Australia faces an unpredictable global outlook, rising interest rates and wages not keeping up with the cost of living.
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Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe is unrepentant about the prospect of further interest-rate rises. In fact, he says there’s a risk the bank is not doing enough.
The Reserve Bank of Australia tips economic growth to slow, inflation to remain high, spending to stagnate, unemployment to increase and real wages to fall further.
The Reserve Bank has signalled it will keep pushing up rates until it has reigned in inflation – even if this means weaker economic growth, with income per person barely growing for years to come.
The Conversation’s 29-member panel expects very weak economic growth and recessions in much of the rest of the world, but there’s good news down the track for Australians’ buying power.
While breaking with one “tradition”, an Indigenous motif on Australia’s $5 banknote will restore another.
Interest rates are almost certain to rise again in February, after the latest Consumer Price Index figures showing inflation hitting a record high of 7.8% in 2022.
The full effects of the eight consecutive increases in the Reserve Bank’s cash rate are yet to become apparent, and there are signs inflation is on the way down.
Lowe and the Reserve Bank are pushing up interest rates at almost the fastest pace on record to get the economy back in balance. It’s tough. But it has been done before – and here’s how it worked.
For homebuyers, there’s no interest rate relief in sight just yet. Here’s why.
At the right moment, Australia’s Reserve Bank would be wise to stop taking its lead from the US – holding interest rates here steady, even if they’re still rising overseas.
How could a central bank even make a loss, when its job is printing money? The answer is that during the COVID crisis it turned traditional investment advice on its head – and here’s why.
It costs just 20 cents to make a $2 coin, and 32 cents to make a $100 note, but eventually the money making is going to stop.
Rulers have used portraits on coinage to celebrate and reinforce their rule for centuries.
So far, we are not getting carried away about inflation.
Never, in the three decades the Reserve Bank has been targeting inflation, has it been tested by prices rising in unison like this.
The review will examine the bank’s Act, its inflation target, its management and recruitment process and the composition of its board.
The Reserve Bank of Australia has delivered a ‘double-whammy’ interest rate rise, with up to five more to come in 2022.
Dark warnings about rising labour costs ignore the importance of profits in driving higher prices.
Looking back at the Reserve Bank’s performance in setting interest rates over the past generation, we’d grade it an A for earlier years – but a fail for the years just before the pandemic. Here’s why.
Kontributor teratas
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Visiting Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
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Professor of Economics, UNSW Sydney
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Senior Lecturer, Canberra School of Politics, Economics and Society, University of Canberra
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Lecturer in Economics, Monash University
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Professor, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick
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Senior Lecturer, Research School of Economics, and Research Associate, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Australian National University
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Visiting Fellow, Macquarie University Applied Finance Centre, Macquarie University
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Associate Professor, School of Economics, University of Sydney
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Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow, University of Tasmania
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Professor of Economics and Finance, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, University of Tasmania
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Professor of Institutional Economics, RMIT University
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Higher Education Consultant, Monash University
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Economist and Director, Centre for Future Work, Australia Institute; Honorary Professor of Political Economy, University of Sydney
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Honorary Professor of Economics, UCL
