Approval ratings are usually a good way to predict the winner of the next presidential election. But Trump’s numbers fall far outside any historical trends.
The polls have likely been off for some time- one reason the result on election day was widely unexpected.
AAP/Glenn Hunt
While polls have been patchy for some years, analysis shows they have been particularly out of whack since Morrison became prime minister.
Assessing the national mood has become much more difficult, but the media have continued reporting them as though nothing has changed.
Wes Mountain/The Conversation
This election showed that Australia is stuck with an increasingly polarised media, a highly concentrated media ownership landscape and no apparent way to do anything about it.
The election campaign is finally coming to an end, with Australians to head to the polls tomorrow.
AAP/Bianca de Marchi/Tracey Nearmy
Hispanics oppose Trump’s immigration policies in larger numbers than the rest of the population. But their opinions are divided sharply across partisan lines.
This Newspoll has the narrowest Labor lead since Scott Morrison replaced Malcolm Turnbull.
Joel Carrett/AAP
While the budget appealed to the Coalition’s perceived strength on overall economic management, wage growth and climate change are likely to be important during the election campaign.
The latest Ipsos poll has the gap between Labor and the Coalition narrowing to 51-49, but it may be an outlier.
AAP/James Ross/Grant Wells
A Queensland Galaxy poll taken at the same time shows a healthier lead for Labor - but more polls are needed to determine any trends in voting ahead of the federal election.
While Scott Morrison remains preferred PM, Labor maintains an election-winning two-party preferred lead in the latest Newspoll.
AAP/Ellen Smith
Polls suggest that the majority of Americans think climate change is real, is caused by humans and needs to be addressed. But climate change isn’t a priority when Americans go to vote.
Scott Morrison’s ratings have been better than we would expect given voting intentions, as voters gave him a personal “honeymoon”.
AAP/Darren England
The latest Fairfax-Ipsos and Essential polls give a strong lead to Labor, with some interesting – and variable - detail on the attributes voters see in the leaders of the two major parties.
Democrat Beto O'Rourke lost in Texas, but many expect to see him return in the 2020 presidential race.
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The Democrats are currently about 57% to 43% favourites over the Republicans to win the presidency – if you trust the markets.
Prime Minister Scott Morrison concedes the Liberals lost the byelection in Wentworth on Saturday night- but postal votes have added uncertainty to the outcome.
AAP/Dan Himbrechts
After election night reports of a thumping win in by independent Kerryn Phelps, the Liberals have recovered significantly in postal votes - so much so, the result is now uncertain.A
Many pollsters have been asked to explain why they didn’t better predict the 2016 election.
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Fairfax Ipsos gives Labor another win on two-party preferred, albeit with weird primary vote numbers, while the Labor party in Victoria has another poll win just over two months ahead of the state election.
The latest polls show Morrison is relatively popular, but the Coalition is trailing Labor badly on two-party preferred.
AAP/Mick Tsikas
Another poor showing in the polls for the government, with analysis showing the Coalition most likely to lose support at the next election among the well-educated, the young and in Victoria.
Professor of Economics and Finance. Director of the Betting Research Unit and the Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University