A recent publication by the International Monetary Fund provides examines government fiscal policy in 55 major economies. The report employs the rather loaded terminology of “prudence” or “profligacy” to evaluate government policies. In essence it judges whether the level of public debt is one that future budget surpluses could expect to cover.
Inevitably, the report has been dragged into contemporary Australian political debate. It makes no direct comment on the Howard government but commentators have seized on a single graph that identifies “fiscal profligacy” by the Howard government during 2003 and 2005-2007. Too much has been made of this.
Critics of the Howard government have delighted in the opportunity to malign its fiscal policy. During the Howard years, prominent academic Judith Brett perceived a drift of the “moral middle class”, once the backbone of the old right, towards the left. John Howard’s fiscal critics such as Andrew Leigh and Stephen Koukoulos are a contingent of this class; the economist equivalents of Robert Manne or Greg Barns.
With socialism, or even old-style social democracy, entirely off the agenda in Australia much of the left now finds some solace in Howard’s conviction of “fiscal profligacy”. Their critique has found some reinforcement from some of the right who were disenchanted with John Howard’s fiscal pragmatism; Andrew Norton complained that his was the government of a “conservative social democrat”.

Behind the political prejudice there was some accuracy in the liberal economists’ critique of the Howard government. Howard was not a laissez-faire economic liberal. Rather, like his hero Robert Menzies, he wished to encourage in Australia the “vigorous virtues” of self-reliance, personal responsibility and industriousness.
Both Howard and Menzies believed that government could support these values if it ensured an equation of moral desert and financial reward. Both Liberals championed the public subsidy of private social provision in health and welfare. To Howard, as much as any social democrat, formal freedom was empty without the means to access it. Both supported the continuation of a public health and education sector.
The combination of public and (subsided) private provision is expensive. Labor’s commitment to winding back the subsidy of private provision has enabled it to reduce government expenditure compared to the Howard government. Howard was always concerned about the electoral implications of taxation, but his road was eased by the economic prosperity of most of his term, voters were less insistent in their demand for tax cuts than they had been in the 1980s. Still, consistent free marketers were disappointed in his government.
In the last decade, then, both major parties have made fiscal appeals that contradict stereotypes. Labor’s 2007 boast of “economic conservatism” and Howard’s commitment to an active public sector.

The question remains as to whether these appeals worked with voters or whether parties better off sticking to their traditional images. The 2004-2010 reports of the Australian Election Survey trace the war of perceptions. At the 2004 election, the Coalition had closed Labor’s electoral advantage on its traditional areas of health and education to historic lows, but by 2007 Labor had reopened its advantage in these areas to levels higher or comparable to the polarised election of 1993.
The apparent failure of the Coalition’s 2001-2004 offensive into the policy territory of their enemies was echoed in Labor’s experience after 2007. Kevin Rudd as opposition leader championed his “economic conservatism”. The global financial crisis, however, saw Labor reverse its rhetorical position to champion Keynesian stimulus. In 2010 many Labor activists believed that the party must benefit by its globally recognised stewardship of the Australian economy during the Global Financial Crisis.
After Labor’s narrow electoral some of the party’s supporters complained that many voters had fallen for Liberal promises to “stop the waste”. In fact there is little evidence that voters were alarmed about Labor’s fiscal record, they were concerned about living standards but it was more significant that Labor’s advantage on health and education notably declined and this contributed to the surge in support for the Greens.
The image of a political party is hard to change as the American Republicans have found to their cost. When a party enjoys a surge of support it is likely to undermine (but only briefly) its opponents areas of issue strength. In 2007 the Liberals lost ground on economic management, and the tide of elite criticism of Howard’s “extravagance” probably played a role here. Parties can steal their opponents’ clothes but the electoral advantage they secure from this is transitory. Labor seems to have taken this advice on board its decision to drop its commitment to a budget surplus in favour of a focus on employment levels speaks to the party’s strengths.
The focus of the Coalition will not on Tony Abbott’s maternity leave proposals but on taxation and border security. Arguments about Howard’s fiscal record will fascinate media elites and contrarians, but their real world impact is minimal.
Robert McDougall
Small Business Owner
I don't know Geoffrey, my memories of the Howard era are kind of in line with the report. This is relevant in the current situation re the Liberal claim of being great economic managers, easy to claim during Mining Boom mk 1, no GFC, flogging off the family silver, turning the screws on the young or on benefits, no spending on infrastructure and the introduction of billions of middle/upper class benefits that is having such an economic/political impact in the current era.
It really saddens me to hear you say the words "old-style social democracy". personally i wouldn't mind a revival of "old-style social democracry", certainly beats the corporatocracy we have today.
Dianna Arthur
Dianna Arthur is a Friend of The Conversation.
Environmentalist
Agreed.
