John Gardner, US Secretary of Health, Education and Welfare joined Lyndon Johnson’s cabinet in 1965 to help create a ‘Great Society’ to end poverty, promote equality, improve education, rejuvenate cities and protect the environment. Of these goals he said: “What we have before us are some breathtaking opportunities disguised as insoluble problems”. In a few short years the insoluble problems transformed into: the Civil Rights Act and Medicare to promote equality; the Elementary and Secondary Education Act to improve education; and the formation of the Corporation for Public Broadcasting to inform the people.

Breathtaking opportunities are driven by vision and inspiration rather than efficient allocation of resources. Any cost-benefit analysis would have failed to quantify the benefits of the Civil Rights Act, taking on Nazi Germany, space exploration, the formation of the United Nations, and the development of the motor vehicle. Analysing cost is an important component in decision making but it should not preclude the opportunity for transformation.
The breathtaking opportunity that we face today is the transformation of global energy use from fossil fuels to renewables; a journey to environmental sustainability. The insoluble problem that we think we face is cost.
So what is the state of the technological transformation required to source our energy from the sun? Photovoltaic (PV) technology (which converts sunlight to electricity using semi-conductors) currently being rolled out in Germany and China originated in Australia but due to a lack of support for development and deployment, those countries were able to acquire the Intellectual Property (IP) and build industry to deploy the technology.

The German PV industry is now well-established and has been instrumental in the installation of 25 gigawatts of power, the creation of 130,000 jobs, the despatch of 18.5 terawatt hours of energy in 2011, and earning Euro 10 billion of income in 2010. Suntech, the Chinese PV manufacturer, started by Dr Zhengrong Shi who studied at UNSW, earned $3.13 billion and employed more than 20,000 people in 2011.
By comparison, Australia’s entire booming mining industry employs 205,000 and earned $98 billion in 2011($44 billion for coal, oil and gas). It would seem that Australian quarry mentality is determined to ignore the potential of its IP in favour of flogging off its mineral wealth.

Large-scale PV deployment has reduced the cost of electricity from PV from $0.37 in 2007 to $0.15/kilowatt hour (kWh) today, attributable to generous Feed-in-Tariffs around the world and competition induced by China’s investment in PV production. Efficiency of energy conversion is around 15% with research indicating that 40% is achievable using multiple layers of silicon (Compare that to the 24% efficiency in converting the energy in brown coal to electricity in Australia).
The current cost of Concentrated Solar Power (CSP), with storage, from BrightSource and SolarReserve (which use mirrors to concentrate sunlight to heat a fluid which generates steam to drive a turbine) is estimated at between 12 and 14c/kWh according to Green Tech Media Research. The US Department of Energy (DoE) has a target for cost of electricity from CSP of 6c/kWh. To facilitate this trip down the cost curve, the US DoE has forged the Sunshot Initiative which is researching how to: reduce the cost of heliostats (mirrors) from $200/m2 to $74/m2 (this is important since heliostats contribute around 50% of the total cost of CSP); increase the temperature of the receiver to 1000 degrees and still contain heat; and improve conversion efficiency of the power block to 50% or more with dry cooling. These should not be paralysing, insoluble problems.
Whilst large-scale deployment of PV is reducing its cost, it is still more expensive than CSP. CSP (with storage) has another substantial advantage over PV, in that it can dispatch energy as required, avoiding the intermittency and scheduling problems associated with PV (and wind). The current level of PV deployment is more a factor of modularity than cost effectiveness; individuals can afford an expensive and compact rooftop PV unit but not a large-scale thermal power plant with acres of heliostats, despite its cost benefits over PV. What this shows is that there is a genuine desire for solar power by the proletariat, but a lack of vision from the central planners (be they politicians in control of regulation or investors in control of finance); a shortcoming exacerbated by indecision blamed on prohibitive cost.

And yes, both solar power options currently generate electricity more expensively than that from coal or gas whilst we fail to count the costs of their environmental footprint. However, a study last year found that “For any [coal] plant design, once efficiency improvements have been exhausted, the price of coal will set a floor on total costs.” We may have seen substantial efficiency gains in the last 100 years, but we are still prepared to accept considerable waste in the transformation of energy. Australian energy consumption in 2009 shows energy consumed as: 23% by industry, 2% by agriculture, 8% by households, 5% by commerce, 30% of all energy consumed is wasted in generating electricity; 10% is used to extract and process fuels; and 22% is used in transport (although it is estimated that of that 20% is used to combat the inertia of vehicles). Every year, more energy is wasted than used.
The breathtaking opportunity that we stand to gain from being able to convert energy from the sun into electricity is that solar power has no fuel price setting a floor on cost. Irrespective of geopolitical tensions and reserve depletion, the cost of solar power can only get cheaper. This view is lost when investment decisions are justified solely on current levelised costs and carbon prices.
