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April 26, 2023

Why a Biden-Harris reelection ticket makes sense for the Democrats in 2024

Dafydd Townley, University of Portsmouth

If elected, Biden would be the oldest person to occupy the White House. But he’s by far the most popular candidate the Democrats have.

September 30, 2022

US Democrats’ gains stall six weeks before midterm elections; UK Labour seizes huge lead after budget

Adrian Beaumont, The University of Melbourne

At every midterm election since 2006, the non-presidential party has easily won control of the House. It will be difficult for Democrats to defy this history.

Many pollsters have been asked to explain why they didn’t better predict the 2016 election. 3dfoto/shutterstock.com

October 16, 2018

How the polls could have caught ‘surprise’ victories like Trump’s

Fred Wright, North Carolina State University

When political polls are aggregated together, that can make the results misleading.

Top contributors

Adrian Beaumont
Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
Fred Wright
Director of the Bioinformatics Research Center, North Carolina State University
Dafydd Townley
Teaching Fellow in International Security, University of Portsmouth

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