One moderate; one progressive: the Democratic race has come down to Joe Biden against Bernie Sanders, with the chips increasingly falling Biden’s way.
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The Democratic nomination is still very much up for grabs, with Bernie Sanders having a narrow win in New Hampshire.
While much of the focus is on the Iowa result, it is a small, largely white, state – the key results for the presidential nominee will come in on March 3.
Pete Buttigieg and Bernie Sanders take the lead in Iowa after a debacle with the results reporting - now the candidates move on to New Hampshire, where Sanders is the favourite.
Polls are showing Bernie Sanders leading in next week’s important Iowa caucuses- but polls have been notoriously bad at predicting caucuses’ outcomes.
The Indiana mayor has enjoyed a huge leap in support in a recent Iowa poll, but whteher that will translate across the country is far less certain.
Despite a drop in support after the first Democratic presidential debate, Joe Biden’s perceived electiability is serving him well in the race to secure his party’s nomination.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Dennis Altman is a Friend of The Conversation.
VC Fellow, La Trobe University
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Associate Professor in American Politics and Foreign Policy, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