Investing in CSP to meet increased demand is not going to decimate the economy as alarmists would have us believe, it is simply going to pave the way to a future where our energy needs could be sourced from renewable sources. The largest barrier to solar power is not its level of technological advancement, or efficiency, or the existence or size of a carbon price, but the lack of vision from the central planners that dictate an energy policy stuck in a previous century.
Comments welcome below.
Chris Plant
Engineer
".....there is a genuine desire for solar power by the proletariat".
The proletariat!!. Are you for real?
"The German PV industry is ....earning Euro 10 billion of income in 2010"
No it is not 'earning' anything. It is a rent-seeking parasitic industry that drains money from the rest of the economy.
"Suntech, the Chinese PV manufacturer, ...... earned $3.13 billion in 2011." Only through the stupidity of western governments who are forcing taxpayers to to subsidise this billionaire.
Studies have shown that every job in the solar industry cost 2.1 jobs elsewhere in Spain, and about double that in the UK.
While R&D should be encouraged, there is simply no point in large-scale implementation until it can stand on its own without subsidies, hidden or otherwise. Even then, improvements will not be anything like what is being touted in this article. Carnot's Law of Thermal Effieciency will see to that.
John Newlands
tree changer
I doubt that CSP will ever replace a single coal fired power station. Power plants are typically a few tens of megawatts and have less than a day's heat storage. In aggregate coal is currently tens of gigawatts operating 24/7. Even with hundreds of CSP plants dotted around Australia there is still the problem of weak winter sun and continent-wide cloud cover. Costly large backup generation will be required. CSP enthusiasts sometimes recommend backup generators that burn hay or similar which…
Read moreCraig Read
logged in via Twitter
I'd rather us spend money on de-centralised energy storage than nuclear at this point.
Not because I think nuclear = bad. I'd actually love to see Australia lead the world on Thorium LFTR technology. It's safer than the nuclear reactors other countries are currently using, and we have the Throrium resources to last us thousands of years.
What we don't have is the expertise required to build nuclear reactors in Australia. And even if we had the expertise, it'd still be prohibitively expensive…
Read morePetra Liverani
UX Designer
John, what data are you basing your doubts about CSP? The Zero Carbon Australia Stationary Energy Plan 2020 produced by Beyond Zero Emissions and the Energy Research Institute, Melbourne University shows that Australia can indeed be powered affordably by 100% renewables using a combination of CSP+ (CSP plus molten salt storage), wind, a small biomass/hydro backup, efficiency and an upgraded grid. As Lynette says, making it happen will come from vision and inspiration rather than efficient allocation of resources and that's the hardest part. An inspiring video about CSP+ in Spain is at http://tiny.cc/0jahy.
John Newlands
tree changer
The pro-nuclear website BraveNewClimate has published thorough critiques of the ZCA proposals. This one is from UNSW's Ted Trainer who is not pro-nuclear
http://bravenewclimate.com/2010/09/09/trainer-zca-2020-critique/
Shorter version it is not physically credible, nor I suggest is the likely sacrifice by individuals. I'd call ZCA the pay-more-get-less scheme.
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
As you say, more than one such critique has been published on that site. As you admit, it's a nuclear power promotional site.
ZCA has wisely refused to be sucked in. I'll follow their lead.
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
For mine, nuclear reactors - fission or fusion - have no rightful place on the planet. Come to think of it, they have no such place anywhere close enough to the planet that there's a substantial risk of them falling on it. In deep space, they may have uses.
On Earth, there's enough potential in renewables that I regard resources devoted to things like nuclear and "clean" coal as wasted. http://media.beyondzeroemissions.org/ZCA2020_Stationary_Energy_Report_v1.pdf shows some of the potential.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Hey Craig, c'mon over to Shanghai in Oct! You may be able to meet the Aussies & Czechs working together on Th MSR...
http://tinyurl.com/6vmaljn
www.itheo.org/articles/announcing-thec12-shanghai
We actually shipped some of the salt from the ORNL MSR that ran in the ''60s
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Well David, you'll have to rake up your naive "nuclear reactors - fission or fusion - have no rightful place on the planet" with God or MA Nature, depending on your belief system. Natural fission reactors have operated on Earth for many, many years. Google "Oklo natural reactors", for example.
See, fission is natural, and occurring all the time. Controlling it gives us access to a very natural source of power that was stored long before you had a planet to make statements like this on.
;]
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
And ZCA has been "sucked in" by the promoters of solar thermal, wind, etc.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Thanks for the link, John. It's good to have folks getting subsidized to play 'green' be evaluated via real science & engineering, rather than marketing.
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Alex,
Thanks for further reducing the probability that readers will be deceived by your misinformation
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
ZCA has proved resistant to being sucked in. Perhaps that's your problem; they didn't swallow the nuclear industry's propaganda.
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinfirmation and spin.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Keep that hat by your bed, David!
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
So David, we know you can pick a great hat shot with your camera, in bed, and you've shown you don't understand basic physics & thermodynamics, and you've shown you don't understand nuclear power, and we know you don't care. So, again, why should you expect anyone buy what you're selling?
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
My aim is to reduce the risk that anyone will buy what you're selling.
