Vital Signs is a weekly economic wrap from UNSW economics professor and Harvard PhD Richard Holden (@profholden). Vital Signs aims to contextualise weekly economic events and cut through the noise of the…
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Articles on Interest rates
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GDP growth that doesn’t translate into income is no cause for celebration.
Worse than expected business investment in both manufacturing and mining provides another nod towards secular stagnation.
One of the worst hit countries during the financial crisis has regained economic strength inside a gilded cage – to the extent that it can now step outside, melt it down and re-sell the gold.
There are some good reasons why the RBA should retain its flexibility in managing inflation.
Brexit would throw up all manner of problems for the UK economy, including a rise in borrowing costs for homeowners.
Herding behaviour is leading to excessive borrowing, further fuelling apartment prices, particularly in Sydney.
We are all still learning the rules of the “secularly stagnant” global economy.
Fears of deflation have prompted the Reserve Bank of Australia to act on the eve of the federal budget.
Watch out on budget day for how creative Treasury assumptions are on inflation.
Africa needs to navigate the difficult economic waters that lie ahead without undoing the gains of the past two decades. Success will require difficult political choices.
RBA Governor Glenn Stevens isn’t buying the secular stagnation theory, lending weight to the deficit hawks.
Expect the higher dollar to put strong downward pressure on already low interest rates.
Once again the US-AUD exchange rate has monetary policymakers worried.
Negative interest rates are not the weapon some central bankers had hoped they would be.
Both the US and Australia face a global economy that is in deep, deep trouble.
Scrapping €500 notes would inconvenience money launderers; it would also help the European Central Bank to make interest rates more negative.
This week: the Australian economy exceeds expectations, while China continues to worry. RBA Governor Glenn Stevens has reason to smile, Janet Yellen less so.
There is more uncertainty in financial markets, an improving labour market in Australia (despite a monthly blip in January) and the US, but no sign of much growth.
Low inflation gives the RBA scope to cut rates in coming months but a lot will turn on whether we continue to see persistently weak GDP growth.
Top contributors
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Professor of Economics, UNSW Sydney
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Senior Lecturer, Research School of Economics, and Research Associate, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Australian National University
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Professor, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick
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Senior Lecturer in Economics, The Open University
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Associate Professor of Finance, Mississippi State University
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Lecturer in Economics, Monash University
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Senior Lecturer, Canberra School of Politics, Economics and Society, University of Canberra
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Visiting Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
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Professor of Economics, University of Nebraska Omaha
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Associate Professor in Economics, University of Leeds
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Professor of Finance and Business Economics, University of Southern California
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Visiting Faculty in Economics, Emory University
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Professor of Finance, University of Liverpool
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Professor of Macroeconomics, University of Sydney
