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The Fed’s Jerome Powell keeps his cards close to his chest. AP Photo/Patrick Semansky

September 19, 2019

Fed’s rate cut signals a recession may be ahead – and it may not have enough ammunition to fight it

Michael Klein, Tufts University

The US economy may be in worse shape than it seems.

Once, emulating Germany would be something to be proud of. Not at the moment. Shutterstock

Agustus 22, 2019

Vital Signs: economically, Australia is at risk of becoming Germany, and not in a good way

Richard Holden, UNSW Sydney

With a relatively low debt to GDP ratio, Australia was never at risk of becoming Greece. But Germany, with negative interest rates and scant prospects for economic growth, is an open question.

Markets know what has happened each time the yield curve has turned negative. The idea of a negative curve without a a recession would take some getting used to. Shutterstock

Agustus 16, 2019

What is an inverted yield curve? Why is it panicking markets, and why is there talk of recession?

Mark Crosby, Monash University

Precedent suggests that what’s happened in the US will lead to a recession, but maybe it’ll be different this time.

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