It is a paradox of our digital age that, despite an enormous supply of information, a powerful yet misleading consensus can still shape the course of international relations. Such was the case with the supposed threat from Saddam Hussein’s “weapons of mass destruction”, and such is the case with the foreign-backed “revolution” in Syria.
The “consensus” from March 2011 was that President Bashar al-Assad was a “brutal dictator”; the Syrian people had risen up against his regime as part of the Arab Spring’s democratic awakening; Assad’s minority Alawi group was repressing the majority Sunni group; and a rebel force had been formed from army defectors and outside forces were only helping them defend a civilian population.
In my opinion, virtually every element of this picture was false. While a political opposition had pressed for President Assad to deliver on his promise of political reform and to clean up corruption, the armed attacks of the Free Syrian Army (FSA) derailed this process.
The big powers scrambled to form an alliance with the most fanatical of Islamists, but by the end of 2011 an independent poll showed that most Syrians wanted Assad to stay.
Australian academic Jeremy Salt wrote from Turkey that “the killing of soldiers, police and civilians, often in the most brutal circumstances, has been going on virtually since the beginning”. The Saudi Arabian elite had openly admitted arming the Salafis, a sect within Sunni Islam which rejects secular states in the predominantly Muslim region.
The mass media “consensus” did not spring out of thin air. The US, now joined by former colonial powers France and Britain, foreshadowed “regime change” for Syria ten years ago, in George W. Bush’s plan for a “New Middle East”. This plan involved the toppling of seven governments: Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, and Iran.
But it has taken well over a year for the mass media consensus on Syria to begin to unravel. After online film of gruesome FSA atrocities, dissenting reports began to recognise: that al-Qaeda and foreign fundamentalists were deeply embedded in the FSA.
Similarly, Christian militia had taken up arms to protect themselves from FSA ethnic cleansing, and that many atrocities against civilians, attributed to the government, were the work of the rebels.
In this context a group of Syrian-Australians, Australian supporters formed groups such as “Hands Off Syria”, committed to producing better information on the conflict and defending some rather traditional principles: that the Syrian Government is for the Syrian people to decide. Foreign intervention, by arming the FSA, is sure to worsen the crisis.
The dreadful Houla massacre of civilians in May this year formed the basis for a rapid expulsion of Syrian diplomats from several countries, including Australia. I am one of several who have argued, based on the available evidence, and contrary to statements from the UN, that the massacre was more likely a “false flag” atrocity committed by FSA fundamentalists than an act of the pro government forces.

The victims were pro-government families and others who would not back the FSA. They did this just before a UN Security Council meeting, in an attempt to bring in NATO air support, as had occurred in Libya.
Philip Giraldi says the CIA “refuses to sign off” on claims at the UN that the Syrian Government has massacred civilians, nor that there have been “mass defections from the Syrian Army and pitched battles between deserters and loyal soldiers”. Independent evidence (from journalists including Robert Fisk and from Medicins Sans Frontiers) tends to show an FSA composed of Islamist and often foreign fighters.
The former head of the UN’s mission in Syria, Norwegian General Robert Mood, now says that countries arming the rebels (France, Britain, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey and the US) are “feeding the violence with money or weapons … [and that this] may actually prolong the terrible suffering for the Syrian people”.
Further false flag atrocities like that at Houla will also be encouraged so long as the FSA believes there is hope of these inciting greater foreign intervention in their favour. President Obama, immersed in an election campaign, does not currently seem keen on raising such hopes; but nor does any Washington administration want an independent Syrian government not integrated into the New Middle East plan.
The current crisis has much less to do with President Assad as a combined big power and Islamist assault on a secular and independent Syrian nation.
Yet it would be a great tragedy if, for all its problems, the most tolerant and multicultural nation in the region were reduced to the sectarian chaos of neighbouring Iraq. Australians with a conscience should not help this happen.
Russell Walton
Russell Walton is a Friend of The Conversation.
Retired
Interesting article.
After the great "Weapons of Mass Destruction" scam, I'd agree that more information is often, effectively less. If the Americans had really believed that the Iraqis had WMD, they never would have invaded the country.
I've also been sceptical in regard to the real agenda of the FSA "Freedom Fighters", apparently Syria has become just another ME battleground for external forces. The motives of the Islamists elements in the FSA are obvious, but what advantage would the West get from the destruction of the Assad regime, particularly if it's replaced by an Islamist government?
