Labor needs substantially more than 50% of the two-party preferred vote – 51.8% according to the pendulum – to win the majority of seats, 76. This equates to a swing of 3.3 percentage points.
The opposition has increased its winning margins in both Newspoll and the Australian Financial Review’s Ipsos poll, as Morrison and Albanese clashed in a shouty, fractious debate on Sunday night
The polls continue to show Labor in an election winning position - but the Coalition will take some heart from the rise in Scott Morrison’s approval rating.
Labor’s confidence will be boosted by two polls showing it holding a strong lead, as Anthony Albanese carried off a well orchestrated party launch on Sunday.
While the latest polls show the Coalition struggling to gain ground on Labor in two-party preferred terms, Scott Morrison maintains his lead as preferred prime minister.
An error-riddled first week of the campaign saw the Labor leader’s personal stocks fall, but Labor maintains and election-winning lead over the Coalition.
Labor has clung to its 53-47% two-party lead in the latest Newspoll, but Anthony Albanese’s ratings have taken a knock after his error-prone first week of the campaign.
Post-budget polls show a small gain for the Coalition on two-party preferred figures, but still point to a Labor victory is replicated on election day.
Labor’s two-party lead has been cut back slightly, to 54-46%, and its primary vote has fallen in the post-budget Newspoll. But Anthony Albanese would have a strong win if the latest poll were reproduced at the election.
University of Canberra Professorial Fellow Michelle Grattan and Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for Change Governance Dr Lain Dare discuss the week in politics.
Polls this week were once again music to Labor ears. Newspoll showed the opposition maintaining its strong election-winning margin. A poll in selected Western Australian seats had the Morrison government on the nose.
With two months until a federal election, Labor maintains a big lead in the latest Newspoll, with the opposition leader gaining ground as preferred prime minister.
Anthony Albanese is now level with Scott Morrison as “better prime minister” for the first time in more than two years in Newspoll, as Labor retains its 55-45% two-party lead.
Labor has maintained a 55-45% two-party lead in a Newspoll that also sees Anthony Albanese registering good personal ratings, against a background that has elevated national security issues.
Scott Morrison will continue to tip out large dollops of money when he addresses the National Press Club on Tuesday, with his theme “building national resilience”.
Latest polling shows a dramatic slump in voters’ views of the Morrison government, and with an election likely in May, the question now is whether that will change in the coming months.