The Conversation’s poll-watcher breaks down the party support trend since March – which has all been surging one way, despite some variation between pollsters.
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The landscape on the right of New Zealand politics is changing. If Christopher Luxon leads National to victory, his first test will be dealing with several potentially difficult coalition partners.
Both major parties are promising to increase payments for families ‘in work’. But the changes will only entrench the problems already faced by beneficiaries and the working poor.
The National Party’s tax package may be a middle-income vote winner, but it avoids the core problem of tax-free wealth. And how much the new system would cost to operate is far from clear.
Both major parties are promising major road projects this election. Meanwhile, the potential for passenger and freight rail to help meet the country’s climate goals seems stuck at the station.
The National Party’s transport policy risks locking the country into a car-dependent, high-carbon future.
A referendum on changing New Zealand’s parliamentary term to four years would be the third such exercise in under 60 years. Why would the outcome be any different this time?
Concern over bilingual road signs in New Zealand is as much political as it is about safety – but the international evidence suggests there’s little to worry about.
Jacinda Ardern is officially no longer an MP. But her novel leadership style probably saved the Labour Party from much longer in the political wilderness.
As she prepares to deliver of her valedictory statement to parliament, Jacinda Ardern will be remembered as an outstanding prime minister – though perhaps not for reasons of her own choosing.
The ‘back to basics’ debate over curriculum policy obscures what teachers say they really need: clear guidelines and benchmarks of progress.
The National Party’s new curriculum policy proposes reforms, when there are already several underway. What schools and teachers really need is more funding and less change.
Recent political polls in New Zealand and elsewhere have consistently failed to reflect eventual outcomes. Voters and pundits alike should avoid reading them too literally.
An outbreak of ‘Chris-mania’ seems unlikely, but maybe taking personality and heat out of the mix will benefit Labour in election year.
The 2023 general election is already shaping up as an MMP classic. Add the All Blacks’ World Cup fortunes to the mix and the only thing to expect is the unexpected.
As the government approaches the mid-term mark, is the protest in parliament grounds a PR boost for Jacinda Ardern or a sign of declining political consensus?
The National Party’s internal tensions have played out in a succession of leadership changes. Would the political right be better off formally divided, as it once was?
Once a broad political church, the National Party has become a house divided against itself. New leader Christopher Luxon faces huge challenges uniting both the party and its wider congregation.
New Zealand’s National MPs are set to elect their fifth leader in just four years to take on Jacinda Ardern’s government. What “habits of the unsuccessful” should they avoid in their next leader?
Representative democracies require functional governments but they also need strong oppositions. At the moment, New Zealand has one of these things but not the other.
Kontributor teratas
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Professor of Politics, Massey University
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Visiting Scholar in Politics, City, University of London
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Professor of Politics and Policy, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professor of Political Science, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Honorary Associate Professor, Economic Policy Centre, Auckland Business School, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Senior Lecturer, School of Management, Massey University
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Professor of Politics, University of Canterbury
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Associate professor, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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PhD Student, University of Otago
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Professional Learning and Development Facilitator in Literacy Education, Massey University
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Director, Wilf Malcolm Institute of Educational Research, University of Waikato
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Professor of Law, University of Waikato
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Senior Lecturer in Urban Planning, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Research Associate, Public Policy Institute, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
