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Voting in Asia: not meaningless charades, but public wants more

Is it possible to opine about “the state of democracy in Asia”? Although some studies credibly do so, such a task seems challenging to say the least. This is due to the region’s proverbial diversity. And…

In a continuing dispute over the annulled 2013 election, the voters of the Maldives are demanding to be heard. Dying Regime

Is it possible to opine about “the state of democracy in Asia”? Although some studies credibly do so, such a task seems challenging to say the least. This is due to the region’s proverbial diversity. And perhaps more so because of the slippery conceptual slope this question treads on.

After all, is democracy about inputs or outputs? Rights or governance? Representation or participation?

Elections are often seen as a more manageable component of democracy – a necessary but not sufficient condition. If they work well, elections serve to aggregate the will of an informed citizenry, hold power bearers accountable and evaluate their performance in office. If seriously flawed, elections can cement autocratic rule, lead to conflict and violence, and degenerate into mere charades or ritualistic performances.

Asia’s experience with elections has been mixed. Some countries have held competitive and inclusive polls since the 1950s. Other nations have only recently emerged from prolonged autocratic rule. Yet others restrict elections to the local level or limit the choice to one party.

The Electoral Integrity Project – an independent research effort based at the University of Sydney and Harvard University – recently released new evidence comparing the integrity of elections worldwide. The project’s annual report, The Year in Elections, 2013, evaluates 73 national parliamentary and presidential elections held in 66 countries from July 1, 2012, to December 31, 2013.

Data are derived from a global survey of 855 election experts. Immediately after each contest, domestic and international experts assess the election’s quality based on 49 indicators across 11 sub-dimensions of electoral integrity. These add up to a 100-point expert Perception of Electoral Integrity (PEI) index – with 1 being the worst and 100 being the best possible score.

How do Asian elections compare?

In comparison to other regions, Asia as a whole ranked rather poorly on the overall PEI index, with an average rating of 62.3. Only African countries scored lower on average (53.56), while the Americas (65.9), Europe (71.9) and Oceania (73.4) attained higher average scores.

Yet there are huge differences within Asia. Looking only at three sub-regions, some trends emerge.

The integrity of Asian elections (2012-2013) across 11 dimensions Electoral Integrity Project. 2014. The expert survey of Perceptions of Electoral Integrity, Release 2 (PEI_2)

Elections in East Asia seem to have become well-established affairs. This is suggested by above-average ratings across the board. South Korea and Japan lift up this region. But Mongolia is evaluated positively as well, ranking 24th in global comparison – above the United States (26th).

This is not to say that elections in these countries were without controversy. Revelations about the manipulation of Twitter feeds in an attempt to sway public opinion in Korea are one example of persisting problems. But the exceptionally high scores on electoral procedures, voter registration or vote count show that East Asian elections have become rooted in reliable administrative capacities.

Southeast Asia on the other hand lags well behind the global average. Heavily criticised contests in Cambodia and Malaysia highlight the sub-regional pattern.

Entrenched ruling parties cling to power against increasingly successful opposition movements and parties. This is reflected by poor scores for voter registration (the case of Cambodia), voting district boundaries (exemplified by Malaysia), or the overall problematic regulation of political finance. These elements are well suited to tilt the political playing field and undermine the integrity of elections as mechanisms of accountability.

Yet since citizens are perhaps not as acquiescent as they used to be, election results were challenged. The flawed contests led to protests in all three surveyed South-East Asian cases. It must be noted that the Philippines scored better on all dimensions.

South Asian countries in the sample roughly align along the global average scores. Problems that are associated with election day itself (voting process, results) seem to prevail. The sub-dimensions on media and electoral laws score better on average than in East Asian nations.

Looking at the details, a worrisome trend in this region becomes apparent: the prevalence of violence. Pakistan, Nepal and the Maldives all had a higher-than-average incidence of voter intimidation.

The Maldives also scored exceptionally low on electoral authorities (54.8 as opposed to 68.1 in Pakistan, 73.7 in Nepal and 79.4 in Bhutan). This likely reflects an ongoing power struggle between the country’s Election Commission and its Supreme Court. The latter annulled the 2013 presidential elections and recently sentenced the entire Election Commission to jail terms.

The empirical data from 2012 and 2013 show that elections in Asia range from relatively routine and well-established administrative acts in some countries to new, contentious and hopeful displays of people empowerment in other contexts. None of the surveyed elections can be characterised as meaningless charades – although the integrity and competitiveness of the contests varied starkly.

With elections already held and partially derailed in Thailand and Bangladesh, and important contests in India and Indonesia under way, the integrity of elections will remain a crucial issue for Asia in 2014.

As popular dissent shows, citizens throughout Asia demand professionally conducted and credible elections. Without a doubt, systemic questions about responsive and effective democratic governance remain to be addressed. But the empowering potential of elections is not lost on people around the region.

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5 Comments sorted by

  1. James Hill

    Industrial Designer

    If the the peoples of Asia are clamouring for something they do not presently enjoy, then what do they have now?
    Looking at the Australian experience it would seem that Australia is becoming less democratic heading towards the present Asian model of certain "power" groupings gaining and consolidating political influence for their own interests.
    The people in Asia appear to want a fair go at the same time as Australians are forgetting just what a fair go is at all?
    I blame the brain rotting effects…

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  2. Colin MacGillivray

    Architect, retired, Sarawak

    The Electoral Integrity Project should recognize that in Malaysia (and many nations) politics is different to the "west" because the population is composed of large separate racial and religious groups who form parties based largely on race. The "normal" left/right axis of political thinking simply does not exist. SE Asians don't expect governments to do everything for them as Europeans and Australians do.
    The majority Malay (moslems) enjoy affirmative action to improve their lot. The minority Chinese…

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  3. Srinivas Mekarala

    Software Developer

    Your analysis is limited to the countries that went to polls in the year 2013. It does not include the countries that did not have elections in that time period.

    You should make this more clear. At present, you talk in general terms, and present your conclusions as if they apply for all countries in those regions, for all time. There is, I'm afraid an element of misleading because of that, especially for a lay person who takes you at face value and who might not have followed up the links you…

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  4. robert roeder
    robert roeder is a Friend of The Conversation.

    retired

    Democracy seems to be a much used and abused term. To me it means rule by the people for the benefit of the people and decisions being made by the majority vote. This sounds fair and good but reality is something other. Power money and the military form groups which dominate electoral choices, this can be seen all around the world. The last election here showed the disaffection for the major parties yet they still get to govern even though they may be supported by less than a majority. Once elected…

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  5. Stephen Ralph

    carer at n/a

    NSW has demonstrated for over a century that Democracy doesn't always offer free and fair government.

    The USA offers the world a land of the free, which is probably ok if you're white and rich in most cases.

    Might be time to look at alternatives, or get another name to describe free and free governments. Democracy seems a little tainted these days.

    report