Where are the people really going?
Is Trump up or down? Will the public vote yes or no? Who will win the election? A mathematician's guide to understanding polls in the media.
Why are so many Trump supporters spoiling for a fight?
AP Photo/John Minchillo
A unique poll from Penn State’s McCourtney Institute for Democracy tracks how the nation is feeling.
A protester against President Trump’s immigration policy and a Trump supporter in New York City.
Data since 1950s show Americans have always been wary of refugees. A public opinion expert explains current attitudes toward Syrian refugees and what it means for building consensus on policy.
Liberal MP Ian Goodenough is chairing a parliamentary inquiry into freedom of speech in Australia.
Neither Galaxy Research nor the Institute of Public Affairs think-tank discussed the most interesting data they garnered from polling on free speech and reform to Section 18C.
Like wearing psychological blinders.
Horse image via www.shutterstock.com.
It's human nature to notice or search out information that supports what you already believe and discount or avoid data to the contrary. The problem comes in when you don't recognize this bias is in play.
What will polling look like in the future?
Person taking survey via shutterstock.com
Pollsters must be as accurate as possible. How will they address the challenges revealed in the 2016 election, and other changes in the coming years?
What if people don’t tell pollsters the truth?
Liar image via www.shutterstock.com.
The polls convinced many that Clinton was headed to the White House. But the polls were misleading – and one behavioral scientist thinks emotion led respondents to mislead pollsters on purpose.
The final count.
From undetected late swings, to pollster 'herding'.
Polls are best guesses, votes are real.
AP Photo/Lee Jin-man
People around the world were shocked when Hillary Clinton, ahead in many polls, didn't end up the U.S.' president-elect. But that doesn't mean the polls themselves were wrong.
This is news to me.
EPA/Lex van Lieshout
Forecasters have been left reeling once again after failing to predict the outcome of the US election.
Pollsters seemed to grow reflective as the night wore on.
Many pollsters are now eating humble pie.
Early voting is underway in the US presidential election. Will the outcome reflect the polls?
EPA/JIM LO SCALZO
Given the failure of British polls to predict the outcome of Brexit, is it possible Donald Trump could produce a surprise result of even greater proportions?
A look back at the polls shows just how popular Theresa May's predecessor was.
Pauline Hanson claimed poll results showing high levels of opposition to Muslim immigration were understated.
Survey findings are typically considered in isolation in the media, with no understanding of context, of what is within and what is beyond the expected.
Although Malcolm Turnbull has been returned to office, he faces considerable challenges.
How did the Coalition go from a resounding victory in 2013 to the edge of electoral defeat?
Several seats remain undecided across the country.
How did the numbers of election 2016 fall across the country? And what seats are still in play?
The polling industry struggled to predict the last British election, and referendums are even harder.
What are you having?
The wane and wax of Euroscepticism in Britain.
Struggling to decide?
The UK in a Changing EU app lets you choose which issues you feel are most important to you and use those to weight the outcomes.
When public opinion is as split as it is on the EU referendum, pollsters struggle to get it right.