Current discussion in the news media highlights how polarised the issue of climate change has become. However, recent scientific research has shown that most Australians are sure about climate change and that those who have a preference for inaction are in the minority.
In late 2010 we conducted an internet survey with a random sample of 1,602 Australians to understand the current attitudes, beliefs, perceptions and knowledge of the Australian general public about climate change issues, their responses to climate change, and their preferred methods of communication about these issues.
Consistent with our earlier research the results showed the majority of respondents (78%) indicated a belief that climate change is real.
Only 7% believe that climate change is not happening, while 15% are unsure.
Can we see climate change now?
The majority of respondents who believe to some extent in the reality of climate change indicated they felt that climate change impacts were either fairly likely or very likely.
They perceive that climate change will have a significant impact globally, nationally and on future generations, and a lesser impact on a local and personal level.
Adverse weather patterns, temperature changes and seasonal changes were cited as evidence that climate change is already happening.
Those that believed climate change will occur in the next 30 years, cited climate change being part of a natural cycle, evidence of the commencement of small scale changes, and increasing population.
Those who suggested that climate change is not happening and won’t in the future generally believe that information about climate change is propaganda, or that any evidence of change is part of a natural environmental cycle.
Respondents who were unsure about climate change most commonly cited a lack of knowledge and the presence of conflicting opinions in the media about the nature of climate change as the reasons for their response.
How much do you know about climate change?
In response to the question “I have a clear understanding of climate change science” the mean response was 3.04 (SD=0.98) indicating a slightly positive stance overall.
The most common response was the midpoint (3) option of neither agrees nor disagrees (44%).
About one third of respondents felt they had an understanding of climate change science, where 377 (24%) respondents somewhat agreed and 108 (7%) strongly agreed.
In response to a range of questions to measure respondents’ actual knowledge of climate change it was found that the public’s level of knowledge remains moderate to low.
Not surprisingly therefore, 58% of the sample surveyed indicated a desire to learn more about climate change. The key reasons listed for wishing to learn about climate change were to be better informed, to have sufficient knowledge to reduce climate change impacts, and to be able to form a more balanced view on the topic.
Topics of interest highlighted by respondents include the impact of climate change, individual action options, and more general information about climate change issues.
Who should do something about this?
When it comes to taking action on climate change the majority of respondents believe that everyone has a role to play to reduce the impact of climate change including individuals, the wider community and governments.
Support was given for ongoing research into renewable energy and for encouraging reduced energy consumption. There was little support for inaction.
Preferred government responses were those that limited the financial burden on the public. Given that one third of respondents cited the cost of living and financial hardships as one of the three most important issues currently facing Australia, this preference is perhaps not surprising.
However, early action has been identified in reports by Nicholas Stern in the UK and Ross Garnaut in Australia as the lowest cost way to address climate change. This creates a challenge for governments wanting to act responsibly.
How important is climate change?
When compared to the list of important issues, climate change was rated as the fifth most important behind the cost of living, the economy and the global financial crisis, employment and the health system. It was ahead of other issues such as immigration, education, and crime and justice.
However, when asked what are the three most important environmental problems facing Australia today, almost one quarter of respondents considered climate change and its related topics to be the most important environmental issue. 22% considered water to be the most important issue.
Climate adaptation options for governments such as preparing for sea level rises, increased funding for emergency services to prepare for climate impacts, creating new industries to address climate change issues, and helping business to adapt were all supported. Preferred action options for individuals included reduced energy use, recycling and using renewable energy sources.
What do we do with numbers like these?
Although recent social research indicates that the majority of Australians are concerned about climate change, our research indicates that many are conflicted about the issues.
While there is a majority belief that action needs to be taken by Australia in relation to climate change, to some extent this belief may be tempered by the respondents’ key concerns about the cost of living and financial hardship.
Perhaps the essential challenge for society is to clarify the relatively minor costs of acting now compared to those of acting later. We need to find a path forward that proactively address the needs of individuals while encouraging action on climate change.
Felix MacNeill
Environmental Manager
This is puzzling and troubling. I am in no way dismissing people's concerns about cost of living and the economy, but the brutal truth is that australia is one of the most prosperous nations on earth, it's something like twenty years since we had a real recession, we weathered the GFC remarkably unscathed and we have (comparatively) a very low level of unemployment. we also have one of the lowest tax rates in the developed world - arguably lower even than the US.
Read moreOur utility charges are a bit higher…
Nathan Stewart
Mr
Well thankfully it would seem that it would be political suicide for Labour to not go ahead with a carbon price of some sort. Im not so much worried about Labour as the Greens, one would think it would be madness for them to scuttle the deal if they dont get it their way, but who knows with them. We can only hope. I must say, if the carbon tax deal collapsed or the libs came in to government and scrapped it, i would definitely be attending my first ever protest. it would be the straw that broke the camels back for me.
