Trump has a very narrow path to victory that will require high turnout by so-called “working-class whites” in key states. This group, however, is not so easily defined.
Academic rigor, journalistic flair
Articles on 2020 US elections
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A Trump election loss would suit NZ’s trade, climate and arms control foreign policies. But there will still be the problem of China.
Polls show that a majority of evangelicals back Trump. But that hides a growing divide between enthusiasts of the president and those who question his fitness for office, argues a moral theologian.
About 2.9 million eligible American voters live abroad, including members of the military and embassy staffers. Just 5% of them cast their ballots in 2018.
Congress tends to use the tax code to implement policy, which increases complexity and creates loopholes wealthy taxpayers like Trump can exploit.
The push to expand charter schools in the U.S. contributed to a robust movement of teachers’ unions and allies demanding a well-resourced public school system.
Turnout of American voters overseas is historically low – but every vote counts.
Statistical models debunk claims by Trump and others that undocumented immigration into the U.S. increases crime, building on a litany of past research.
The presidential election outcome seems to be at least partially in dispute. Six scholars provide a history of contested elections in the US and explain what happens when the results are challenged.
Forget what the betting markets say. Research on past elections points to momentum carrying Joe Biden to a big victory over Donald Trump.
A large voter turnout among Muslim Americans may be enough to turn some of the swing states to the Democratic candidate in the 2020 election.
Despite the attention paid by the press when two Black hip-hop artists signaled their support for Donald Trump, they do not represent swelling enthusiasm for Trump from young, Black men.
The Republican political strategy that uses Christian language to cast Trump as a divinely appointed protector of an authoritarian Christian nation warrants more scrutiny than it’s received.
Trump launched his trade war to save American manufacturing. An economist explains why it hasn’t worked out as planned.
Trump made three anti-immigration pledges in 2016: ban Muslims, build a wall and enforce all immigration laws. Four years on, a migration scholar examines his record – and its effect on the country.
Experts explain five big threats to this year’s election, from Russian interference to voter intimidation at the polls – plus some tips to make sure every vote is counted.
The 2020 US election is a battle of two masculinities – one authoritarian, the other paternalistic.
In Florida and North Carolina, mail ballots cast by minority voters and Democrats are disproportionately likely to face rejection.
From laughter to funneled lips, the presidential candidates at their last debate signaled via expressions and non-verbal responses what they were feeling.
Explanations of how the US election system works, the history of how it got that way and what effects and significance those mechanisms have on the nation today.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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William Nelson Cromwell Professor of Jurisprudence and Political Science, Amherst College
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Associate Professor in American Politics and Foreign Policy, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
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Assistant lecturer, CY Cergy Paris Université
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Professor Emeritus of Communication, American University School of Communication
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Dennis Altman is a Friend of The Conversation.
VC Fellow, La Trobe University
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Professor in U.S. Politics and U.S. Foreign Relations at the United States Studies Centre and in the Discipline of Government and International Relations, University of Sydney
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Law Professor in Constitutional Law, Criminal Law, Election Law, University of Memphis
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Professor of Communication and Journalism, Texas A&M University
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Professor of Journalism, Indiana University
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Professor, School of Public Policy and Administration, York University, Canada
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Professor of Political Science, LaGrange College
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Professor in American Politics, The University of Melbourne
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Associate Professor of Political Science, Rochester Institute of Technology
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Director of Research, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
