In covering the final days of the Victorian election, mainstream media fell victim to wanting the most dramatic outcome – no matter how weak the evidence for it may have been.
As election day arrives in Victoria, two late polls predict a return of the Andrews Labor government.
Lots has been said about the 2022 US midterm elections. But a scholar of democracy says there’s really only one conclusion that can be made about how voters behaved.
Polling for the 2022 midterms was more accurate than the dramatically wrong predictions of 2016 and 2020, leading one pollster to boast, ‘The death of polling has been greatly exaggerated.’
Latest polls show a narrowing lead for the ALP in the Victorian election, while the upper house voting system continues to attract criticism.
With 12 days to go until the Victorian state election, the Labor government appears headed for re-election.
Four weeks out from the Victorian state election, Labor still looks likely to retain government, although with a swing against it.
What happens if the public loses faith in fair elections? That’s the question being asked as candidates influenced by Donald Trump aim to become the chief election officials in their states.
With less than a month until the US midterms, the economy may play the decisive role in the outcome- and that may be difficult for Biden and the Democrats.
Latest polls continue to show strong support for the Albanese government.
A recent NSW Resolve poll gave Labor 43% of the primary vote, and the Coalition just 30%, though the major party leaders were tied for preferred premier.
While there is some tapering off of support for the Albanese government since the 2022 election, it is still comfortably ahead of the Coalition.
Anthony Albanese extends his lead over Peter Dutton as preferred prime minister as the government’s ‘honeymoon’ period continues.
The Supreme Court’s decision to strike down the landmark Roe v Wade ruling on abortion is having big political ramifications - and favouring the Democrats.
The latest Newspoll show Albanese’s net approval ratings are the highest for a prime minister since early in Malcolm Turnbull’s tenure.
Census and election data show the shift in demographics of the major parties’ voting bases.
While none of the major polls were entirely accurate, Resolve was closest to the mark; meanwhile, seat polls continue to be highly inaccurate.
The final polls ahead of the federal election on May 21 give Labor a 53-47 two-party preferred leave - if that is repeated on May 21, Labor will win government.
There have been few if any elections when, in the last week, it has been the ‘uncommitted’ voters who have turned things around.
Late polls show a tightening on two-party preferred votes, but a slew of seat polls reveal just how close a lot of the contests will be on May 21.