If you talk about Massive Open Online Courses or MOOCs to academics, or even if you read articles written around the subject, one question, actually a statement and a question, will inevitably come up: “Yes, but you can’t make any money from MOOCs so where is the business model?”. This is sometimes paraphrased as “Why would we give away what we do for free? Where is the business model?”. The first relates to the likely longevity of companies like Coursera and Udacity. The second to the question of the participation of universities in producing content. These issues are often conflated into a general view that the MOOC phenomenon is really a passing fad and if everyone holds out long enough, it will go away.
But the recent past is littered with industries that thought this when their turn came to be disrupted by both the Internet and the concept of “Free”.
Take the CEO of music company HMV who said:
“Downloadable music is just a fad and people will always want the atmosphere and experience of a music store rather than online shopping.”
or HBO Co-President Eric Kessler who said:
“the move away from traditional television to an internet-based model is just a fad that will pass – a “temporary phenomenon” tied to the down economy”
Of course there are more examples like this. All from people who believed that somehow what they did was special and unique and anything that didn’t offer the full experience would never be as good and would be rejected as a “passing fad”.
What is overlooked with the industries that have been disrupted by the Internet and Free is that they were already ailing. The battles to modernise the way newspapers were produced preceded the Internet and were being fought out in the late 80’s in Wapping, UK.
And so it is with Higher Education, with academic Clay Shirky who has argued that MOOCs are an answer to a higher education system that is already failing in the US.
But let’s come back to the question of the business model of MOOCs for universities and the question of giving away something for Free. Chris Anderson, in his book “Free: How Today’s Smartest Businesses Profit by Giving Something for Nothing” deals with the subject of the many companies and industries that have created businesses around the concept of giving something away for Free. Again, this pre-dates the Internet, but it is also something that universities, in particular research universities have been doing for some time.
Research rarely pays for itself, even with government funding and so at most universities, it is subsidised by teaching. Salaries of academics working on grants are rarely paid for. The university that they work for makes an “in-kind” contribution towards the research. Some of this is recouped from extra funding from the Government (in Australia at least) but it never covers the full cost. Academics go further, the research is normally published in journals who do not pay the academics for their work. Beyond making the work available in an officially recognised capacity, they do nothing to promote that work but they profit from it. Again, the universities have given away something for Free. And finally, the research itself is normally contributed into the public domain where anyone can profit from it. Rarely does the university that donated it do so.
So why have universities engaged in a practice for hundreds of years that effectively contributes knowledge to the world using a business model that has consistently made a loss and in most cases, gives away its products for Free?
Because that is what universities are there for. They are there to create and contribute knowledge to society and to use that knowledge to enhance the teaching of students, not necessarily just those at their own institutions.
However, and in line with Chris Anderson’s arguments about the power of Free, the research that universities have done has had a side effect. It has been used to establish reputation which in turn has influenced the choice of students wanting to come and study at those institutions. This has been accentuated in recent years with the advent of university rankings such as the Shanghai Jiao Tong Academic Ranking of World Universities which is based on the research performance of universities world-wide.
So universities enjoy a virtuous circle. They give away some things for Free that encourages students to come and pay money to be educated that in turn provides money to do more research.
For the universities that are providing MOOCs, there is no question that it has been a huge benefit to their reputation on a scale that advertisers and their public affairs and marketing offices could only dream about. MOOCs have reached an audience of millions of students, many of whom have now experienced something of the learning experience of the institutions that offer these courses. It has enhanced the brands of universities who are now seen as being progressive and altruistic, turning the universities and academics into household names. Achieving this through traditional advertising campaigns would cost substantially more than the relatively trivial costs of putting on MOOCs.
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Just a quick suggestion. If you're going to continuously use an acronym in an article, make sure you include it's expanded version the first time, it's good practice.
I wonder how long it will be before the freemium [where extra content is a paid for addition] model is applied to MOOCs. It's an increasingly popular model in the games this model is derived from and the current mode is, sadly, to try and extract a short term return where ever possible.