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinfirmation and spin.
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinfirmation and spin.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Get out on your "land" David, and make use of that lovely hat!
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Predictability isn't a virtue, David.
;]
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinformation and spin.
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
One thing about living on the land, there's always plenty to do. Since I retired, I've never been busier. Don't know how I ever found time to go to work.
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinformation and spin.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
To lazy to write a new jibe each time? Hard day out on the "land"?
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
I don't have the resources that the nuclear power industry no doubt provides to you.
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinformation and spin.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Good one David -- read what Confucius says about ignorance & study.
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinformation and spin.
Peter Brown
Retired Vet
I think you would find that our fossil fuel industries receive more than enough generous subsidies via direct excise exemptions, non recovery of taxpayer input (Geoscience Australia, CSIRO etc), direct tax allowances for resource exploration and development...the list goes on. If we added up all the subsidies and took into account that over 50% of power station output is lost before it reaches the user then renewables don't look as unattractive as some would claim. Of course this does not include the environmental and health costs associated with mining, especially coal. The recent lack of hands up by the coal mining industry for the heavy metal leak from an abandoned coal mine in the Grose Valley in NSW is typical of the lack of responsibility shown by extractive mining industries around the world.
John Bennetts
Engineer
Peter, the thermal efficiency of solar thermal power stations is equal to or less than that of coal fired power stations - typically, significantly lower.
More than 50% of the thermal energy is lost in both cases, so there is no comparative difference, only a matter of degree.
Regarding CSIRO, Goesciences Australia and any other list of academic and research establishments, for every project that is aimed at fossil fuels, there is another (or more) that is aimed at renewables, which represent…
Read morePeter Brown
Retired Vet
John,
I did not say fossil= bad: renewable=good. However, if we only consider what is the cheapest source of power then we are only measuring outcomes in dollars. There are a lot of other measurements that need to be included in the cost of all energy sources. The Grose Valley example is an environmental cost that was never built into the production of the mine. There are also enormous amounts of concrete, various metals etc in fossil fuel power stations, mines mining equipment etc...huge capital cost. I am not saying there is zero capital cost with renewables but in the long run, for a functioning sustainable future, higher power costs associated with renewables may be worth the price. Why do we need ever increasing consumption??
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Just some reality: "Power plants are typically a few tens of megawatts" -- multiply that by about 100, John.
Any thermal plant, including solar thermal, runs into large thermodynamic losses. So, the heat needed to run a city with 1GWe (a billion Watts of electric output), depends critically on the temperature of the working fluid (steam, salt, nitrogen...) and the temperature of the exhaust from whatever's turning the generators (turbines, etc.).
So a thermal plant of any kind is burdened…
Read moreJohn Bennetts
Engineer
At what cost, Alex? Certainly not the proponents - PV is simply far too expensive, even at 15 cents per kWh as against the marginal cost of coal fired power at about 3 cents.
When proposing to clad every structure on the planet with exotic materials, it is also reasonable to account for the cost of transmission/ interconnection, inverters, system control, backup/reliability and all those other nice "ancilary services" which we take for granted and which are essential for industrial, if not domestic…
Read moreDerek Bolton
Retired s/w engineer
Alex, how did you arrive at 20% for solar thermal? I believe coal plants operate around 600C and get 40%, The article claims 1000C as feasible for solar thermal, which would get you over 60%, no? There'd be reradiation loss too, but with a 1000:1 collection/target ratio it would only be about 7%.
That said, I dislike comparisons of efficiency between technologies that use unrelated power sources, like solar and coal, as in the article. It doesn't mean anything. It wouldn't matter if PV were only 1% efficient if there were sufficient abundance of solar energy and the technology were extremely cheap. The comparison is more meaningful between solar PV and solar thermal.
(Other than that, good article :-).)
Wrt solar farms, I get what you're saying about land use, but in both the US and Australia there are large deserts and degraded land. Transmission losses with HVDC are only 3%/1000km. And wind farms do not displace agriculture (can even be beneficial).
John Bennetts
Engineer
Derek, the most reasonable way to compare technologies is by use of the LCOE - Levellised Cost of Energy. This take account of all life cycle costs.
It does not include non-dollar issues such as availability, scaleability, reliability and environmental impact, but at least it does bring together construction, operating and maintenance costs. More advanced versions also account for Owner's costs, such as land acquisition, financing during the construction period and project design and supervision.
There are many sources of LCOE comparisons on the web, all calculated by smarter people than I. I will not provide links here, lest my selected sites appear to some to be politically incorrect.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Derek, the problem with solar thermal is that, yes, theoretically we could approach a combined-cycle turbine system as for gas/coal/oil, but the reality is that 1000C hasn't been reliably achieved with even the best (salt) fluids & plumbing metals. So to be fair, we could say 40% starting out. However, solar thermal systems are far from loads and the loss is typically 10%. Add to that the need to keep the working fluid hot overnight, and you get down to around 20-30% -- they even provide for natural…
Read moreDerek Bolton
Retired s/w engineer
Yes, I know. (What did I say that prompted your response? I was merely objecting to a different method of comparison.)
