The good news includes a return to real wage growth and a restrained increase in unemployment. The bad news includes even higher home prices and a per-capita recession.
Academic rigor, journalistic flair
Articles on Conversation Economic Survey
Displaying all articles
The Conversation’s 29-member panel expects very weak economic growth and recessions in much of the rest of the world, but there’s good news down the track for Australians’ buying power.
The panel believes Australia will avoid a recession the year ahead, but is much less certain about the United States. It expects real wages to go backwards and economic growth to sink.
The Conversation’s expert panel predicts prices will rise faster than Australians’ pay can keep up in 2022 – and that’s not their only concern about the local economy.
The Conversation’s panel expects weak economic growth, weak investment, even lower unemployment and two more years of ultra-low interest rates.
The Conversation’s panel expects a rate hike by the end of 2022.
Rather than being “one percentage point above trend” as the prime minister has promised, the economic recovery promises below trend growth and weak living standards in the view of The Conversation’s forecasting panel.
The Conversation’s 2020 economic survey points to a dismal year, with no progress on many of the key measures that matter for Australians and an increase in the unemployment rate.
The Conversation’s distinguished panel predicts unusually weak growth, dismal spending, no improvement in either unemployment or wage growth, and an increased chance of recession.
The Conversation has assembled a forecasting team of 19 academic economists from 12 universities across six states. Together, they assign a 25% probability to a recession within two years.