Thus you could end up with a free MOOC with the most crucial aspects of the course being a 'pay for' upgrade. Pay to win as it is known in the gaming world.
David Glance
Director, Centre for Software Practice at University of Western Australia
Hi Stephen,
Normally I would - not sure that Massive Open Online Courseware is particularly that much more revealing than the use of MOOC. Given the hype around MOOCs I would also have thought this was now well known as well - but will edit and update.
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Thanks David, appreciate and note the change. It's a cumbersome title and while it incorporates the historical connection to MOOs and MUDs I'm not sure it will make marketing them any easier.
Hope though that will be less important than the potential benefits they bring. Courseware will be the killer though. If education had access to the budgets of AAA game titles we could see some truly interesting developments. Doing this on a shoe-string isn't viable.
Perhaps someone needs to go cap in hand to the M & B Gates foundation?
The hype does remind me of several previous 'revolutions in education'. Multimedia / CD-ROMs, Flash based courseware, earlier on-line attempts. They've all had their time in the sun but none has yet had the impact promised.
Often I'm left feeling that teaching people to parse a decent google search would be the best available learning tool.
Colin McIvor
Knowledge Management Aficiando
Well put David - the more good research a universityputs out there the more people want to come to that university due to its reputation. The only thing that really doesnt work in the model is the teaching aspect, imho most really great academmic researchers tend to be geniuses in their field and therefore in most instances have a problem explaining their area of expertise and dont understand why other people dont understand what they are talking about. i think that universities should have two different streams, the teaching side and the research side. Students pass through the teaching side with people actually trained to teach, and those that decide that they want to move into research are then taken under the wing of the relevant academic. Most academics I have worked with got frustrated witht he amount of admin work required and how the teaching bit got in the way.
Nathan Peirce
Undergraduate (Bachelor of Science)
I'm not sure about other universities, but I've heard on more than one occasion (although certainly never officially) that the University of Melbourne's hiring policies are informed by a desire to boost their rankings—i.e.: they favour good researchers who may be poor teachers over good teachers who don't do much research.
Gavin Moodie
logged in via LinkedIn
The University of Melbourne states its priorities clearly in its strategy: 'The first strand – research . . . The second strand – learning and teaching . . . The final strand – engagement . . .'.
http://growingesteem.unimelb.edu.au/growing_esteem/about
Kim Darcy
Analyst
David
"If you talk about Massive Open Online Courses or MOOCs to academics, or even if you read articles written around the subject, one question, actually a statement and a question, will inevitably come up: “Yes, but you can’t make any money from MOOCs so where is the business model?”."
I have to be blunt here, sorry. Whoever goes to 'academics' for investment advice or entrepreneurialism. Especially in Australia, academics overwhelming SPEND other people's money - not make it.
Kim Darcy
Analyst
There are huge global market opportunities in the MOOCs space, which are already starting to kick in. It will take less than 2 years, before things fall into place sufficiently. The first signs will be the collapse of half of Australia's universities - mostly the Dawkin's Universities, which will be great for the nation to have all the money to spend productively.
Andrew Vann
Vice-Chancellor at Charles Sturt University
A couple of points on this. One, of course, is that I would absolutely reject the claim that post-Dawkins universities are a waste of money. It neglects entirely the economic and social value added. And of course, the predecessors of institutions such as CSU were still publicly funded and graduated a lot of students.
The second point is that I ask myself what kind of student is best placed and has the most incentive to take advantage of low-contact volume higher education? Well, it's those with the most educational capital sitting in lecture rooms of many hundreds at prestigious metropolitan universities. Why not take all Coursera's first year classes for free and then cash them in for credit? This would impact the Go8 at least as much as anyone else, quite possibly more.