Dr Maria Hill
logged in via LinkedIn
Congratulations to Tim Anderson for having the courage to voice what the real agenda is in Syria and whose funding and encouraging the so called "rebels". I attended a lecture at UNSW by Visiting Professor iIan Pappe who reminded the audience that academics have an ethical duty to comment on such matters particularly when misinformation is being spread through the media. I am shocked at the lack of investigative reporting on Syria and the continued reference to those attacking the government as…
Read moreR. Ambrose Raven
none
So true. Most commentary carefully evades not only the long history of exploitative Western colonialism and neo-colonialism in the Middle East but also the deliberate installation by the West of reactionary al-Qaeda related Islamist regimes (as in Libya) which may become more brutal and will certainly be less socially progressive than their predecessor.
Note especially the media’s complete lack of explanation of any socio-economic context to Syria’s situation. For the Syrian conflict, "our" Murdoch and self-censored media (including Their ABC) are of course following the script, as with Libya. Thus the Syrian conflict was until recently portrayed as a largely peaceful "pro-democracy" protest movement being brutally quashed by a bloody tyrant. While steadily more unreal, even now the mainstream media tries to continue ignoring that Syria is fighting Islamist insurrectionists assisted by Western and Saudi special forces and weapons.
Jan Fearing
logged in via Facebook
So few seem to appreciate that our stated goals of establishing democracy and stabilization in Syria are being "furthered" by terrorists who have now made it impossible for the already planned open elections to take place...
Does anyone else find it odd that back in, I think, February of 2011 Assad had ok'd the rebuilding and opening of 10 synagogues in Syria. Then, in March 2011 all hell broke loose as the Islamic fundamentalists all of a sudden found it no longer tolerable to live in Assad's Syria.
William Bruce
Artist
“As I went back through the Pentagon in November 2001, one of the senior military staff officers had time for a chat. Yes, we were still on track for going against Iraq, he said. But there was more. This was being discussed as part of a five-year campaign plan, he said, and there were a total of seven countries, beginning with Iraq, then Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Iran, Somalia, and Sudan.”
Former Nato Commander General Wesley Clark
http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-us-nato-war-on-syria-western-naval-forces-confront-russia-off-the-syrian-coastline/
R. Ambrose Raven
none
An unprecedented water crisis plus food costs and shortages plus underinvestment in agriculture and consequent drift to the cities, rapid population growth and drought/global warming are big factors in Syria's violence. While the younger Assad was following standard neo-colonialist neoliberalist economic policy since 2006, little is has improved for the average Syrian because of cronyism, corruption, and the inequality inherent in all such policies.
Overthrowing the Syrian government will not…
Read moreWilliam Bruce
Artist
"Any successor Syrian government should be socialist, as democratic as circumstances allow, and secular."....
Please correct me if I am wrong but doesn't Syria already have this and aren't they trying to maintain order as the ought?
R. Ambrose Raven
none
No socialist government follows World Bank advice; indeed, ideally World Bank representatives should fear for their lives in a socialist nation.
From 2006, Assad included a wide range of social and economic changes in the 10th five-year plan, to complete the transition from a socialist to a World Bank-approved "social market" economy – entrepreneurial capitalism, a smaller government presence, a larger service sector (with the consequent explosion in executive remuneration and asset-price bubbles…
Read moreRobert Edwin White
Professor Emeritus
It is high time that people in Australia spoke out about the international conspiracy to destabilize and remove the Syrian government. Britain, Fance and latterly America have much to answer for, going back to the first World War, for their meddling in the Middle East in the interests of furthering their own ends. As has been noted by others, and reported by William Dalrymple in his excellent book 'From the Holy Mountain', written early in the 1990s, Syria was one of the most tolerant countries of different religions at that time.
William Bruce
Artist
Interesting how ABC & SBS are not able to interview more Australian Academics, .......and also, ask where the "Syrian" rebels or "mercenaries" come from and... where are they are getting their money, and arms, & supplies from?
The Saudies? If so, are they a US backed dictatorship...or a conduit for monies?
Seems it is about installing a Syrian "Dictator" for "control" not ANY JUSTICE or HELP and it's futile.. ...It CAN ONLY cause problems.
