Research has shown that UKIP polling is driven by media coverage rather than the reverse.
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Russian meddling has shaken Americans’ faith in democracy. But public discontent after a scandal is hardly new. Trust in government began to erode under Nixon, and it’s mostly worsened since then.
Most Leave voters would rather lose Northern Ireland than drop Brexit, reflecting a longstanding indifference.
On June 7, Ontario may have a new premier, and the latest public opinion polls suggest it could be Andrea Horwath. She would lead just the second NDP government in Ontario.
A scholar offers advice to voters who are leery of polling after the 2016 election.
Most surveys are consistent in finding there is a substantial minority of the view that immigration is too high, but not a large majority.
The strong US economy has improved Donald Trump’s ratings in the last month.
In both Australian and overseas elections held in 2017, the left generally performed better than expected.
Survey shows Remain voters more opposed to a hard border than Leave voters.
Polls show a clear majority support assisted dying in Britain – but it depends on how the question is asked.
In the marriage equality debate as in any other, media outlets must balance the right to freedom of speech with the balance of evidence.
How much did social media have an impact on the campaigns of Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn?
The pollsters have had another bad year – and it may be because they were so worried about repeating the mistakes of 2015.
Hitting a moving target is hard, and young people don’t always do what’s expected.
The exit poll published at 10pm suggests the Conservatives could fall short of a parliamentary majority. Is it to be believed?
If the 2017 polls are to get the election right, they have to nail one variable in particular: turnout among the young.
With just a week until the vote, the polling agency has thrown a cat among the pigeons. Here’s how to understand the poll everyone is talking about.
Polling is difficult – and everyone except pollsters overestimates how accurate polls are.
The White House is deciding whether or not to stay in the Paris climate agreement. But a large majority of Americans – including Trump voters – want the U.S. to participate and lead.
Are we relying too much on interviews with voters instead of polling?
Kontributor teratas
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Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professor Emeritus of Communication, American University School of Communication
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Ashbel Smith Professor, School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences, University of Texas at Dallas
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Professor of Economics and Finance. Director of the Betting Research Unit and the Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University
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Honorary Professor, University of Sydney
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Professor of Electoral Geography, University of Sheffield
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Emeritus Professor of Politics and International Relations, Macquarie University
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Professor of Politics, University of Strathclyde and Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Social Research, National Centre for Social Research
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Emeritus professor, Monash University
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Director, La Trobe Asia, and Professor of International Relations, La Trobe University
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Professor of Political Science and Public Policy, University of Southampton
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2024 Oxford University visiting research fellow RIJS; Professor of Political Communication., La Trobe University
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Assistant Professor of Mathematics -- Statistics, Knox College
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Professor of Research Methodology, Director of National Centre for Research Methods, University of Southampton
