The Russian president has been severely wounded by this open show of defiance. It remains to be seen whether Ukraine can take advantage of this weakness.
Perhaps the gravest concern for Putin: having for years encouraged the Kremlin’s powerful elites to compete for his favour, he’s now given them a powerful reason to unite against him.
The African Union (AU) and responsible African governments are likely to grow to resent the Wagner Group’s presence and regret their failure to oppose it.
If Vladimir Putin can shift blame for a failed war in Ukraine onto Wagner Group forces as they engage in an armed rebellion on Russian territory, it could provide him an escape hatch from Ukraine.
The infighting is dangerous for the Kremlin. It’s becoming harder for Vladimir Putin to dissociate himself from serious errors of judgement on the battlefield in Ukraine.
Bakhmut initially appeared to be a Ukrainian strategic victory as it depleted Russian armed forces. But that looming victory risks becoming a major defeat. Here’s how Russia has outplayed Ukraine.
The Battle of Bakhmut embodies Russia’s ill-planned war in Ukraine. Even if it succeeds in taking the city, the divisions it’s created within its armed forces will erode Russia’s ultimate aims.