Seems also basically for Israels benefit (which now occupies part of Syrias territory's...along with their other neighbours territory) ?...
Seems mad and will only CAUSE endless and needless wars, escalating TERRORISM and military weapons escalations.....Perhaps this sort of thing also almost provokes "Evil Iran" to want Nukes.
I might be wrong but seems to me, nothing to do with security,...quite the opposite and the agenda goes back to Bildeberg Group & war profiteers.
Hugh Breakey
Moral Philosopher, Griffith University at Key Centre for Ethics, Law, Justice and Governance
Dear Tim,
Thank you for an intriguing article.
I wonder, though, if you could help those like me, who do not have your detailed knowledge of these issues, understand how the consensus is actually formed. After all, the ‘consensus’ includes an enormous number of people, doesn’t it? Countless journalists and academics in international politics and international relations, and a wide array of diverse institutions at the UN (some that are often quite critical of Western agendas in other arenas…
Read moreWilliam Bruce
Artist
My bet is:-
"Are they being pressured by certain agencies (which ones?) to doctor what they say, though in fact they know the truth?"
They probably know whatever they say will be ignored and they don't want bad "repercussions"...as we are seeing with the current attacks on Ecuador for so RIGHTLY and MORALLY granting Assange political asylum.
Hugh Breakey
Moral Philosopher, Griffith University at Key Centre for Ethics, Law, Justice and Governance
Thanks for your reply, William.
I have to say, though, that I find this pretty perplexing. I've met and spoken with a few journos, a lot of academics, and a sample of UN workers of various levels, all of whom would - I take it - have to be a part of this conspiracy, or be fearful of the repercussions of speaking out, as you put it. But none of them seem to me to give any indication of this, including in off-the-record discussions and interviews under Chatham House rules. Indeed, many of the academics…
Read moreWilliam Bruce
Artist
Thankyou, Hugh. I think the Lawyers have got one thing right....when 2+2 doesn't equal 4 ... ask Cui Bono ("To whose benefit?", literally "as a benefit to whom?").
Perhaps, like Morality it's a universal "thing"...What a great subject you study.....In suspect universal MORALITY & perhaps consensus is the key "argument" to all humanitys problems.
My theory is, prior to fairly recent widespread access to internet only a handful of blokes controlled all English written Mainstream media companies…
Read moreWilliam Bruce
Artist
Thankyou, Hugh. I think the Lawyers have got one thing right....when 2+2 doesn't equal 4 ... ask Cui Bono ("To whose benefit?", literally "as a benefit to whom?").
Perhaps, like Morality it's a universal "thing"...What a great subject you study.....In suspect universal MORALITY & perhaps consensus is the key "argument" to much of humanity’s problems.
My theory is, prior to fairly recent widespread access to internet only a handful of blokes controlled all English written Mainstream media…
Read moreHugh Breakey
Moral Philosopher, Griffith University at Key Centre for Ethics, Law, Justice and Governance
Thanks William,
You may be right, and I certainly don’t have any knockdown argument that you are wrong. It seems to me, though, then when 2 + 2 doesn’t equal 4, that just means you are dealing with human beings. Strange stuff happens because human beings are complex and human societies complicated. Sometimes individuals tell the truth in the face of enormous pressure not to, and other times they lie just for the hell of it. I don’t see the need to believe in a conspiracy to explain these very…
Read moreWilliam Bruce
Artist
Thankyou, Sir. I will have a "proper" think about all this. Facts can be established...Lawyers are good at this...selective "investigation AND PROSECUTION" it THE issue.....selective "reporting" & "crucial omissions in the chat" too!
I currently think, nowadays, with such abundance possible for ALL humanity due to technology, there is no "NEED" for violence & injustice...THUS morality is our strongest case for arguing for and ACHIEVING universal and uniform justice and global development for the Global "disadvantaged" & "excluded"......I can't be truly happy until we do this.
Perhaps whereas the notion of ethics is to some extent "political, the code of Morality is by and large universal....and must be communicated in "political argument" now....particularly Geo-political argument.
