British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak talks to journalists on his plane as he travels from Northern Ireland to Birmingham in May 2024 during a day of campaigning for the British election on July 4.
(HENRY NICHOLLS/Pool photo via AP)
The “PM and the Pendulum” model has been successfully forecasting British elections since 2005. This year’s predictions suggest UK Conservatives are in for a major drubbing on July 4.
In happier times: Stanley Baldwin (r) in August 1923, months before the December election.
PA Archive
When Stanley Baldwin called an election in December 1923, the outcome was unintended, unexpected and enduring.
President Donald Trump meets with British Prime Minister Boris Johnson at the United Nations General Assembly in September 2019. Both men have put the rule of law in their crosshairs.
(AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
Authoritative statements by esteemed officials that the rule of law has been violated no longer have political consequences. Scandals that would have ended careers only a few years ago barely register.