Most efforts to project how well a candidate will do in an election are based largely on factors over which presidents have little to no control.
Academic rigor, journalistic flair
Articles on US public opinion
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The more ambivalent a person is about a political issue, the more likely they are to support violence and other extreme actions relating to that issue.
Increasingly, the media, pollsters and pundits are focusing on independent voters and their effects on election outcomes.
It’s been more than 20 years since the US invaded Iraq, but the invasion still provides a cautionary tale about getting involved in an expensive war abroad.
Top contributors
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Dornsife Dean’s Professor of International Relations, USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences
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Professor & Co-Director, Center for an Independent and Sustainable Democracy, School of Public Affairs, Arizona State University
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Postdoctoral Fellow in Consumer Behavior, University of Virginia
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Professor of Psychology, The Ohio State University
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Professor of Political Science and Director of the Weidenbaum Center on the Economy, Government, and Public Policy, Arts & Sciences at Washington University in St. Louis