William Bruce
Artist
File note from July 14, 2006
Israel Crosses the Line
And you read it here first… (Antiwar.com?)
by Justin Raimondo
The Israeli offensive against Iran – until now, purely polemical – morphed into military action the moment the IDF crossed the border into Lebanon and took on Hezbollah. As our regular readers know, this turn of events was predicted in this space two months ago:
"War with Iran will probably not begin with a frontal assault by the U.S. and/or Israel on Iran's alleged nuclear…
Read morePeter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Gee Tim ..."Hands off Syria" As if that's going to happen. As if that has ever happened. As if it's possible or likely.
In some ways - no in every way - it is easier to see the truth from a distance when it comes to the Middle East. Up close nothing is true -nothing is as it seems or appears - all is gossip, conspiracies, plots within conspiracies - nothing and no one can be trusted. There is always a "real" reason, or hundreds of them. And the first question to ask is who benefits.
Whatever…
Read moreWilliam Bruce
Artist
This above is absolute rot.....
The thing that cause and enables the continuance of this "deep wickedness" you refer to....is ENTIRELY Western media & political lies working together to "hoodwink the masses".
With no public support "wrongful or needless" wars can not be prosecuted.
Mr Tim Anderson is to be HIGHLY commended for providing a different view to the public than Mr Carr & MSM.....and perhaps "Shining a light onto the crimes of the powerful" as Assange once said.
"Acceptance" of affairs as being un-remediable by fools is a shame.
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
William,
I am not saying it is "un-remediable" - I'm saying that the real problem for Syria is next door. And it's not just a problem for Syria, it is a problem for the world as a whole.
I've wasted too much of my life being right and irrelevant. Flapping about up in the grandstand chanting Hands off Syria just ain't gonna have much effect. Or do you think the Saud family is listening, or Hilary Clinton or anyone else?
Syria will not have peace until the Saudis are sent packing. It…
Read moreWilliam Bruce
Artist
I disagree...
I think MSM credibility is only about 11% now...Despite the phenomenal efficacy of propaganda, word of mouth and better quality information flows will speed up & triumph in the end.....The Govt & MSM can not totally control the "Narrative" anymore.....(BRAVO & THANKS "THE CONVERSATION" et al).
Just how long is the challenge for all who desire peace, goodwill and universal Justice.....so we can ALL HAVE A GOOD TIME!!
How can anyone be happy when they see such injustice as we see and DO NOTHING!
...it's is not an option for any moral person.
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Not advocating doing nothing William - far from it - but I'd like it to be effective.
Too much of what we "do" just makes us feel good and affects nothing in the world. Chanting Hands off Syria makes a great bumper sticker but too little too late, wrong place, wrong target. But if "doing something" is just limited to feeling good then I'm really not interested.
I don't read newspapers any more- we'll except for the Telegraph's astrology column - but being a Libran I don't believe any of that either. A smattering of ABC, SBS and Al Jazeera and that's about it. Radio still works at least RN.
But William the Middle East is far too complex for bumper stickers.
Chris Booker
Research scientist
" a powerful yet misleading consensus can still shape the course of international relations. Such was the case with the supposed threat from Saddam Hussein’s “weapons of mass destruction”, and such is the case with the foreign-backed “revolution” in Syria."
...and I think such is also the case with the picture of Iran being painted (or simply just repeated without sufficient critical thought) in the media now. Just look at the list of countries you list as part of the 'new middle east': Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, and Iran. Half of those have already undergone some form of political/power revolution.
The disturbing thing is the exact same rhetoric is being used to justify invading Iran as for Iraq - a 'rogue state' with WMDs.
Mat Hardy
Lecturer in Middle East Studies at Deakin University
For those of you saying that there is some form of grand conspiracy to pressure academics and commentators to say or not to say certain things about Syria...well I don't see it. Some of us have been talking about the murkiness of the Syrian situation for more than a year now, here on The Conversation and elsewhere. I must have given around 40 TV and radio interviews in 2012 about Syria, and each time I have said fairly much the same thing.
I think it has more to do with a passive dumbing down of the coverage than any active conspiracy to control the message (though there is room to explore the latter https://theconversation.edu.au/who-knows-whats-going-on-in-syria-8802 ) It's EASIER to write a story about a 'good' party vs. an 'evil' one. Everybody understands it, it fits nicely into a news headline and then the audience moves on to the next story about an AFL player with a new hair style as they crunch their cereal.
