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  3. Michael Shand

    Michael Shand is a Friend of The Conversation.

    Software Tester

    I think the main issue is that we live in a society where scientific truth is not valued.

    Ie. people will believe creation over evolution
    Moon landings were faked
    climate change is a massive conspiracy
    stem cell research is killing baby souls

    When we passively allow or encourage these views it gives people permission to assert things which are not true as fact and then get offended if you question their view of the world.

    This has little consequence if you dont believe the moon landing…

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  4. Jack Arnold

    Director

    The problem begins with the NSW Science syllabus that in the early 80s a Newcastle inspector changed to"remove the boring counting & measuring that I hated" so consigning Science to a colouring in subject ... Science is "Bangs & Smells" that excite the imagination of the next generation of scientists.

    Then there is the low priority placed on R&D that is the principal employer of scientists. No R&D means no future income ... but this fact has been missed by our politicians.

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  5. Gil Hardwick

    Anthropologist

    Your real problem, Rod, is that science has become a commodity. People are 'scientists' not because of how they go about their enquiries but because the 'did science' and have a BSc, while the also-rans ended up with a BA.

    But talk to any of them and you will quickly discover that exceedingly few have even read Socrates much less heard of him. How many have read Hippocrates, or Pythagoras, Plato, Aristotle, Archimedes, Ockham, Copernicus, Fibonacci, Descartes, Cohen or Popper, or any of their…

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  6. Craig Cormick

    logged in via Facebook

    And I think one of the key problems in any such debates as this is that too many people 'think' they have nutted out the problem and solution, but based on a sample size of one. As Rod wisely says - and as Tom Cruise should have said in Jerry Maguire - "Show me the data!"

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  7. David Smith

    Director ACT Branch APESMA

    I imagine the comparison with Scandinavian countries was made because of the economic benefits of backing research and innovation to fuel high end industry rather than competing with them on the basis of proportion of research investment to GDP alone. Certainly one of the key arguments that the UK Campaign for Science and Engineering has made is the value of science and innovation has to economic growth.

    In terms of skill shortages I think we have to be careful to not confuse gross job vacancies…

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  8. David Semmens

    logged in via Twitter

    "There is in fact evidence showing that when climate sceptics are presented with science-based solutions to mitigate the effects of climate change, they can be extremely pro-science. As long they don’t involve having to make changes that are personally unpalatable, science solutions are absolutely on the table."

    I don't know if I agree here. If people only accept science when it's suitable for them to accept science, that's not very pro-science. Many creationists, who are a decidedly anti-science lot, accept a considerable amount of the evidence for evolution. An old earth and microevolutionary change are two examples. But, they reject it where the evidence is inconsistent with their beliefs. Surely being pro-science means that you accept the evidence even when it flushes your cherished beliefs down the toilet. Particularly when your talking about the well established evidence of anthropogenic climate change or biological evolution.

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    1. Dianna Arthur

      Dianna Arthur is a Friend of The Conversation.

      Environmentalist

      In reply to David Semmens

      Agree.

      Apparently the so-called 'climate-sceptic' can only handle scientific, peer- reviewed and tested facts in small doses and then only as long as it is does affect them directly.

      This will not change the Andrew Bolts, the Alan Jones of the far-fright* from holding back progressive technologies for continued decades.

      *Intellectual ownership D Art

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  9. Wally Week

    Bicycle Engineer

    It makes me sad reading that "we’re running out of scientists" for someone like me, with 10 years of full-time university education (Bachelor, masters, PhD), more than 10 years of research experience with a healthy record of publications, etc. but unable to find a research job after I lost mine more than a year ago.

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