That said, there are a few issues with LCOE:
- you need to check for externalities; there are grounds to suggest health costs of fossil fuels are comparable to the wholesale price of the power produced, but further research is needed.
- there are always transition costs; LCOE for early deployments may be far higher than for the same technology as incumbent.
- LCOE depends on discount rate, which has nothing to do with the merits of the technology.
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Alex has been known to indicate that he'd rather sleep with a nuclear reactor than a human being:
http://theconversation.edu.au/growing-the-grunt-developing-green-biofuels-for-australia-6954#comment_39125
Alex Cannara: "... nuke plants are not only safer than anything else ... bananas & coal plants, and people (you too) radiate more...
... you definitely don't want to sleep next to someone, since each of you radiate at the reate of over 4000 decays per second ..."
Elsewhere, he's tried to spin…
Read moreDerek Bolton
Retired s/w engineer
Overnight losses depend on the scale of the plant (tank size, receiver size). For envisaged production plants (GWs) it would be well under 5%, I believe. Given that demand is higher during the day, that only applies to 30-40% of the collected heat. So we have 40% * 98% * 90% = 35%.
I've not heard of the gas being used on a regular basis, except perhaps in demo-sized plant. It has to be there to cope with a major outage, where you might need to protect the salt from freezing for weeks.
Read moreI agree…
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
John, you can research all the "no $ down" offers now available to even residential customers of PV. Calif. has a "million solar home" program in force and jurisdictions like Palo Alto, Santa Clara County, local school districts, even churches, are actively installing present solar PV, which is not at all exotic or expensive.
Also, at 20% efficiency, we're nowhere near deciding to "clad every structure on the planet with exotic materials". Present efficiencies are increasing continually,which…
Read moreAlex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Derek, what you're missing id the thermodynamics of the conversion from heated fluid to turbine power output. 1 - Tcold/Thot) can't be fudged. Other losses, as overnight cooling, generator & transmission losses just add to that . You can look up thermodynamic info such as the ideal Carnot Cycle, which can only be approached.
As far as PV albedo, you're right that it's a key to waste heat generation there, but the input is always 1kW/sqm in the sun, so 1 - cell efficiency indeed measures the…
Read moreDerek Bolton
Retired s/w engineer
"what you're missing id the thermodynamics of the conversion from heated fluid to turbine power "
No, that's the 40% efficiency. We already discussed that.
Wrt waste heat from solar, you seem to be agreeing with me that all absorbed light ends up as heat, yet expressing it as though you disagree with me. Confused.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
So David, when you don't bother to understand something, are others supposed to stand by while you mouth inanities?
Just trying to get the the level of juvenile 'superiority' you think we should accept from you.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Derek, the light on a solar cell ends up as thermal & quantum losses, and free electrons. Those electrons give us the 20% or whatever, of the solar input that comes out as electricity. So a 20% cell wastes about 80% as heat internally & reradiated IR, which then unnaturally heats air above via its GHG content.
This is why inverters that go on the backs of solar panels have to withstand 85C in typical environments. The Waste of electricity out isn't dissipated in the panels. Those electrons…
Read moreDavid Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Alex Cannara: "...while you mouth inanities". What that I have said is untrue?
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Good points, Derek. My dad was a chief cost accountant for a large building-materials company. He often complained about conveniently incomplete accounting models. In his case, no one wanted to estimate the cost of workers and customers breathing asbestos. It was easier to account for the president's apt. in NYC for his girlfriend.
;]
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
David, you should know better. Where to start? Well, how about...
-----
Alex Cannara: "... show us the deaths & injuries from Western nations' nuclear power ..."
and implied that power generated by reneweable means can't be economically reticulated.
-----
What on earth does that sentence mean? I asked for death statistics and you go off into la la speak?
Then there's the easy one...
-----
I conclude that Alex is a minion of the nuclear power industry, bent on hijacking environmental concerns to their benefit. He has denied being paid for promoting nuclear power and I've no doubt the association is deeply obfuscated.
-----
Well David, you fall into the trap of speaking from breathtaking ignorance. Not only am I not a "minion", though it does sound intriguing, I'm an active member & supporter of more environmental organizations than you. Your own statements make that clear. By the way, who here cares what you "conclude"?
;]
Derek Bolton
Retired s/w engineer
Yes, reflecting back what won't be used would help. But as I said, it's unclear how much it matters. If we were to derive all our power from solar PV (some sort of storage) at 10% efficiency overall, with zero albedo, what would be the percentage increase in radiation absorbed?
John Richardson
logged in via Facebook
John, the mouse in the room with the elephant is called Fukashima. Yes, there may be all the positives you mention, but when it goes wrong, the result is catastrophic.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
With 10% cells, it takes about a year of generation to make up for the apparent increase in GHG in the air, because of the unnatural IR generated by panels. Obviously, the 20% panels now, and better in future, will mitigate that further.
