Peter Martin, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
The Conversation’s expert 00panel expects inflation to continue to fall, but more gradually, and it expects the RBA to be slow in responding. Unemployment should climb and economic growth weaken.
Peter Martin, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
The good news includes a return to real wage growth and a restrained increase in unemployment. The bad news includes even higher home prices and a per-capita recession.
Peter Martin, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
The Conversation’s 29-member panel expects very weak economic growth and recessions in much of the rest of the world, but there’s good news down the track for Australians’ buying power.
Peter Martin, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
The panel believes Australia will avoid a recession the year ahead, but is much less certain about the United States. It expects real wages to go backwards and economic growth to sink.
Peter Martin, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
The Conversation’s expert panel predicts prices will rise faster than Australians’ pay can keep up in 2022 – and that’s not their only concern about the local economy.
Peter Martin, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
Rather than being “one percentage point above trend” as the prime minister has promised, the economic recovery promises below trend growth and weak living standards in the view of The Conversation’s forecasting panel.
Peter Martin, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
The Conversation’s 2020 economic survey points to a dismal year, with no progress on many of the key measures that matter for Australians and an increase in the unemployment rate.
Peter Martin, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
The Conversation’s distinguished panel predicts unusually weak growth, dismal spending, no improvement in either unemployment or wage growth, and an increased chance of recession.
Peter Martin, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
The Conversation has assembled a forecasting team of 19 academic economists from 12 universities across six states. Together, they assign a 25% probability to a recession within two years.