An honest presentation would do more to differentiate the 2 main parties:
Labor could return to acting on behalf of the majority of workers, small business, health, education, safety net for disadvantaged and even actually do something NOW towards mitigating climate change, bring back insulation, rebate on solar, support wind farms, R&D in into thermal, solar, hydro, wind. You know, actually do stuff for this country.
Libs could stop pretending they care and continue benefiting the privileged wealthy minority as is their wont.
Then we'd have something to choose from.
Tristan Vaughan Ewins
logged in via Facebook
I think it's very dangerous to try and beat the economic neo-liberals in the Liberal Party at their own game. If Labor buys into a debate on fiscal profligacy - claiming the mantle of small government for itself - then the Party chooses terrain unfavourable both to its values and its traditions - as well as the interests of its constituency. Rather Labor needs to reconsider the importance of the social wage and the welfare state; while exploring such hopeful and innovative themes as the 'Democratic…
Read moreTim Benham
Student of Statistics
There are no governing parties of small government. All governing parties want to use taxpayers' money to buy as many votes as they can.
I did find it odd that, according to the report's graphic, periods of profligacy were associated with a decline in national debt.
Tristan Vaughan Ewins
logged in via Facebook
See the URL below - (Scroll down to 'Chart 2') - for the proportion of Australian government expenditure - compared internationally. It supports the argument that we have very 'small government' by global comparison. (presuming not much has changed since 2005 - that is around 30% of GDP - compared with over 50% for Sweden, for instance) See: http://comparativetaxation.treasury.gov.au/content/report/html/02_Executive_Summary.asp
Nb: "profligacy' is better interpreted as *wasteful* expenditure rather than expenditure per se. Abbott wanted to stop the QLD flood tax and leave devastated families to their own devices. And yet the Howard govt was throwing "upper middle class welfare" around everywhere... (eg: an un-means-tested Private Health Insurance Rebate) While the monopoly media was claiming that families on over $150,000 a year were 'battlers'. (!) Which shows the Conservatives have a different notion of 'wastefulness' than many other people!
Marilyn Shepherd
pensioner
Why do you report beating up on and persecuting and torturing refugees as border security?
WE do not have any borders, we have some airports but realistically millions of people could land on any corner of our coast and we could not stop them.
For heaven's sake, our non-borders do not need protecting.
And Howard wasted more mining money on welfare for the rich than any other PM in history.
$340 billion from the mining just went up in smokes for the rich.
Rick Fleckner
Student
It would have been very useful if you had someone proof read your article. The syntax and structure in general, made it quite uncomfortable to read.
Doug Hutcheson
Poet
I agree. This is a site where one expects high standards in literacy. Poor use of English and hasty proof-reading subtract substantially from the merit of the message.
geoff mcquinn
pensioner
Howard as treasurer dismantled universal health in the Fraser government . He would have done it again as PM but it was too popular after the Hawke/Keating years . Menzies gave catholic schools things like science blocks while Howard through Kemp devised a flawed funding model to greatly boost funds to private schools regardless of need .
I think it was distinct change that Howard made funds available to those who would never consider themselves in a wage bracket that required federal assistance . A million dollars for the million dollars put into super , work that one out ? A first home buyers grant to help with the purchase of a house that only wealthy could afford . Subsidies for health funds that included gym membership or golf shoes . Profligate ? Certainly wasteful in a lot of cases and unnecessary in some .
Gavin Moodie
logged in via LinkedIn
A very weak attempt to justify Howard's dreadful fiscal record, first by stating correctly but irrelevantly that Howard was never an economic liberal and then by claiming that it doesn't matter anyway because the 2013 federal election will be decided on other grounds.
But there is no escaping Howard and Costello's fiscally irresponsible and regressive extension of massive tax cuts for superannuation, subsidies of private health and education accessed most heavily by those on upper and middle incomes, and their promise of regressive tax cuts which unfortunately had to be matched and implemented by Rudd.
It will take decades to undo Howard and Costello's damage to the Australia Government's fiscal position. Since Abbott has shown no inclination to repair the damage caused while he was last in government, it will have to be done by Labor or by a Coalition led by someone else.
Tristan Vaughan Ewins
logged in via Facebook
I don't think that's what the author is trying to do at all; ie: justify the Howard government - if you read more closely. He does appear to be saying both parties do better 'playing to their strengths'. And in this article specifically I think he is trying to engage in objective analsysis rather than pressing his personal political values. Though as a progressive I have no problem with Conservatives starting to take health and education seriously. Determining the relative bounds of debate is argubaly even more important than holding government. It's that which determines the political agenda of the day.
John Phillip
John Phillip is a Friend of The Conversation.