By the way, the reason for reflective structures was explained some years back by Lawrence Berkeley Labs and the Heat Island Group -- just increasing the reflectivity of human structures around the world by 40% (as they already are in many hot climes), would make the existing GHG content of the air look as if it were less by the amount emitted by all 700 million vehicles on earth in a decade. A remarkable reality.
But, reflectivity only buys time, it doesn't eliminate GHGs.
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Alex, thanks so much.
My aim is to reduce the probability that readers will be deceived by your misinformation. Your response aids that nicely.
I've no doubt that you're associated with numerous groups, named to sound environmentally friendly. I believe the term is "Greenwash".
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Again, JohnR, if you read the published reports, nuclear, despite its mythic, imagined capabilities to destroy, has remained the safest main generation scheme ever deployed, despite being based ona 1946 US Patent!
If you want to ascribe "tragedy" to Fukushima, then you must follow the bodies -- none from the nukes, >18,000 from quake & tsunami ina region known for same, yet allowed to be populated by homes & factories. Read the 17 October 2011 New Yorker article by Osnos to get an idea of the…
Read moreAlex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
David, you're hilarious! I suppose my membership in Sierra Club, support of Union of Concerned Scientists, Greenpeace, WWF, NRDC, EDF...I can't remember all I'm associated with, but you know they're "grreenwashers"? Really?
So why not take off that cute hat & tell us all which are the 'right' organizations? You know, the ones you approve of. C'mon, off with carefully propped hat, scratch your noggin & let us in on the true environmental orgs you've vetted. Or, do you fit the old Texas label of "all hat & no cattle"?
;]
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Alex Cannara: "So why not take off that cute hat ..."
Alex, as I've told you before, I live on the land. What for you might be a frivolous fashion statement is for me necessary working gear.
Clothing yourself in green doesn't make your nuclear advocacy so.
Again, thanks for further reducing the probability that readers will be deceived by your misinformation. Are you a person or just a name, used by a nuclear promotional group?
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
You really are desperately hilarious, when you don't know what you're talking about, Derek ol' boy. But you've heard that before, haven't you ol' boy.
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Alex thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinfirmation and spin.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Keep workin' it, Dave "the hat"! Someone might believe you.
;]
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
My aim is to ensure that you fool as few as possible.
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinfirmation and spin.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
A million laughs, David! But you've a low opinion of everyone here if you think you fool us.
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
My aim is to reduce to risk that you will fool anyone.
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinformation and spin.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Dave's awake! Hat on straight?
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
You'll no doubt be saddened to hear that the hat of which you're so fond has come to the end of its days. It was a leather Jacaru that started to fall apart after many years of faithful service. I replaced it at the beginning of summer.
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinformation and spin.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
David your cheekiness can't hide your lack of scientific knowledge and breathtaking disinterest in fact. Nor can ignorant statements about me & others impress anyone else here. So why not recoup what you can and put a sock in it?
;]
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Alex,
I freely acknowledge my ignorance. Your mistake is in thinking that the way to convince me is to fool me into believing that I understand enough to judge the science.
Confucius is said to have commented: "The more a wise man learns, the more he comes to appreciate how much he doesn't know". Much is apocryphally attributed to Confucius and he didn't use English anyway, but the principle is good.
As with climate science, on nuclear power I'm left with no option but to judge the sources of information. In the US, where extremes are apparently the norm, your uncritical advocacy might succeed. From an enlightened Australian perspective, it just makes you look like a mendacious wanker.
Thanks again for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinformation and spin.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
David, as I said before -- don't care what you think. My job is simply to make facts available to others. Confucius was of the same opinion. You contradict yourself, and Confucius would have a good laugh...
"To study and not think is a waste. To think and not study is dangerous."
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Alex Cannara: "... don't care what you think. My job is ..."
Precisely; it's your job, for which you're no doubt paid.
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinformation and spin.
Comment removed by moderator.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Ahh David, you so fool yourself & waste our time & server Watts -- no one pays me, they couldn't pay enough to deal with spammers like you.
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Alex, your behaviour says otherwise. As you said, https://theconversation.edu.au/set-the-controls-for-the-heart-of-the-sun-time-for-solar-courage-7070#comment_40536 it's your job. Somebody pays you and who pays the piper calls the tune. Your tune is relentlessly pro-nuclear, so my best guess is that your paymaster is in the nuclear power industry.
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinformation and spin.
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Alex, thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinformation and spin.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Nobody pays me to do anything related to my statements here, David. And no one would pay you for how you waste our time.
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
But Alex, you've acknowledged that it's your job. https://theconversation.edu.au/set-the-controls-for-the-heart-of-the-sun-time-for-solar-courage-7070#comment_40536 I'm retired; nobody pays me for anything I do.
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinformation and spin.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Apparently you retired from reading too, David. But BSing seems to be your retirement avocation, eh?
;]
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Alex, given that you've been known to indicate that you'd rather sleep with a nuclear reactor than a human being:
http://theconversation.edu.au/growing-the-grunt-developing-green-biofuels-for-australia-6954#comment_39125
Alex Cannara: "... nuke plants are not only safer than anything else ... bananas & coal plants, and people (you too) radiate more...