Felix MacNeill
Environmental Manager
To be fair to the Greens, I think Rudd's original proposal was so ineffective that it would have merely dissipated people's genuine concern and will to act by creating an illusion that we were doing something while ending up achieving nothing.
It's a fin eline an dI tend to agree that we, and the Greens, have to be willing to compromise and begin somewhere, but it still has to be somewhere real and somewhere with the capacity to 'grow'.
Mark Matthews
General Manager
I am finding it harder to accept these numbers (7%...) given the shrill responses to any climate/carbon tax discussion in the general public. I certainly hope that these numbers are correct. Otherwise, we have a big issue in Australia around the public view of science.
My impression is that the general public seem terrified of the effect a carbon tax might have on the economy. Let's get some perspective here. The economy is infinitely more beholden to the climate than it is to a price on carbon. If we do nothing and continue to introduce more carbon into the atmosphere, we introduce more instability into the climate system as the system absorbs more energy. Concerns about the cost of living and financial hardship pale in comparison when you consider the effect extreme weather can have on our lives. Ask the residents of Marysville for example.
Paul Richards
Paul Richards is a Friend of The Conversation.
I agree Mark, most people are having trouble with the math, there has in fact been a concerted campaign to discredit the figures and delay action on climate change.
In our insular way, 'we' Australian's seem blissfully unaware how most of the world sees this issue. Decisions have been made, billions of dollars have been spent and whole countries are happily behind this, and they don't contribute to CO₂ the way we do.
On the positive side.
Democracy can be measured by the speed of decisions, given we are one of the last to get on board, we must have a greater measure of democracy.
A good ex-military friend said, "we have had poor leadership in adopting climate change" After following this debate here, I now agree.
Mark Matthews
General Manager
James Hansen (NASA), one of the world's foremost experts on climate, believes that this will become a legal issue in the future, and I am inclined to agree with him.
I have become completely incapable of empathising with those who complain about the effect that a carbon tax will have on their back pocket. Get some perspective here guys! The cost of living is infinitely more sensitive to climate events that it will be to a carbon tax. I suspect that the "economy" is in for a rough ride.
Paul Richards
Paul Richards is a Friend of The Conversation.
Well put Mark.
The interesting issue to consider is the cost to the environment and human life is being paid forward.
It's not that it isn't going to come out of humanities pocket.
But what you are advocating is making sure it doesn't come out of your pocket.
What do you think will be said about your life on earth by your children, and their children, if you pay it forward?
The cost you are worrying about is happening right now, you and I are inuring this cost as we eat and breath, we just are on a balloon payment plan.
.........It's simply not affecting our pocket, at the moment.
Paul Richards
Paul Richards is a Friend of The Conversation.
Correction and apologies Mark.
What others are advocating....
Every now and again I go here to strengthen my resolve, I hope it helps.
8 million views on YouTube and counting : )
http://youtu.be/zORv8wwiadQ
Be warned though, it may give you a new perspective.
Jan Tilden
Science communicator
I hope these figures are a true reflection of the number of Australians concerned with climate change and wanting action (although it would be better if there were even more in these categories). I'm interested to know how you achieved "an internet survey with a random sample of 1,602 Australians". I guess that would be a random sample of Australians with access to the internet, which would eliminate a lot of older people and perhaps people with non-english speaking backgrounds from the sample. Did you randomly choose the participants from a phone book and contact them about whether they would participate? Just curious.
Clare in Tassie
retired thinker
I don't want to see kids being indoctrinated in this political argument.......
Read moreJust a general conversation with young kids, about (so called) Climate Change, will reveal that they are being fed much disinformation – be it via the media, the school curriculum or even from their parents and close relatives.
It seemed to me that much of the ‘knowlege’ espoused from these children’s mouths was very biased towards the THEORY of Carbon Based Man Made Climate Change (CAGW). Please remember a theory is…
Megan Clement
Deputy Editor, Politics + Society at The Conversation
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Mark Matthews
General Manager
@Claire - I refer to your comment:
"Please remember a theory is still unproven" I believe you seem to be confused about the term "scientific theory". The "scientific theory" of AGW is proven beyond a reasonable doubt. It has been rigorously tested and is supported by multiple different lines of scientific evidence. It predictions are coming true in an alarming way. Despite what you might read in the media, it has yet to be disproven. Examples of other theories are Plate Techtonics, Gravity and Evolution. Perhaps you have opinions on those too, but they will probably be just opinions. Your world view may make it difficult for you to accept a theory, but that does not mean you have disproven it in anyway.