Kim Darcy
Analyst
One of the very interesting demo-political fallouts over the next two decades in Australia, will be people with HECs debts, asking for them to be forgiven. The amount of money we spend on the huge number of sub-marginal uni students in this country, will be seen as criminal in a decade or so. Working people, with large HECs debts, will look back and see what a huge irrational bubble, the Gillard government created with "40% uni graduates" to be achieved through "uncapping the number of places that will be funded". So, all these kids with ATARs less than 60, with large debts, but low paid, low-skill jobs, will feel ripped off. They will - will of lot of justification I think - demand debt forgiveness, and use their - compulsory - voice at the ballot box.
Gavin Moodie
logged in via LinkedIn
Unpaid Hecs is not a problem, unlike US student loans from which this argument derives. Hecs isn't repaid until (former) students' taxable income exceeds $49,000 per annum, so (former) students in low paid jobs never repay Hecs - it is like a grant to them.
Kim Darcy
Analyst
Oh, Gavin, I agree 100% it is nothing like the catastrophe in the US. Still, if m prediction is correct, and all this moves very fast, I can see a situation where undergraduate costs drop dramatically. Now, IF that is passed on HECs payers, and suddenly only a few years apart from graduating, and one has a $35,000 debt for the same degree, now only costs $5,000, we might get some rumbling. OTOH, one HUGE ace the Australian has up its sleeve, is leave HECs as it is, and just drop/reduce what the government kicks in. In other, back to complete full-fee education, except the fees are much lower, and thus politically acceptable..
Gavin Moodie
logged in via LinkedIn
The claims that moocs will cut higher education's costs radically should be examined carefully. While consumers pay little if anything for online news, music and films, ‘newspapers’, recorded music and films cost almost as much as they have ever done: they still need as many highly skilled journalists, musicians and actors. The difference isn’t in costs but in prices: costs are currently not being recovered or are being recovered in different ways.
David Glance
Director, Centre for Software Practice at University of Western Australia
In the case of journalism, there has been a steady trend to do more with less. In the US the total journalist workforce has declined about 20% in the past 7 years.
http://stateofthemedia.org/2012/newspapers-building-digital-revenues-proves-painfully-slow/newspapers-by-the-numbers/
The documentary Page One documented part of that transition at the New York Times.
Gavin Moodie
logged in via LinkedIn
Perhaps, but a 20% cut is hardly a radical change in cost structure. In the end cutting the cost of services is limited by Baumol's cost disease. To achieve a radical change in the cost of a service requires a radical change in the service, for example, by listening to a recording of a Beethoven quartet rather than hearing it live.
Roger Hadgraft
logged in via LinkedIn
It seems to me that universities have spent little time trying to figure which parts of their instructional efforts could reasonably be reduced in cost. This is not helped by each university thinking it needs to do this for itself. So, in engineering, for instance, there's at least half of the credit hours that could be learned online. That would free up the academics to spend their time on the other half, interacting with students and adding real value through realistic project work.
The corollary…
Read morewilliam hollingsworth
student flinders university
Surely the revenue stream for MOOC courses would be the cost participants pay for assessment and accreditation.
The model for MOOCS should be similar to the distance education offered by universities now.
Also can we just clarify the use of the expression "Free on the internet". Maybe I am ignorant of the services of a free IP provider but to my IP provider I pay a sum each month which is subject to 10% GST, which the government could redistribute to musicians,filmakers etc who provide online content.This would be no different to APRA who distributes royalties collected from public broadcasting back to its members.
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There's another side effect of this, qualifications may no longer be just for within the nation they're earned in. The market for MOOCs is global, surely this will also require a rethink in how qualifications are recognised internationally.
Once again I'm drawn to a freemium model funded with micro-transactions. VCs may love this idea as many of them fall into the libertarian 'social Darwinist' camp of thought.
Kim Darcy
Analyst
No, William, where the revenue stream will come in is when Citibank, McKinsey & Co, JP Morgan, Nestle, Microsoft, Google, Deloitte, the Civil Service, Mars, Rio Tinto, Westpac, Telstra, Exxon, Sony, IBM, Reuters, Ogilvy & Mather, and so on, have finished their current research. When these guys start getting comfortable that they can price what the MOOC graduates are capable of doing, and then trading off the price of the current 4 year on-campus recruit, THAT is when this market explodes. The academics are not really involved in much of this.