... you definitely don't want to sleep next to someone, since each of you radiate at the reate of over 4000 decays per second ...", being paid for your extreme advocacy is the least unhealthy option. Just giving you the benefit of the doubt.
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinformation and spin.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
David, you always show us you had your hat in bed, so that's odd enough. Don't you have something useful to do on your 'land'?
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Alex Cannara: "... you always show us you had your hat in bed ...".
What a perverse delusion!
Alex Cannara: "Don't you have something useful to do ..."
Reducing the probability that you'll be taken seriously is useful enough for me. Fortunately, I have your help in that.
Thanks again, for further reducing the risk that readers will be misled by your misinformation and spin.
Shirley Birney
retiree
He won’t tell you that all the environmental groups he has listed are opposed to nuclear energy. That's because he’s an astroturfing greenwasher.
He won’t tell you about the 86,000 sick, despairing and ridiculed radiation victims who are finally being compensated inhis motherland, already to the tune of $7.4 billion since the programme began.
http://www.missouripersonalinjuryblog.com/2011/09/labor-dept-manual-makes-light-of-nuclear-industry-illnesses.shtml
He won’t tell you about the…
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Shirley Birney
retiree
1) 21st Century – Nuclear Renaissance - U beaut "Revolutionary" Generation III+ AP1000 reactors - Gigantic Water Guzzlers:
Two proposed new Westinghouse AP1000 nuclear reactors at nuclear Plant Vogtle are estimated to use 55-88 million gallons of water per day from the Savannah River with 50-75% consumptive loss (Southern Nuclear, 2008).
http://www.gwri.gatech.edu/uploads/proceedings/2009/1.7.3_Barczak.pdf
http://thebulletin.org/web-edition/columnists/dawn-stover/hot-water-the-other-global…
Read moreShirley Birney
retiree
Ah yes and here we have the ethics-free nefarious "gentleman" who just today wrote that Dr Timothy Mousseau is "a fledgling researcher.":
http://cricket.biol.sc.edu/mousseau/mousseau-cv.pdf
http://cricket.biol.sc.edu/Mousseau/Mousseau.html
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Useless meanderings again, Shirley -- not advocating LWRs for our future, especially since they were planned by President Kennedy to be gone here by 2000. But you don't care about facts of hisitroy do you?
Again, the combustion folks are standing in ovation to your blind hyperbole.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Timothy himself has said he started in his studies at Chernobyl out of personal interest, not a history of similar bird research.
He also admits that his methods even now can stand improvement. He's over there doing some of this now.
Critique of scientific methods and publications is the essential part of science that separates it from religion. You seem not to grasp that. Tim, thankfully does.
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Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Wow, you got spunk there, ol' Shirley!
You forgot all the shipborne reactors -- >100 for US alone, and I think we're lending you one of our subs. Careful!
So since you evidence no understanding of nuclear physics, explain for us how you deal with the amazing lack of huge nuclear explosions & accidents around the world with so many hundreds of those nasty machines?
How many of your countrymen have your anti-nuke biases forced to breath unnecessary coal & petrol emissions? We admit to many thousands here.
But again, keep it up Shirley, the combustion folks love what you do from your fact-free zone..
;]
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Shirley Birney
retiree
Nuke zealot duping readers by scaremongering on coal vs. nuclear. Same mangy dogs, different haircuts. Nuke zealot conceals global contamination from prying eyes. Using humanity as lab rats is the practice of atomic despots. Lift your game Mr Pitiful - it’s the 21st century – hellooooo?
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Sticks & stones....
Yes, Shirley, it;'s the 21st century and nuclear power is both the past & the future of safety, just as it was in the last century: http://tinyurl.com/42wvr9l
But remember, no matter how you try, I don't care what you think. I only care that others aren't misled by your foaming.
Yes indeed BP & Peabody Coal love what you do, Shirley.
Shirley Birney
retiree
All this nonsense from an ethics-free silly old codger who defames and verbals a reputable scientist and calls him a "fledgling researcher" - cringe.
That's the "fledgling researcher" named Mousseau whose >130 peer-reviewed papers and books have been cited >6900 times.
Remember the placebo effect folks? 90% nuclear = showbiz. The second-rate vaude-villain knows what he's doing. He knows exactly what he's doing.
So where's the medieval stocks, rotten eggs, tar and feathers for yesteryear's atomic parasites and ecocidal freaks who are preying on humanity and sending evolution backwards?
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Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
You could some day be taken seriously, Shirley, if you actually read what others write (here & outside). I said clearly that my only concern is for others being misled.
You can puff yourself up all you wish. Your naive bias against fact is transparent.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Ahhh Shirley, if only self-published papers were truly peer-reviewed, eh? Tim admits to needing to do his research better and is over there now trying to come back with more conclusions rather than guesses, like uncarefully using "brain mass", "brain size", "head size", etc. all in the same paper, when all he's admitted doing is taking a caliper to a bird's head and assuming an ellipsoidal model for estimating "brain volume".
