Don’t wait for electric vehicle infrastructure, you (probably) don’t need it

Fast charging stations and battery swap stations are often proposed as being necessary infrastructure for electric cars. But do we need to wait for this infrastructure before we swap our petrol and diesel cars for the latest electric models? Aren’t electric cars just shifting emissions from exhaust pipes…

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When fewer than 10% of cars in Sydney travel more than 100 km, do we need charging infrastructure? fa f c c/Flickr

Fast charging stations and battery swap stations are often proposed as being necessary infrastructure for electric cars. But do we need to wait for this infrastructure before we swap our petrol and diesel cars for the latest electric models? Aren’t electric cars just shifting emissions from exhaust pipes to power stations?

Electric cars do not have anything like the range of conventional cars, some of which will go “more than 1000 km on a tank” (though this claim often says as much about the size of the tank as it does about the efficiency of the car). My petrol car warns me that it is empty when it has 100 km range remaining; this is almost as much as the “full” range of some electric cars.

In advertising, cars are depicted cruising at high speed along endless outback highways, or climbing rugged mountain tracks through rainforests, then speeding along a beach at sunset. The reality is much less glamorous. Almost all Australians live in cities, and our cars travel short distances in traffic. In Sydney, fewer than 10% of cars travel more than 100 km per day. The median distance travelled each day is less than 35 kilometres. In the other capital cities, fewer than 5% of cars travel more than 100 kilometres per day.

If we are mostly travelling short distances, do we need a lot of public charging infrastructure? Early experience in the UK and Japan has shown that while EV owners value public charging infrastructure, most charging is done overnight at home.

There are three important reasons why home charging will be dominant:

  • cars are generally not used at night, and so this is the ideal time to charge
  • there is a greater availability of electricity at night, at potentially lower cost
  • a home charging station guarantees you somewhere to charge

The UK Government’s strategy for charging electric cars is:

  • most charging will occur at home, at night, off peak, using cheaper, lower-carbon electricity
  • workplaces will provide recharging facilities for their fleets, and for employees who cannot recharge at home
  • public infrastructure should target places where it is needed and is commercially viable.

Cars that rarely travel more than 100—150 km per day could be replaced with an electric car that is more suited to commuting in a city, and much more efficient than a car capable of towing a caravan across the country.

Swapping oil for electricity

The remaining question is whether electric cars are any better for the environment than conventional cars. The CO2 emissions from an electric vehicle occur at the power station when the car is recharged, and depend on how the electricity is generated. The diagram below shows well-to-wheel emissions for various cars in various locations.

CO2 emissions for vehicles in Australia

The average new car sold in 2010 had well-to-wheel CO2 emissions, with a standard drive cycle, of 229 grams/km (the unit of measurement of carbon dioxide emissions from vehicles). The best of the conventional petrol, diesel and hybrid cars had emissions of 95—115 g/km, but very few of us buy cars this efficient.

As with conventional cars, the emissions from an electric car will vary with the size and efficiency of the car. But there is also a large variation with how the electricity is generated. For a Nissan Leaf, the CO2 emissions vary from 240 g/km in Victoria, which burns brown coal to generate electricity, down to 61 g/km in Tasmania, which uses mainly hydroelectricity. The smaller Mitsubishi i-MiEV has emissions of 47—185 g/km, depending on where it is charged.

But electric cars can have zero well-to-wheel emissions, if the electricity is generated from renewable resources. In buying GreenPower, your electricity retailer is obliged to source electricity equivalent to your usage from accredited renewable sources. The cost of electricity and the additional cost for GreenPower varies throughout Australia, but is typically around 5 cents per kilometre. This is significantly less than the cost of fuel for a comparable petrol or diesel car. With off-peak charging tariffs, the cost of running a electric car can be much less.

Plug-in cars mean more electricity

If we were to replace all passenger cars in Australian capital cities with electric cars, we would need to generate about 11% more electricity for Brisbane, Sydney, Canberra, Melbourne, Hobart and Adelaide. (Perth and Darwin have separate electricity systems.) However, if everybody plugs in their electric car and starts charging when they get home, the increased use of electricity during the evening peak will cause problems in your home, in your street, or in your suburb.

Most cars don’t travel far enough to need access to charging stations. gywst/Flickr

But electric cars driven moderate distances during the day need only a few hours of charging, and will usually have all night to charge. If charging can be delayed or controlled, then we can start to make more efficient use of our electricity distribution system and, with tariff incentives, reduce our electricity costs. Greater control of the electrical load will also enable greater use of variable renewable energy resources.

