People around the world were shocked when Hillary Clinton, ahead in many polls, didn’t end up the U.S.‘ president-elect. But that doesn’t mean the polls themselves were wrong.
Pollsters seemed to grow reflective as the night wore on.
EPA/JASON SZENES
Given the failure of British polls to predict the outcome of Brexit, is it possible Donald Trump could produce a surprise result of even greater proportions?
Polls and elections are considered vital democratic tools – but there’s more to true democracy.
Siphiwe Sibeko/Reuters
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s approval rating has not dropped below 80 percent since March 2014. Russians overwhelmingly support their president’s aggression in Georgia and Crimea. Here’s why.
Many, and varied, inputs make better predictions.
Hands up image via shutterstock.com
Whether it’s Hillary Clinton’s courting the UFO vote or Donald Trump’s lending credibility to various conspiracy theories, the “triumph of reason” seems to have gone by the wayside.
Natalie Mast speaks with 'Poll Bludger' William Bowe in the final week of the election campaign to break down how the major parties have faired and which seats could decide the election.
Polls show Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten locked in a tight race as the election campaign nears its end.
Mick Tsikas/AAP
Greens leader Richard Di Natale told Q&A that if there was a vote among people who are under 30 in Australia, there’d possibly be a Greens prime minister. What do the polls say?
Natalie Mast speaks with 'Poll Bludger' William Bowe about how the election campaign has gone so far and what the Senate might look like as a result of changes to the voting method.
When considering US elections it pays to “follow the money” – and not just the campaign donations. Head to the bookies, not the polls, to see who’s really in with a shout.
As Jeb Bush, the 11th declared Republican candidate enters the race for president, a look back at a secretive survey in 1935 that foreshadowed today’s ubiquitous horserace polls.
The electoral phenomenon that left David Cameron smiling will have huge implications for future battles.
Ki Price/EPA
Professor of Economics and Finance. Director of the Betting Research Unit and the Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University