Any true reviewing scientist would: a) ask him to pick the proper…
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Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Your vitriol seems to have wiped your memory -- you raised Mousseau's works here first, as support for your unsupported statements about Chernobyl.
I merely followed the links, read several of his self-published papers and worte comments, some of which you've seen. He & I have continued to exchange emails on several comments, and he's promised more answers, That's how honest science & criticism works.
It's apprently not how you work, but again, I don't care. He, by the way, helped establish…
Read moreShirley Birney
retiree
I have never debated Mousseau's paper. I provided a link only. What I have endeavoured to do is defend Dr Mousseau from your false and despicable allegations and character assassinations.
I am in regular contact with Dr Mousseau, however, unlike you, propriety prevents me from elaborating.
Your allegations are libellous. This thread (and the original one) can be used as evidence against you. I suggest you wash your mouth out with carbolic soap and take a hike - pronto.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Tiem to read what's been said, Shirley: "you raised Mousseau's works here first, as support for your unsupported statements about Chernobyl."
All else here know what you said & what I said. As for Mousseau, you indeed disturbed him by claiming I was libelling him here. That's libellous, Shirley, if I cared.
But you don't seem to get that arguing over scientific publication content is not libellous. You've reduced yourself to muttering and trying to scare others, instead of displaying some respect for facts.
Again, the combustion folks love what you do.
Shirley Birney
retiree
@ Cannara: "As for Mousseau, you indeed disturbed him by claiming I was libelling him here. That's libellous, Shirley, if I cared."
Dr Mousseau said no such thing. You sir, are a blatant liar.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Shirley, you don't know what Tim said to me -- you do understand that little bit of reality poking into your vicious other world, don't you?
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Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Guess you're trying to show us all you've no idea what you write here, Shirley.
Wil B
B.Sc, GDipAppSci, MEnvSc, Environmental Planner
The solution to a low carbon economy is to put a high and increasing price on the emissions of carbon. That is all. And may the best technology win.
In some parts it will be solar PV, solar thermal, in some parts it will hopefully be geothermal or oceanic/tidal/wave. In some proportion it already is wind. These are all good things, and needed.
In the largest part, once rational and logical choices are made to keep the lights on but not to despoil the planet, it will be nuclear.
Until that time, we're racing towards 4 degrees.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
You're right about taxing/trading Carbon, WB -- the successful Sulfur Cap & Trade program eliminated most acid rain conditions in the eastern US.
But any 'farm' sources on land or sea are wasteful pf materials & power and destructive to native species. Since we've plenty of sunlit, man-made surfaces around the world, we've no need to subsidize a few investors who build the various 'farm' generators at our expense and with no cleanup bonds, etc., when they go bad. We've got megatons of that junk…
Read moreLynette Molyneaux
Researcher at University of Queensland
The evidence of the benefits of trading programs is not as absolute as many would have you believe.
The Sulfur dioxide Cap-and-Trade Program is almost the only example of what is quoted as a successful implementation of an ETS. It did reduce emissions of SO2 by 51% between 1995 and 2008 but these reductions were gained through efficiencies from scrubber technology and the reduction in transport costs which enabled generators to source lower sulfur content coal and thereby reduce their emissions…
Read moreAlex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
So do nothing? Everything i political. We should expect nothing, including cap & trade to be perfect or uniformly effective across political boundaries.
Cap & trade on sulfur emissions protected our trees & cars in the US East. Our Calif. nitrate system may have problems. But the issue is to do something, not to throw up hands.
David Boxall
logged in via Facebook
Lynette Molyneaux: "The evidence of the benefits of trading programs is not as absolute as many would have you believe."
Are there any absolutes? The majority of commentators, it seems, see cap & trade as the least imperfect solution. In the world that some of us think might be real, that's about as good as we're going to get.
Lynette Molyneaux: "Price is important, but who should decide what that price is?"
Markets are far from perfect, but they work (within their limits). Market fundamentalist fanatics foam at the mouth less if intervention is market based. We need solutions that not only work, but can be implemented without triggering the most extreme resistance.
Jean-Paul Gagnon
Honorary Research Fellow, POLSIS and SMP at University of Queensland
Hi Lynette, thanks for this great piece which I read with gusto! I thought, whilst reading your work, that a talk I gave last year might be of some small interest to you. It's my own twist on the potential for future renewable energy in synthesis with a bit of social theory. Be warned that falling asleep is quite possibly a guarantee, haha.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h19z1wG7mew
With my best wishes,
Jean-Paul
Peter Davies
Bio-refinery technology developer
I have lived without electricity, and could do so again, but I enjoy its benefits.
Although I worry about how it is generated and what this is doing to our environment, our health, our future options. Yet I wonder most not about doing without, but rather about doing it better. This I think is the thrust of the authors article.