William Bruce
Artist
Well you know somethings going on when you see how many western "Journos" writing SYMPATHETIC Stories to rebels after being "embedded" with them (even whilst they are heavily armed & murdering heaps of people)..... How many interviews have you seen in which ANY Syrian Govt. officials have been allowed to speak freely?
However, it is too true that also many Journos are TOO stupid & TOO ignorant to investigate "Both sides of disputes/wars".
William Bruce
Artist
Also....It is quite possible that holding ones "MEAL TICKET" JOB and "advancement" might well depend on ones Geo-Political "Point of view".......
alexander j watt
logged in via Twitter
If polls show that most Syrian's want him to say, why doesn't Assad just hold an election? That's the problem isn't it, without democracy, there is no outlet for dissent other than violence.
Mat Hardy
Lecturer in Middle East Studies at Deakin University
The poll referred to in the story about Syrian support for Assad (and indeed, I quoted it in some pieces I wrote too) has since been somewhat discredited:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-17155349
Tim Anderson
Senior Lecturer in Political Economy
Alexander, you missed it - Syria had a referendum in Feb 2012 (57% participation, 89% approval, during the conflict, with the FSA trying to enforce a boycott), voting in a new constitution that removes the Baath Party monopoly and creates the basis for multi-party parliamentary elections and then an actually contested presidential election
Tim Anderson
Senior Lecturer in Political Economy
Those who oppose the Syrian government will always find some argument, but the late 2011 Doha Debates poll was funded by President Assad's mortal enemies, in Qatar - then there are the results of the Feb 2012 referendum, see my post above
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
I reckon the UN could pick this up and run with it myself Syria, the Congo, Afghanistan....- Pollsters sans Frontiers - little armies of kevlar covered undergrads with clip boards doorknocking and taking the pulse of the nation... "do you prefer the thugs in blue or the gangsters in green?" Freedom of choice - or freedom from choice? That's the trouble.
Mat Hardy
Lecturer in Middle East Studies at Deakin University
The "55% of Syrians support Bashar al-Assad" poll was dodgy simply because it polled <100 Syrians, and those from a fairly limited geographical zone. Even the polling company themselves are distancing themselves from that interpretation of the data. It's a good example of journalists jumping on on one interpretation of one subset of data and then it becoming repeated enough times to be true.
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Tim,
Qatar? That little flea bite of a place? I reckon that's a much easier target than the real one myself.
These bedfellows change cots faster than a Thursday night in a Cairo bordello, mate.
Have a squizz at this: http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/07/21/how_saudi_arabia_and_qatar_became_friends_again
The real poison is the wahhabist feudal crap pumping out of the Saudi peninsular. And no one but no one wants to talk about that or blame them. Much easier to pick on Qatar.
William Bruce
Artist
Here we go "muddy the waters"?
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
There you go again - muddying the waters with your facts.
Tim Anderson
Senior Lecturer in Political Economy
It's quite true that Qatar is barely a nation ('a petrol station disguised as a country', as I think George Galloway put it), but as it wholly owns Al Jazeera and as some people (including yourself, it seems) think that is some sort of liberal or credible media channel, it is important to recognise the Qatari role
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
No question about it Tim ... I still have trouble working out why they finance such an outstanding news service. But that said, I still take a lot of the comments on the neighbourhood with a grain of salt or at least try to detect any Qatari slant. One must. But I suspect that with the calibre of journalists they use, any heavy handed interference from the al-Thani's would be strongly resisted. I would hope so anyway.
Like I said earlier - there is no truth here - at least not a capital T Truth - lots of different small t truths, all viewed through prisms of competing interests. Rather post-modern in a feudal kinda way.
William Bruce
Artist
No this is different poll being referred to I think...Please look again.
" Syria had a referendum in Feb 2012 (57% participation, 89% approval, during the conflict,...................."
Asef Hussain
Consultant
Why does it always have to be one extreme or another? Either Assad is evil, FSA are elves, or other way around, always half truth. Middle East is indeed very complex, yet very simple. Complex because of tribal and confessional diversity, simple because each of these groups just fights for their basic interests, most of the time at expense of other groups. Yes, Assads army does commit atrocities, and so do his opponents when they have a chance. Assads base is alawi minority and they will support him…
Read morePeter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Many thanks for your post Asef ... I'm glad you find that simple.