If you rarely travel more than 100 km per day, and have somewhere to charge at home, you do not need to wait for public charging infrastructure. And if you buy GreenPower (which is significantly cheaper than petrol or diesel), an electric car can provide you with emission-free motoring. Along with better-designed cities, improved public transport and low-energy mobility (walking, cycling and low-mass vehicles), electric cars can play an important role in reducing transport emissions.

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17 Comments sorted by

  1. Geoff Russell

    Computer Programmer, Author

    11 percent more electricity for all passenger vehicles is an encouraging number, but there are other big issues that also need to be quantified:

    1) what percentage of vehicle emissions are passenger vehicles? ... because we need to deal with the others also

    2) when are the vehicles charged? ... if it is outside the times when green power is available, then it will be from fossil fuels. Green power energy isn't stored for future use.

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    1. Geoff Russell

      Computer Programmer, Author

      In reply to Geoff Russell

      I've found a reasonable answer to 1) in the 2009 National Inventory Report (Vol 1).

      Passenger vehicles 41 Mt, trucks and buses 30 Mt, International bunker fuels another 12 Mt, domestic aviation 6 Mt ... (all units Mt-Co2-eq).

      N.B. Just for a little perspective, methane emissions from cattle are about 1.72 million tonnes ... equal to about 43 Mt-Co2eq, but with an actual warming impact of 3 times this, about 123 Mt-CO2eq (using the 20 year GWP). So roughly, our cattle problem is 3 times bigger than our passenger vehicle problem, even before you include the indirect emissions associated with cattle production like savanna burning, the NO2 associated with growing 4 million tonnes of grain etc, etc.

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    2. Leo Kerr

      Consultant

      In reply to Geoff Russell

      Geoff the way green power works is that the electricity generator guarantees to buy the equivalent amount of green power which the householder consumes. When you sign up for green power you are not connected to a wind or solar farm. It doesn't matter what time of day you are charging up.

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    3. Leo Kerr

      Consultant

      In reply to Geoff Russell

      Where did you get your calculations for methane? Methane has a GWP of 25 - how does 1.72mt result in 123mt CO2e. Did I miss something? Where did you research your figures on this?
      The easy answer for the cattle problem is for more of us to switch to a vegetarian style of eating - healthier, cheaper and better for the environment.

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    4. Geoff Russell

      Computer Programmer, Author

      In reply to Leo Kerr

      The climate system and climate modellers don't use GWP ... the actual warming of a tonne of methane is
      about 100 times that of CO2 ... and over a 20 year period its impact is about 72 times that of a tonne of
      CO2 over 20 years. Hence IPCC define a GWP100 which is 25 and a GWP20 which is 72 ... so 72*1.72=123.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global-warming_potential
      and
      http://bravenewclimate.com/2008/08/11/australias-most-powerful-climate-forcing-agent-its-not-coal/

      Indeed, there have been plenty of calls for meat reduction, including by the head of the IPCC and James Hansen, but Australia is taking no notice at all.

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    5. aligatorhardt

      logged in via Twitter

      In reply to Geoff Russell

      With smart meters and EVs the many car batteries do provide energy storage. If the utility is allowed to draw down part of the battery charge in off hours, and charge during low demand, then the cars provide energy storage for the utility.

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  2. Gerard Dean

    Managing Director

    Run that by me again!

    "most charging will occur at home, at night, off peak, using cheaper, lower-carbon electricity"

    Shouldn't that read 'lower cost electricity' rather than 'lower carbon electricity'. Solar doesn't function at night, wind energy is much lower at night and the UK has very little hydro. Furthermore, coal fired electricity generators must run 24 hours which is why the old night time 'off peak' electricity was cheaper.

    Also, you do not mention the huge holes that we will have to dig for lead, cadmium, nickel, lithium and the many nasty chemicals to make millions of tonnes of batteries for the electric car fleet.

    Looks like the high technology turbo diesels are the way to go from the graph. They have similar emissions to the battery car without the hundreds of kilograms of messy battery which will be dumped in land-fill every 5 years.

    Gerard Dean
    .
    .

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    1. Mark Chambers

      logged in via Facebook

      In reply to Gerard Dean

      Gerard,

      Your concerns about landfill are likely to be unwarranted. The warranty on Prius batteries a 8-10 years. Two prius taxis were driven 350,000 and 500,000km before battery replacement (1). Replaced batteries can then be completely recycled "leaving nothing to go to the landfill." (2)

      There's another way to look at the graph - once you've purchased a "High technology turbo diesel" you have nowhere to go. If, on the other hand, you buy a 'high emission' EV in Victoria today, you can always move to GreenPower tomorrow to reduce your emissions - to zero if you choose to.

