History tells us that the stability of a country's security forces is key to the success or failure of a popular uprising.
The military coup may mark the end of Myanmar's short-lived and fragile democracy, but it is galvanising growing protest.
Myanmar's military is now using COVID restrictions as a way of getting protesters off the streets.
It is difficult to see how the military will benefit from another coup, since it already enjoyed immense political and economic influence under the previous power-sharing agreement.
Equipped with rights, knowledge and skills, the global Rohingya diaspora is poised to be influential against the genocidal regime that seeks to erase their people.