Can political prediction models pick the election winner better than the polls, the weather or Washington’s football team?
Academic rigour, journalistic flair
Articles on Forecasting
Displaying 21 - 32 of 32 articles
Many of the more formal models for predicting the pandemic try to understand why changes happen – but often it can be more accurate to ignore the reasons and simply look at the data.
The global financial crisis taught us recoveries needn’t be V-shaped.
Learning from past epidemics about the long-term future of COVID-2019.
Puerto Rico’s January earthquakes came after many foreshocks and have been followed by numerous aftershocks. Scientists are studying these sequences to improve earthquake forecasting.
The summer forecast from the Bureau of Meteorology predicts a hot, dry summer.
A new tool called EcoCast helps fishermen in the West Coast figure out where it’s best to fish that day.
Technology can only go so far in making sense of our vast and intricate atmosphere.
The warm period will occur even on top of regular climate change.
Winter is here, and many farmers are still waiting on their ‘autumn break’ of heavy rain. Unfortunately, it looks like it will be a dry, warm winter – although the snow season will likely be good.
Big data open-access publishing and other advances offer ecologists the ability to forecast events like pest outbreaks over days and seasons rather than decades. But scholars need to seize this opportunity.
Research shows that many students are excessively optimistic about course grades. Those with a stronger sense of personal control are also less likely to receive the grades they expect.
Top contributors
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Senior Climatologist, Australian Bureau of Meteorology
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Associate Professor, Operations Research, Brock University
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Professor of Geophysics and Department Head, Colorado State University
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Researcher in Ecosystem Dynamics, University of California, Santa Cruz
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Associate Professor of Earth and Environment, Boston University
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Professor of Political Science, LaGrange College
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Associate Professor in Ocean Physics, University of Southampton
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Research scientist, University of Reading
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Project Scientist, University of California, Santa Cruz
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Research Ecologist, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
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Senior Lecturer in Environmental Fluid Mechanics, University of KwaZulu-Natal
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Visiting Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
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Assistant Professor, Université Mohammed VI Polytechnique
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Assistant Professor of Complex Systems, University of Michigan
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Head of Operational Climate Services, Australian Bureau of Meteorology
