The problem with the plan to relax restrictions at 70% and 80% vaccination rates is it’s based on modelling that’s now obsolete.
Academic rigor, journalistic flair
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The national plan is not set in stone. States will make their own decisions about complying with it - including on border closures.
It’s simply not “safe” for many Australians to come out of Scott Morrison’s proverbial cave until vaccination rates increase.
Governments cannot keep making unrealistic promises about easing restrictions at 70% and 80% adult vaccination, a plan that relied on optimistic scenarios in the first place.
20-39 year olds are ‘peak spreaders’. If we vaccinate them, it reduces the risk for all of us.
Politics with Michelle Grattan: Jodie McVernon on Melbourne’s modelling, a Covid vaccine, and the role of experts in a crisis
Michelle Grattan discusses the latest in coronavirus developments with Professor Jodie McVernon
Top contributors
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Professor, School of Economics, The University of Queensland
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Professor emerita, University of Sydney
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Honorary Enterprise Professor, School of Population and Global Health, and Department of General Practice and Primary Care, The University of Melbourne
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Professor of Disability and Health, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne
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Professor, Public Service Research, UNSW Sydney
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Professor of Economics, UNSW Sydney
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Visiting Fellow, Tax and Transfer Policy Institute, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
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Senior Associate, Grattan Institute
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Chair in Epidemiology, Deakin University
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Professor and Head of Melbourne School of Population & Global Health, The University of Melbourne
