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Articles on Prediction models

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Your zodiac sign – like Sagittarius, the archer – might be in the stars, but your future isn’t. scaliger/iStock via Getty Images Plus

Why is astronomy a science but astrology is not?

Astrology and astronomy were once practiced side by side by scientists like Galileo and Kepler. And they’re more similar than you might think.
Around 12 million Americans take out payday loans to help them pay for monthly expenses. andriano_cz/iStock / Getty Images Plus via Getty Images

We tend to underestimate our future expenses – here’s one way to prevent that

Understanding why people underpredict expenses could help them budget more accurately – and even encourage them to save more money.
A black swan event must meet three criteria: it must be an outlier, must have a major impact and must be declared predictable in hindsight. (Buiobuione/Wikimedia)

Coronavirus is significant, but is it a true black swan event?

The danger of treating COVID-19 as an astronomically rare and improbable event is that we will treat it as such and fail to prepare for the next pandemic. And there will be another pandemic.
Chief Public Health Officer Theresa Tam and Deputy Chief Public Health Officer Howard Njoo are reflected in a computer screen showing data on Canada’s COVID-19 situation during a news conference in Ottawa, on April 13, 2020. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld

Predicting possible outcomes to coronavirus and other pandemics with models and simulations

Policy-makers at various levels of government rely on models and simulations to make predictions about controlling the spread of COVID-19.
This summer, coastal seas to the north and east of New Zealand are even warmer than during last year’s marine heat wave. from www.shutterstock.com

Coastal seas around New Zealand are heading into a marine heatwave, again

Marine heatwaves may become the new normal for the Tasman Sea and the ocean around New Zealand, and oceanographers are developing models to better predict their intensity.

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