Things will continue to look good enough for long enough to help the government fight the election. Beyond that, the Conversation Economic Panel is worried.
Wes Mountain/The Conversation
Peter Martin, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University
The Conversation has assembled a forecasting team of 19 academic economists from 12 universities across six states. Together, they assign a 25% probability to a recession within two years.
Wall Street traders aren’t the only ones who rely on government economic data.
AP Photo/Richard Drew
Warren Sanderson, Stony Brook University (The State University of New York); Sergei Scherbov, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), and Simone Ghislandi, Bocconi University
Most researchers use the UN’s Human Development Index to measure each country’s progress, but that system has flaws. A new, simplified index aims to do it better.
School children at Nunawading Christian College in Melbourne. What if rural students were educated as well?
Julian Smith/AAP
Wednesday’s national accounts were good, perhaps as good as they’ll get.
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks on the television shortly after the opening bell.
REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
The construction sector works on a bit of a time lag. So there are a bunch of projects underway that were premised on the loose credit of recent years.
South Africa will be well advised to start preparing itself for an International Monetary Fund programme as the country faces a deepening economic crisis.
Academics put Hammond in the spotlight.
EPA-EFE/ANDY RAIN
The problem with Africa’s model of industrial growth is that it privileges the formal at the expense of the informal and big corporations at the expense of small businesses.
Most Puerto Ricans are still in the dark, as is the mainland about the recent hurricanes’ economic impact.
Reuteres/Alvin Baez
South Africa waits with bated breath for the 2017 medium term budget policy statement from new Finance Minister Malusi Gigaba, as it might reveal key signals of where economic policy is headed.