There is still three months to go until the Victorian election, but the Labor government remains in a very strong position.
L’expertise universitaire, l’exigence journalistique
Articles sur Resolve poll
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While none of the major polls were entirely accurate, Resolve was closest to the mark; meanwhile, seat polls continue to be highly inaccurate.
Late polls show a tightening on two-party preferred votes, but a slew of seat polls reveal just how close a lot of the contests will be on May 21.
Labor needs substantially more than 50% of the two-party preferred vote – 51.8% according to the pendulum – to win the majority of seats, 76. This equates to a swing of 3.3 percentage points.
The polls continue to show Labor in an election winning position - but the Coalition will take some heart from the rise in Scott Morrison’s approval rating.
Labor’s confidence will be boosted by two polls showing it holding a strong lead, as Anthony Albanese carried off a well orchestrated party launch on Sunday.
An error-riddled first week of the campaign saw the Labor leader’s personal stocks fall, but Labor maintains and election-winning lead over the Coalition.
Labor has clung to its 53-47% two-party lead in the latest Newspoll, but Anthony Albanese’s ratings have taken a knock after his error-prone first week of the campaign.
A slew of polls show only a modest lift for the government after the budget, and Labor favoured to win the election.
Latest results show Labor ahead of the Coalition federally as well as in South Australia, Queensland and possibly NSW.
It appears from recent polling that the more the deputy prime minister is in the spotlight, the worse the Coalition will perform.
Labor continues to show a strong lead in Newspoll, but Resolve shows a markedly different situation, and much may change before the next election.
While the Coalition continues to slump in recent polling, the prime minister’s approval rating steadies.
After the Coalition fell behind Labor federally in recent polls, it appears to have clawed some of that back – and voters are keen on opening up once vaccination rates are high enough.
Scott Morrison’s popularity is holding firm against a troubled vaccine rollout and controversies about the treatment of women.
