Articles on Minor parties

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If Labor had won on Saturday, Bill Shorten would have been the least popular party leader ever elected prime minister, according to election data. Lukas Coch/AAP

Labor’s election loss was not a surprise if you take historical trends into account

Election data suggests the Coalition's victory wasn't so surprising after all – long-term trends pointed toward a Labor loss, given the various factors in play in this election.
Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party, Pauline Hanson’s One Nation, and Fraser Anning’s new Conservative National Party will compete for the conservative vote. AAP/The Conversation

How much influence will independents and minor parties have this election? Please explain

Voter dissatisfaction with the major parties means minor party preferences are likely to play a critical role in many seats, making the election outcome hard to predict.
Good economic times have allowed us to become complacent, meaning conditions are ripe. Shutterstock

Australia’s populist moment has arrived

It's been 27 years since our last recession. Conditions are ripe for a populist revolt when the next one arrives.
Conservative politicians in Australia push the ‘outsider politics’ theory to bring disenchanted voters back into the tent. Regi Varghese/AAP

Same-sex marriage results crush the idea that Australian voters crave conservatism

The 'yes' vote disproves that the rise of the minor party vote is the result of a cultural backlash from people who reject the progressive agenda, including the expansion of rights for minorities.
Many voters feel the major parties aren’t listening, which can be part of the appeal of populist candidates such as One Nation’s Pauline Hanson. Dan Peled/AAP

Vote 1 ‘Other’: what’s driving more voters to back a minor party this election

Watch Anne Tiernan and Duncan McDonnell discuss the popularity of minor parties and independents in this election – including what the Nick Xenophon Team learnt from the Palmer United Party.
It was a novelty when Conservative leader David Cameron had to enlist Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg’s support to govern, but Britons may have to get used to minority government. EPA/Andy Rain

What Westminster can learn from minority government in Australia

The UK is poised for another minority government, this time possibly with a hung parliament. Australia's long experience of such arrangements offers lessons in how to manage minority government.
The UK general election could go either way. The one certainty is that the numbers of seats won won’t match the votes for each party. AAP/Newzulu/Stephen Chung

UK election prediction: this week’s result won’t reflect the voters’ will

This week the "mother of parliaments" faces a general election in the UK. The 'first past the post' electoral system means we can't predict the result with certainty, nor expect it to match the vote.
New South Wales Premier Mike Baird looks likely to keep enjoying the view from the top of the state after the March 28 poll. Mike Baird/Facebook

NSW voters set to back Baird, but upper house is too close to call

With just a day of campaigning left in the New South Wales election, the result is already clear. Mike Baird's government will be re-elected – but the battle for 21 upper house seats will be crucial.
Because their votes may be open to negotiation, crossbench senators often have the final say on the form, and passage, of legislation. AAP/Alan Porritt

Scorn the crossbench, ignore Australian political history

Instead of treating crossbenchers in parliament as a source of chaos and an aberration, we should recognise that they play a crucial role in shaping legislation as the constitution provides.

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