Grumpy Old Man
Interesting perspective.... Labor has really struggled to build an image of responsible fiscal management. When they have such a woeful record including disasters such as the ceiling insulation program, the Building the Education Revolution, the mining super profits tax that raised NOTHING, the opening of the illegal boat-folk floodgates and the changes to single parents benefits, it's hard to argue that their shift in policy has helped.
geoff mcquinn
pensioner
Considering the volume of people that took up the insulation program and the fire rate being the same prior , during and after why would any reasonable person call it a disaster ? Contractors illegally ignoring both state and federal H&S regulations initially escaped bad publicity but ended up in court .
Like the education building infrastructure the insulation program achieved its aims of stimulus and beneficial work/infrastructure . The home owners as well as the students , teachers and principals see no disaster but benefit . The reality doesn,t fit the lib spin , situation normal .
John Phillip
John Phillip is a Friend of The Conversation.
Grumpy Old Man
Geoff, I've been a teacher in Qld for 25 years and I can't tell the number of times schools (yes, even ones that were slated for closure) that had unwanted/unsuitable structures forced upon them during the BER. At my own school, we were told what we would be getting and no consultation was entered into - $800000 worth of useless structure. If you think that the insulation program was a success, you must be looking at that poorly thought out and planned disaster through fairly tainted spectacles. How do you explain Labor's abandonment of single parents? How do you explain the disastrous increase in boat arrivals and the concomitant increase in drownings? Forget the 'lib spin'. Try being honest in your appraisal of the Labor gov and its failed, profligate policies.
Tristan Vaughan Ewins
logged in via Facebook
Well, John - I guess that must be why only 3% of BER projects had complaints issued against them by schools... See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Building_the_Education_Revolution
John Phillip
John Phillip is a Friend of The Conversation.
Grumpy Old Man
Tristan, from the inside, I can tell you that we were directed not to complain.
geoff mcquinn
pensioner
John , Tristan has covered the BER and that leaves insulation . When or how do you assess a disaster ? Is 25% of homes damaged a disaster or is it 5% ? What about under 1% ? My point is that no such disaster occurred and to describe it as such is plainly wrong .
When I saw Abbott blame Garrett for 4 deaths in parliament I knew here was a person undeserving of being an elected official . A man talking about industrial manslaughter yet opposes any introduction of law remotely near to industrial manslaughter . A man who used 4 deaths for political point scoring which meant no compassion or any care at all for those involved . Lower than the basic wage . I note you don,t go down that grubby path which is only proper . As for boat arrivals both major parties are a disgrace and the Greens are too far the other way .
geoff mcquinn
pensioner
http://inside.org.au/a-mess-a-shambles-a-disaster/
Felix MacNeill
Environmental Manager
John, Building the Education Revolution was only a disaster in the Murdoch media.
If you look impartially at the assessments, it achieved something like a 95% positive rating from the recipients and ran only about 5% over budget. In the building/project field, particularly when things were pushed through as quickly as they were, these are pretty good numbers. If you look closer, you find that outcomes were excellent in SA, Tassie and ACT, where the state/territory education department that largely…
Read moreFelix MacNeill
Environmental Manager
Sorry, John, you need evidence not personal anecdotes.
Felix MacNeill
Environmental Manager
Thanks Geoff - a very balanced and useful article from a very capable commentator.
David Menere
part-time contractor
Seems odd that neither Geoff nor any commenters have made reference to Laura Tingle's Quarterly Essay, 'Great expectations- government, entitlement and an angry nation'. John Howard's cutting of income taxes for immediate but brief political gain pandered to a sense of entitlement in the community that he was actively encouraging- he created an expectation that only he, as head of the Government, could deliver on.
The problem with entitlement is that by its nature it demands continual feeding…
Read moreTristan Vaughan Ewins
logged in via Facebook
I wouldn't be so certain the tax cuts are "effectively permanent". That's a self-fulfilling prophecy. If tax reform targets the top 15% income demographic but delivers in the vicinity of $30 billion/year into improved education, welfare, health care, aged care and infrastructure - then I think the rest of us (the other 85%) would have plenty of reason to vote Labor. And remember $30 billion is not 'undoable' or 'excessive' in the context of a national economy valued at over $1.6 Trillion. (ie: it would be in the vicinity of 1.5% of GDP)
Gavin Moodie
logged in via LinkedIn
I agree that the Howard-Rudd tax cuts will have to be reversed, one way or another. One must keep reminding fellow citizens that Australian taxes are lower than most of the OECD.
Peter Redshaw
Retired
I am sorry to say this Geoffrey, but I am more in agreement with the IMF Report than your argument. The Howard government was in power during the greatest period of economic growth, or should I say splurge, or should I say risk taking, that any Australian government. There were a couple of hiccups though with the Asian Crises and temporary tech crash, but otherwise it was all steam ahead. The only problem is that it was all built on flawed foundations resulting in the Global Financial Crises as…
Read more