Signs of this potential La Niña are emerging fairly late. But new research may help make predictions earlier.
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Australia is facing climate hazards on all fronts this spring and summer. Climate scientist Andrew King walks us through the Bureau of Meteorology’s new national outlook.
Fluctuations in the path of storms over the Australian continent can influence the conditions delivered by an El Niño or La Niña.
Contrary to popular belief, new research shows the abrupt, often gale force wind changes known as “southerly busters” are becoming more frequent, but less severe, as the climate changes.
NOAA issued its busiest preseason hurricane forecast yet, with the second highest accumulated cyclone energy. An atmospheric scientist explains what’s behind the numbers.
Option price swings show how much traders believe seasonal climate and weather matters for all sorts of industries, not just the ones you might expect.
After a year of record-breaking global heat with El Niño, will La Niña bring a reprieve? That depends on where you live and how you feel about hurricanes.
The 2023 megafires burnt more than 84 million hectares of desert and savannah in northern Australia. That’s larger than the whole of NSW, or more than three times size of the UK.
Weather forecasting is improving at a great rate, even though climate change could be making it tougher.
Heat is surging in the world’s oceans. Climate change and El Niño explain part of it – but not all.
El Niño can direct more warm water to the base of West Antarctic ice shelves, accelerating melting and increasing global sea level.
The strong El Niño that started in 2023 will still have big impacts at least through March. Here’s what to watch for next.
El Niño usually brings hot, dry weather to Australia. But the rains that have drenched eastern Australia are normal too.
An atmospheric scientist explains how El Niño works, this year’s oddities and why this phenomenon doesn’t last long.
It’s not just ocean temperatures that determine whether we have El Niño or La Niña. Air circulation also plays a role, and it’s changing in unexpected ways.
The bad news: Extreme heat is probably going to stick around for a couple of more years.
2016 was the world’s warmest year on record, due in part to a very strong El Niño event. But 2023 (and 2024) could beat that record – what should we expect?
The official forecast calls for a strong El Niño by winter, but other models suggest it might dip in and out. An atmospheric scientist explains.
Current forecasts suggest a warm tropical Pacific will be interfering with what could otherwise be a ferocious Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño years put Hawaii and the Mexican Riviera on alert for destructive tropical storms and hurricanes.
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Top contributors
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Senior Lecturer in Climate Science, The University of Melbourne
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Climate Scientist, Australian Bureau of Meteorology
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Senior Research Associate, UNSW Sydney
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Associate professor, Climate Change Research Centre, UNSW, UNSW Sydney
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Researcher, Oceans and Atmosphere, CSIRO
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Distinguished Scholar, NCAR; Affiliate Faculty, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Associate Professor – Hydroclimatology, University of Newcastle
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Postdoctoral Researcher, University of Newcastle
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Scientia Professor and Deputy Director of the ARC Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, UNSW Sydney
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Marine ecologist, CSIRO
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Senior research scientist, CSIRO
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Senior Principal Research Scientist, CSIRO
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Professor School of Engineering, University of Newcastle
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Research fellow, Research Associate, The University of Western Australia
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Oceanographer PhD Student, The University of Western Australia
