Our new analysis shows Indigenous voters could play a decisive role in 15 marginal seats – including key battlegrounds in urban and regional Queensland, as well as NSW, WA and Tasmania.
Rigor académico, oficio periodístico
Artículos sobre Marginal seats
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Labor needs substantially more than 50% of the two-party preferred vote – 51.8% according to the pendulum – to win the majority of seats, 76. This equates to a swing of 3.3 percentage points.
Elections are won and lost in marginal seats - in 2022, there are several key ones to watch.
Despite Morrison saying how much he respected the “professionalism”, “expertise” and “skills” of the public service, his remarks won’t be lost on federal bureaucrats.
Sitting MPs toppling right, left and centre? Not necessarily. The connection between the safeness of a seat and the chances it will change hands is much looser than we might expect.
How did the numbers of election 2019 fall across the country? And what seats are still in play?
How did the numbers of election 2016 fall across the country? And what seats are still in play?
The Labor Party has been driving a campaign bus from Cairns to Canberra. On Sunday night Sam Dastyari told supporters they had raised enough money to extend its journey through to Melbourne.
It is a shocking truth that, for the most part, the politicians are leaving their humanity at home as they debate the future of the men on Manus Island.
It has been reported that former Liberal Democrat peer Matthew Oakeshott has donated £600,000 to left-leaning parliamentary hopefuls in the quest to stave off a Conservative victory in the election. Oakeshott…
If the polls are accurate and Labor is almost at level pegging with the Coalition, it would seem we are in for a repeat of the very close election of 2010. But for various reasons this is not necessarily…
Principales colaboradores
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Research Fellow, Centre for Aboriginal Economic Policy Research, Australian National University
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Research Associate, Cardiff University
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Professor of Politics, University of Essex
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Research Fellow, Monash University
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Dennis Altman es Amigo de The Conversation.
VC Fellow, La Trobe University
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Emeritus Professor of Politics and International Relations, Macquarie University