You're spot on regarding the media and the goodies and baddies business. Anything like this is far far to difficult for a 30 second story and they want to tell people who they should be barracking for - like football - but no referee and lots of guns from all over the world. Very sad.
Asef Hussain
Consultant
Indeed I find it much simpler than all intrigues of politics in USA. I forgot to mention another factor, increasing over population and deteriorating environment in whole region. While it's not a factor in Libya, it matters in Syria, and most of all in Egypt. You may know that since ancient times Egypt used to be the bread basket of Mediterranean and Middle East, supplying grain demand of huge empires like Persian or Roman. For few years now however, Egypt imports grain, and many other basic food…
Read morePeter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Yes Asef. It is all very well to be talking about "regime change" from the comfort of Washington or Australia but with the dictator gone, and hopefully a new government elected, the problems of daily life remain. Food and work and hanging over that the effects of environmental collapse.
And again you are dead right about Egypt - Cairo is sinking under its own weight and the black economy robs the state of resources to even consider the problems. I must admit I'd be tracking down the fella who…
Read moreWilliam Bruce
Artist
What Mr Hussain says does not ad up to me? It's obvious there is a Israel(US?) agenda....look at the rebels supply lines & the RHETORIC.
Haven't people of many sects lived together in Mid East for ages?.. and, by & large, when no western meddling, also lived in PEACE...Why would they want endless wars if there uniform law & justice..and perhaps there wasn't these western trade restrictions?
EXPLAIN PLEASE?
Michael Ekin Smyth
Investor
William, you're a card. Lived in peace? Islam was born in blood and this region has never been at peace for long.
Uniform law & justice? Syria has been for nearly 40 years subject to the meandering exploitative decisions of a dictator held up by a corrupt elite.
As for 'Western' meddling. The only boots on the ground are Iranian and Russian. The Russians have two powerful destroyers and three major landing ships in Syria. A detachment of marines - of unknown size, is aboard. Or maybe on the ground as 'advisers'.
The Iranian Revolutionary Guards have had people in Syria (and Lebanon) for decades. They have dispatched 2,000 fighters to Syria in recent months.
The Shia crescent is being formed - and the blundering Russians are creating a stick for their own backs.
William Bruce
Artist
If you think it's not another western intervention perhaps see this link:-
It's from Tim Anderson, he notes;-
"One of the best overviews of Syrian conflict and the region, from Guenter Meyer" -
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/NI22Ak01.html
Asef Hussain
Consultant
So familiar, blame all troubles in Middle East on outsiders - West, and on USA specifically, it's always someone elses fault. I am not affectionate towards US let alone Israel, and I can understand when salafis and mullahs put forward this argument, but hearing it from western leftists is just ridiculous.
No, sectarian violence and feuds, existed and persisted in Middle East for thousands of years, long before America was even discovered, and continued unimpeded when jews were scattered around the world. And there was no uniform law, never. Usually times of peace, is when one group is strong enough to dominate and oppress others. If it weakens, then there is a war, because other groups trying to take over.
Asef Hussain
Consultant
As with any dam , Aswan dam has had many positive impacts as well as negative, positives greatly outweighing negatives though. It wasn't forced on Egyptians by Soviets, they asked for it and could afford it only by playing on cold war rivalries. It was designed and built using best technology available at that time, and it's current state is a result of years of operation.
Nasser, Sadat and Mubarak could be viewed as modern pharaohs, and it didn't end up well as we know.
I don't accept suggestion that the only way country like Egypt can sustain its existence is to be isolated from "destructive interventions" of West and be stuck on social and technological level of 3000 BC.
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Not sure what those positives are - or that they outweigh the costs - fill me in.
The first investigations of putting a dam on the Nile were done in the 11th century by Alhazen - a rather brilliant chap. He decided the costs outweighed the benefits. I think he may be proved right actually despite the electricity. There's a reasonable discussion here:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aswan_Dam. My point is that the initial benefits of the dam were undeniable and shaped the direction and prosperity…
Read moreMichael Ekin Smyth
Investor
Tim is simply spelling out the Moscow line - pushed feverishly 24 hours a day by Russia Today and other agit-prop outlets. The current Syrian civil war is shaping up to be the first major battle of an emerging Sunni-Shia war.
The idea that Syria was ever 'the most tolerant and multicultural nation in the region' is so absurd that it stuns. What about the Hama massacre in 1982?
