Recent political polls in New Zealand and elsewhere have consistently failed to reflect eventual outcomes. Voters and pundits alike should avoid reading them too literally.
An outbreak of ‘Chris-mania’ seems unlikely, but maybe taking personality and heat out of the mix will benefit Labour in election year.
The 2023 general election is already shaping up as an MMP classic. Add the All Blacks’ World Cup fortunes to the mix and the only thing to expect is the unexpected.
As the government approaches the mid-term mark, is the protest in parliament grounds a PR boost for Jacinda Ardern or a sign of declining political consensus?
The National Party’s internal tensions have played out in a succession of leadership changes. Would the political right be better off formally divided, as it once was?
Once a broad political church, the National Party has become a house divided against itself. New leader Christopher Luxon faces huge challenges uniting both the party and its wider congregation.
New Zealand’s National MPs are set to elect their fifth leader in just four years to take on Jacinda Ardern’s government. What “habits of the unsuccessful” should they avoid in their next leader?
Representative democracies require functional governments but they also need strong oppositions. At the moment, New Zealand has one of these things but not the other.
One year on, the NZ Election Survey crunches the numbers on what drove Jacinda Ardern’s unprecedented 2020 victory.
Donald Trump may be on the way out, but ‘Trumpism’ will remain a political force. Could it ever take hold in New Zealand?
If the pattern on election night holds, 2020 will be the most dramatic election in 100 years in terms of votes shifting between major parties.
The people have spoken, and MMP has delivered the right result — even if it means Labour governs alone.
Jacinda Ardern and Labour are returned to power in a landslide, making New Zealand political history in the process.
With more votes cast before election day than on it, late strategic voting could make all the difference.
It was a campaign like no other, and while there were missed opportunities and lapses of judgement, the fact New Zealanders are voting in a safe and fair election is reason enough to celebrate.
The politics of reassurance have made her one of the most popular prime ministers in NZ history. Can Jacinda Ardern turn that into meaningful change?
For Judith Collins, centrism is an excuse to do nothing and stand for nothing. This election is the greatest challenge yet for her brand of politics.