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Inflation has been doggedly low, so it’s not clear that the 2.5% expectation for inflation is going to turn out to be right. Dan Peled/AAP

Vital Signs: the RBA’s still longing for Goldilocks growth

This week's strong growth in full-time employment shows a robust labour market. This only deepens the puzzle of why inflation is so low at the same time.
Data from the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) reveals the average balance on housing loans has barely trended upwards over the last five years. Tracey Nearmy/AAP

Three charts on mortgage stress: it isn’t as bad as you might think

When you look at the data (in three charts) on mortgage stress, the systemic risk of people not being able to repay their home loans appears small.
Former Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan. He left the job after concerted political attacks. Reuters/Shailesh Andrade

Reserve Bank independence: sobering lessons from India and South Africa

Attacks on the South African Reserve Bank and events in India that led to the exit of the governor of the country's central bank are a warning that banks aren't immune from political meddling.
After the Reserve Bank cut the cash rate by 25 basis points to 1.5%, the four big banks said they would pass on only part of the reduction. Paul Miller/AAP

Turnbull to banks: pass on whole interest rate cut

Malcolm Turnbull has sternly told the banks they should pass on the whole of Tuesday's rate cut - or their chief executives must explain why they are not doing so.
Reserve Bank governor Glenn Stevens condemned the “inability to find political agreement” on infrastructure. AAP/Dan Peled

Another rate cut possible due to weak economy: Stevens

Reserve Bank governor Glenn Stevens has left open the possibility of another rate cut, but warned against expecting monetary policy to do too much of the work in encouraging economic growth.

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