The Assad dictatorship has been irrational, brutal and vicious from the get go.
It has only survived because it has been propped up by the Russians and the Iranians.
From 2003 the Assads fed Sunni suicide bombers and terrorists into Iraq. They foolishly played a ludicrous and dangerous role, stirring up Sunni-Shia resentments and arming Sunni fighters. Now they are reaping the whirlwind.
They are Alawites - a Shia sect: What were they thinking?
How can any analysis of Syria not take the sectarian divides into account? Fail mark Tim. Time for a rewrite. Try to put a bit more effort into next time.
Father Æthelwine
Priest and researcher.
Michael, from your base in the United Arab Emirates I can understand that you need to be circumspect in what you say.
I have lived and worked in Syria - in Lattakia, and a little village called Kansabar with its magnificent apple orchards, as well as As Sweida and Damas. So I feel I can offer a worthwhile contribution to this story.
"Russia Today" is the only English language broadcaster that is offering both sides of every story in Syria from inside Syria.
The Syrian crisis has made me…
Read moreMichael Ekin Smyth
Investor
Hi Father Æthelwine, it is good to see someone with actual experience of the country making a contribution. Don't worry about my location ... that hasn't inhibited me up to now and I doubt that it ever will.
On the question of Alawites being Shia: they are, even if poorly educated locals deny it.
The Wikipedia 1st para: "The Alawis, also known as Alawites, Nusayris and Ansaris (‘Alawīyyah (Arabic: علوية), Nuṣayrī (Arabic: نصيريون), and al-Anṣāriyyah) are a prominent mystical[9] religious…
Read moreMichael Ekin Smyth
Investor
If you want an informed analysis of what is going on, check out Patrick Seale's piece in Middle East online:
http://www.middle-east-online.com/english/?id=54588
Peter Ormonde
Peter Ormonde is a Friend of The Conversation.
Farmer
Good link - thanks.
Christopher Richardson
PhD Candidate
I claim no expertise, but this article from Der Spiegel appears to discredit the suggestion that Houla was a "false flag" operation. http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/a-look-back-at-the-houla-massacre-in-syria-a-845854.html
Tim Anderson
Senior Lecturer in Political Economy
Der Spigel was one of several, if you are interested have a look at my report on the Houla massacre here - http://www.opednews.com/articles/Syria-s-false-flag-terro-by-Tim-Anderson-120824-423.html
Tim Anderson
Senior Lecturer in Political Economy
For anyone intersted in more detailed public opinion on political life in Syria, this article by Camille Otrakji is quite good, though the sources are not always that clear - http://creativesyria.com/syriapage/?p=150
R. Ambrose Raven
none
Much is being said about the politics. Does the economy matter so little?
An unprecedented water crisis plus food costs and shortages plus underinvestment in agriculture and consequent drift to the cities, rapid population growth and drought/global warming are big factors in Syria's unrest. Urban bias remains a persistent and paramount obstacle to sustained growth and poverty reduction.
Syrian agriculture wastes a great deal of water. The reason is not some mysterious innate characteristic…
Read moreTim Anderson
Senior Lecturer in Political Economy
One of the best overviews of Syrian conflict and the region, from Guenter Meyer -
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/NI22Ak01.html
William Bruce
Artist
AGENDA & MOTIVE LINKS from Just Foreign Policy---
"George Galloway interviews Just Foreign Policy: "Obama already set red line on Iran"
Bibi says he wants the US to set a red line for Iran, but the US already did: no nuclear weapon. Bibi's problem isn't that the US hasn't set a red line, but that he doesn't like what the red line is. He wants the red line to be "nuclear weapons capability," the situation that arguably already exists today. Bibi's real fear is that if Iran doesn't fear military attack, that might deter Israel from military adventures in Lebanon and Gaza."
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5hHwdyEXJEI
Jan Fearing
logged in via Facebook
GOD BLESS YOU!!! Yes, I have been following this story for months, hundreds of hours spent pouring over articles, posts, videos, etc., from all over the world and you have summed it up beautifully here. For 30 years the Muslim Brotherhood and Sunni elites in Syria have been plotting their revenge against the Assads and their Islamic fundamentalist takeover of a unique country in the Middle East. The thoroughness of the affair makes "The Sting" look like a 5th grader's prank. The United States is…
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