Forget climate change as a driver (though I suspect the adaptation lessons ahead will be harsher than we dare to fear), or freeing up the enormous (subsidized) clean…
Read moreFelix MacNeill
Environmental Manager
Well, Lynette, I must say that the general tenor of the stream of comments above does little more than confirm your assertion that we have lost the nerve or vision to achieve anything worthwhile...we're very focused on 'efficient' but almost totally ignore 'effective'...very focused on the immediate term with no real consideration of the longer term.
I'm sure everyone can now enjoy telling me why I'm being romantic or unrealistic or endangering civilisation as we know it...
Lynette Molyneaux
Researcher at University of Queensland
It's called divide and rule. Sadly, we're doing it to ourselves.
Investment in all renewables is good. And whilst we don't have to turn the whole stock of generators over to renewables by 2020, we should be deploying a suite of technologies to meet rising demand. They all have benefits and weaknesses but we have to deploy to improve. Choosing one technology based on cost alone, is unlikely to deliver any breathtaking opportunity.
Alex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
This is an uncritical approach that will only cost more in the future. We learned in Calif.. in the '70s how expensive wind subsidies would end up being. And, we're learning about other systems that benefit the few based on subsidy from the many, such as desert solar.
Fortunately, the state has been very successful in energy efficiency per capita and with its "million solar homes" program is on the right track to exploit more efficient local solar, while minimizing grid costs and maximizing grid robustness.
It always pays to examine all costs, not just what the vendors and investors proffer.
Peter Davies
Bio-refinery technology developer
Lynette, yours is a critical approach that could save us greatly in the future.
I am amused by claims of the "cost" of subsidies to renewable s vs. the "low" cost coal (or even more amusing nuclear) when these are either cross subsidized, often non transparently or the cost of their externalities deliberately transferred to others. Whilst the vested interests involved encourage full time sprukers to dissect the alternatives to the nth degree, presenting unbalanced data or untested projections…
Read moreAlex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Right, Peter, "passively conforming" is always bad for thre set of us. As a retiring Congressman recently said to a reporter who asked why our House of Reps. is so poorly judged and ineffective: "No members are appointed. Each of us was elected by our citizens."
And, ascribing benefits to technologies uncritically, is equally bad judgement. The "basket of technologies" approach makes it sound like lack of study will gain an "A". In fact, it never did and never will. It will, however cost a lot and make $ for the few being subsidized.
Peter Davies
Bio-refinery technology developer
Alex,
Alas passively conforming is a majority position, until they wake up one day and the lights don't come on or the tap delivers sad noises but no water. I am surprised though the reporter in your example did not correct the Congressman for overstating his colleagues level of citizen support, after all each of them was elected by only a proportion of the citizens who bothered to vote...and a proportion of these were likely uncritical in their political assessment, or temporarily swayed by…
Read moreAlex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Peter, good to hear Aussies vote, even if made to! There's a 100+ year old saying in the US that: "it's impossible to underestimate the American electorate."
OR, as Pogo Possum said to his swamp buddies after a hike out to see the 'real' world: "I've seen the enemy and he is us."
Christina Macpherson
teacher
This might be irrelevant - I don't know, but I have a theory about investment in renewable energy.
Everyone's got their money in banks, and superannuation etc.
But we don't really know where these bodies put that money as investment.
It is likely that the fossil fuel companies, (and uranium/nuclear) get huge investment from OUR money. And we don't even know it.
There should be real transparency about this. We should have better opportunity to see that our money is invested for a profit - sure - but also towards a clean future for our children and grandchildren
Luke Weston
Physicist / electronic engineer
In Germany today we're certainly not seeing the entire country being run on solar power, despite enormous amounts of money spent, enormous handouts and subsidies from the government and political support. We're seeing many new coal-fired plants being built, and politicians suggesting the insanity of replacing existing nuclear power plants with coal plants.
Some people seem to think that it is virtuous to spend the largest possible amount of money on solar energy just because it is somehow intrinsically…
Read moreAlex Cannara
logged in via Facebook
Excellent reality check, Luke! At one time not long ago, Germany had 1/2 all the solar panels installed in the world, due to subsidies, even though weather wasn't helpful to output. And, they lost arable land to solar 'farms'.
.
But, as the old farm saying goes: "people do what they want to do." Here are some refs you may have seen...
www.pointcarbon.com/aboutus/pressroom/pressreleases/1.1552105
www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/17/us-siemens-energy-idUSTRE80G10920120117
http://spectrum.ieee.org/energywise/energy/nuclear/siemens-says-germany-nuclear-phase-out-to-cost-trillions/?
utm_source=techalert&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=011912
www.world-nuclear-news.org/NP_Eye_watering_cost_of_renewable_revolution_2301121.html?utm_so
http://rt.com/news/germany-reactors-cold-weather-927/comments/?d=1?
www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-23/utilities-plan-79-billion-of-power-plants-in-germany-bdew-says.html
Peter Davies
Bio-refinery technology developer
Lynette you might find this interesting if you haven't already seen it. A more considered blend of policy and subsidy.
http://reneweconomy.com.au/2012/act-narrows-field-for-australias-first-big-solar-auction-58897