Mathematically speaking, the Electoral College is built to virtually ensure narrow victories, making it very susceptible to manipulation and disinformation.
Academic rigour, journalistic flair
Articles on 2020 US elections
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Electors may not vote their consciences, which means the Electoral College will continue to operate how most Americans think it does.
In general, a candidate’s choice for second-in-command doesn’t directly swing voters. But it can reveal insights into who the candidate really is and how they might operate once in office.
Morrison’s approval rating was at 68% in the latest Newspoll, while 27% of respondents were dissatisfied. His soaring popularity, though, hasn’t boosted the Coalition as much as would be expected.
While the polls look bad for the president, there is a long way to go between now and the November election.
Donald Trump uses language like a dangerous demagogue. The author of a book on Trump’s rhetorical skill gives a guide to the six most important rhetorical strategies Trump uses.
Psychologists have identified the characteristics of ‘moral rebels’ who make the tough choice to stand up for their principles in the face of negative consequences.
Many Americans are surprised to learn that Electoral College members do not necessarily have to pick the candidate their state’s voters favored. Or do they?
Scott Morrison’s popularity has bounced during the coronavirus pandemic, but that is still not translating to two-party preferred results. Meanwhile, Joe Biden pulls ahead in the US election race.
South Africa should use its remaining AGOA window to find other export markets and retool its economy - as US economic attitude towards Africa hardens.
Trump’s critics have assailed his handling of both coronavirus and the Minneapolis unrest. His election opponent, Joe Biden, though, has yet to show he can be the more effective leader, either.
When other posts have presented misinformation, the company simply removed the tweets, but Trump is being treated differently.
A long-time campaigner for the White House, and a vice president to Obama, Biden now faces a great challenge: choose the right running mate, and defeat Donald Trump in November.
The prime minister’s approval ratings and the two-party preferred vote come closer to alignment, while Donald Trump still faces an uphill battle in November if economic doldrums continue.
Donald Trump’s ‘rally round the flag’ effect was fleeting, and is unlikely to re-emerge.
To many, the idea that states might cancel or postpone their primary elections as a response to the COVID-19 epidemic sounds undemocratic. What’s the political effect of these postponements?
For many years, political operatives have been perfecting their use of the internet’s vast array of social media platforms, websites and digital tools.
Vice presidential picks don’t have much direct effect on campaigns, but can give voters insight on a candidate’s judgment and leadership ability. Early Cabinet selections are likely to be similar.
An “outlier” poll suggests most people approve of the government’s handling of the coronavirus crisis, but remain distrustful of the government’s performance more broadly.
An analysis of the expressions used by Donald Trump to designate Covid-19 sheds light on his political calculations and on the evolution of his relationship with China in recent weeks.
Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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William Nelson Cromwell Professor of Jurisprudence and Political Science, Amherst College
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Associate Professor in American Politics and Foreign Policy, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
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Assistant lecturer, CY Cergy Paris Université
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Professor Emeritus of Communication, American University School of Communication
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Dennis Altman is a Friend of The Conversation.
VC Fellow, La Trobe University
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Professor in U.S. Politics and U.S. Foreign Relations at the United States Studies Centre and in the Discipline of Government and International Relations, University of Sydney
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Law Professor in Constitutional Law, Criminal Law, Election Law, University of Memphis
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Professor of Communication and Journalism, Texas A&M University
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Professor of Journalism, Indiana University
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Professor, School of Public Policy and Administration, York University, Canada
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Professor of Political Science, LaGrange College
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Professor in American Politics, The University of Melbourne
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Associate Professor of Political Science, Rochester Institute of Technology
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Director of Research, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
