The United States has a two-party political system because of single-winner plurality voting.
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Articles on Polls
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Even with a handful of seats still in doubt, Chris Minns’ Labor Party is on track for majority government.
The final NSW election polls vary on the predicted outcome, but they all point to a Labor win.
Latest polling shows some of the gloss coming off federal Labor and Anthony Albanese - but they are still well ahead of the opposition.
The first Newspoll to ask about the Indigenous Voice to Parliament also found 56-37 in favour.
In covering the final days of the Victorian election, mainstream media fell victim to wanting the most dramatic outcome – no matter how weak the evidence for it may have been.
As election day arrives in Victoria, two late polls predict a return of the Andrews Labor government.
Lots has been said about the 2022 US midterm elections. But a scholar of democracy says there’s really only one conclusion that can be made about how voters behaved.
Polling for the 2022 midterms was more accurate than the dramatically wrong predictions of 2016 and 2020, leading one pollster to boast, ‘The death of polling has been greatly exaggerated.’
Latest polls show a narrowing lead for the ALP in the Victorian election, while the upper house voting system continues to attract criticism.
With 12 days to go until the Victorian state election, the Labor government appears headed for re-election.
Four weeks out from the Victorian state election, Labor still looks likely to retain government, although with a swing against it.
What happens if the public loses faith in fair elections? That’s the question being asked as candidates influenced by Donald Trump aim to become the chief election officials in their states.
With less than a month until the US midterms, the economy may play the decisive role in the outcome- and that may be difficult for Biden and the Democrats.
Latest polls continue to show strong support for the Albanese government.
A recent NSW Resolve poll gave Labor 43% of the primary vote, and the Coalition just 30%, though the major party leaders were tied for preferred premier.
While there is some tapering off of support for the Albanese government since the 2022 election, it is still comfortably ahead of the Coalition.
Anthony Albanese extends his lead over Peter Dutton as preferred prime minister as the government’s ‘honeymoon’ period continues.
The Supreme Court’s decision to strike down the landmark Roe v Wade ruling on abortion is having big political ramifications - and favouring the Democrats.
The latest Newspoll show Albanese’s net approval ratings are the highest for a prime minister since early in Malcolm Turnbull’s tenure.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professor of Economics and Finance. Director of the Betting Research Unit and the Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University
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Research Professor at the Center for Political Studies, University of Michigan
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Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Social Research, and Professor of Politics, University of Strathclyde
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Adjunct Research Fellow; Journalist, University of Notre Dame Australia
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Senior Lecturer in Quantitative Social Science and Director of the Sheffield Q-Step Centre (The University of Sheffield); Statistical Ambassador (Royal Statistical Society), University of Sheffield
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Professor of Geography, University of Bristol
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Associate Professor in American Politics and Foreign Policy, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
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Senior Lecturer, School of Political and Social Inquiry, Monash University
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Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Dayton
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PhD Candidate, The University of Western Australia
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Senior Research Fellow, Centre for Advancing Journalism, The University of Melbourne
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Paul Whiteley is a Friend of The Conversation.
Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
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Senior Project Manager, Murdoch University