Danya Hodgetts
Lecturer and Adjunct Research Fellow, Sport and Physical Activity at Central Queensland University
I signed up to do the Fundamentals of Online Education: Planning and Application with Georgia Tech, via Coursera, partly to see what the MOOC fuss is all about and partly for the irony of learning online about learning online.
There were 40,000 students and we were given open access to a Google spreadsheet to sign up for groups, which immediately crashed. Four days into the course, we were notified the course was suspended in order to make improvements.
Georgia Tech has a Shanghai ranking of around 110. While a debacle like this won't directly impact on their reputation, I can't imagine wanting to pay to study with them in the near future. Or studying this MOOC if they get it up and running again.
If universities are going to jump on the MOOC bandwagon, both the content and the process of any offerings need to be well planned.
All hasn't been lost: this has been a good illustration of what NOT to do.
Michael Croft
logged in via LinkedIn
Someone really ought to tell Georgia Tech that to label something with an acronym FOE:PA (faux pas) is not necessarily good for business.
Gavin Moodie
logged in via LinkedIn
Georgia Tech's failed mooc has been reported widely; this is quite a good account not behind a paywall
http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2013/02/04/coursera-forced-call-mooc-amid-complaints-about-course
David Glance
Director, Centre for Software Practice at University of Western Australia
The irony here was that the person taking the course was an "Instructional Designer" - and yes, there will be these disasters as well as the positive experiences.
The lesson from this was a poor choice of technology with no guidance given to the students about the purpose of the group work that was going to use this technology. The difference with an Open platform is that everyone learns not to do these things again.
it does highlight of course that the underlying technology is important in supporting courses at scale.
Christopher Orchard
Lecturer in Photography
I have found an increasing trend in MOOC design is to utilise the chapters of ones own textbook in subject design. Providing just enough to tease and tempt the individual in to purchase of the book/dvd/catalogue or other peripheral (software for instance).
If you want to know where the monetary incentive is in many of these things as to how to make money, it is is literally in the traditional marketplace of the academic and university double dipping (albeit single dipping now?). Students need to purchase text books to get the most out of a subject, written by the authors of the MOOC, in order to adequately fulfil the knowledge hole the introductory course offers. The text book in several of these cases seems to be also published by the universities own press. So wheres the money? 40,000 person captive audience, how that to translates to sales is anyones guess, but I'm sure the audience for such niche texts has seldom been so large.
Gavin Moodie
logged in via LinkedIn
Moocs may make $$ from text book sales, but I think most universities allow their employee authors to retain royalties. Mooc text sales may make university presses profitable for once, but I'd be surprised if sales would generate enough revenue to cover even the pay of the academic staff who wrote the text and designed the mooc.
Trevor McGrath
Pharmacist Hobby:climatology
I wrote this this morning, but waited to see what else would be said. This not being my area of knowledge.
Hi Kim. Please correct me if I’m wrong, but it seems to me that you are preparing a paper on ’Marxism and economic Darwinism in the context of the Chicago school’, and I feel that among other things one of conclusions would be to give scholarships to all the private school girls and boys and give all the money to the Ivory towers. I thought MOOCs were open to anyone, regardless of entrance…
Read moreCameron Nichol
eLearning Manager
I feel the need to comment but I am getting exhausted by the subject.
I know it's a bit self serving but here are 2 of my past blog postings and one from Tony Bates.
https://blogs.monash.edu/elearnaccfin/2013/02/14/moocs-that-make-sense-in-australian-higher-ed/
https://blogs.monash.edu/elearnaccfin/2012/10/25/moocs-can-everyone-please-settle-down/
http://www.tonybates.ca/2012/12/16/online-learning-in-2012-a-retrospective/