Fibre-optic cables act as densely-spaced ground-motion sensors to give earthquake scientists a close look at New Zealand’s Alpine Fault, in anticipation of its next big rupture.
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We may never know exactly when the next big quake will hit – but we can have a pretty good idea of the odds.
New Zealand’s Alpine Fault has ruptured in a major earthquake on average every 250 years. New research shows a 75% chance of the next one within 50 years, and it’s likely to be magnitude 8 or more.
An international team discovers extreme underground conditions at New Zealand’s Alpine Fault, which is due to rupture in a major earthquake in the next few decades.
Kontributor teratas
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Professor of tectonics and geophysics, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Senior lecturer, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Earthquake Scientist, Monash University
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Seismologist, GNS Science
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Professor of Geophysics, Australian National University
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Seismologist, Postdoctoral Fellow, Australian National University
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Professor of Geophysics, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