      1. http://www.motorauthority.com/news/1023454_toyota-prius-taxi-tops-340000mi-dispels-battery-myth
      2. http://green.autoblog.com/2012/01/05/replacing-prius-batteries-can-be-good-for-the-environment-and/

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    2. David Arthur

      n/a

      In reply to Mark Chambers

      Here's even more Good News for Mr Dean:

      Not only can he use an electric vehicle for his city running about during the day, but a home energy storage system has recently been made available: South Australian energy company ZEN has announced such a computer-controlled refrigerator-sized battery bank to accumulate power from a rooftop solar array for 24-hour domestic power (http://www.zenhomeenergy.com.au/news/12001, http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/environment/the-zen-of-battery-storage-breakthroughs-20121010-27dc8.html).

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    3. Leo Kerr

      Consultant

      In reply to Gerard Dean

      "dumped in landfill every 5 years" - you're simply regurgitating the tired old misconceptions about evs. Lithium batteries will be extensively recycled (in fact they are today) in the same manner as current ICE vehicle batteries - greater than 97% globally. Battery recycling is one of the most successful recycling stories in the world. Why would people ditch something so valuable. Even if they were dumped in landfill lithium ion batteries have already been classified as safe for landfill according…

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    4. Jonathan Maddox

      Software Engineer

      In reply to Gerard Dean

      In the UK there is plenty of wind generation on many nights of the year. The UK also has significant nuclear energy baseload (running at the same output 24 hours) and some combined-cycle gas-fired power stations also run 24 hours (though with lower output at night). These are all "low carbon" sources so yes, night-time power is lower-carbon than daytime. There are also coal-fired baseload stations of course, but they too run at low output at night, and the oldest, dirtiest ones are even mothballed…

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    5. Neil Gibson

      Retired Electronics Engineer

      In reply to David Arthur

      Great news indeed.$50,000 for a Holden Volt and $30,000 for a home battery system. Anyone with a lazy $80,000 to invest will rush it. I would not like to trade one after a few years use if hybrids are any guide.
      I love the idea of electric cars but financially they do not make sense. Hybrids are the limit of current technology (I drive one) but they need to drop in price before mass acceptance.

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    6. Peter Campbell

      Scientist (researcherid B-7232-2008)

      In reply to Gerard Dean

      I have been driving my DIY home-converted battery electric car for almost 4 years now at 10,000km/year. It uses a lithium battery that show no sign of not being as good as the day I bought it. I will be surprised if I don't get a decade of use out of it.
      The battery is not "messy"; it is sealed.
      My battery does not weigh 'hundreds' of kg. It is 135kg and the whole car is lighter than just about any you can buy.
      I purchase greenpower to run the car but it is still cheaper to run than any petrol car I could buy.
      It is absolutely practical for charging at home from an ordinary power point and I get a useful amount of charge in a few hours. On weekends I have occasionally travelled twice as far as the nominal range by top up charging between trips.
      The car has better performance than the turbo version of the donor car.
      My car has sufficient range for a return trip to anywhere in my home town (Canberra).

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  3. Robert Nelson

    Associate Director Student Experience at Monash University

    I love all these questions! It is a good article, Peter, with lots of useful information but my sense of crisis is not allayed.

    I feel that the electrical vehicle creates a false utopia. The challenge in sustainability discourse is how our society might use less energy, given that net energy production is environmentally damaging, even though clean energy is warmly to be encouraged, like vegetarianism.

    Trust in technology has a leaden effect on the necessary cultural change. We have to reduce…

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  4. Dave Smith

    Energy Consultant

    Peter,

    I agree with your article about most charging of EVs taking place at home overnight.

    I expect that, in the medium term, most EVs in Australia will be plug-in hybrids. So they will run on electricity for daily commutes and then on petrol for longer trips: eg holidays etc. I can't see pure EVs going mainstream until there is a recharging process and recharging infrastructure comparable to petrol. That seems like a long way off.

    What do you think?

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    1. Jennifer Kent

      Research Assistant and PhD Candidate in Planning at University of New South Wales

      In reply to Dave Smith

      "If you rarely travel more than 100 km per day, and have somewhere to charge at home, you do not need to wait for public charging infrastructure."

      I think the key here is "and have somewhere to charge at home" - this infers a garage or car port - both of which are hot property in higher density areas where planning controls regularly use car parking restrictions to encourage alternative transport use and/or decreased VKT.

      This is another interesting example of where practical reality needs to be considered across purposes. By assuming charging will be done at home we are potentially excluding a key market for EVs.

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  5. Christopher Munnings

    logged in via LinkedIn

    is it worth considering more than co2 in the case for the environment? I don't know lot about urban pollution but how many health benefits are there to cleaning up our cities. On a totally separate note why do we need totally new infrastructure, we are talking about plug sockets can't we just use what we've got? There are literally thousands of external plugs around, at less than a dollar an hour to charge an ev can't bussinesses start offering power to their customers?

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