Drought in Europe, dwindling Arctic sea ice, a slow start to the Indian monsoon – unusually hot ocean temperatures can disrupt climate patterns around the world, as an ocean scientist explains.
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Articles on El Nino
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Over the past three years, Earth’s climate system has accumulated an average of 11 Hiroshima bombs’ worth of excess energy per second. And it’s showing in the current surge in ocean temperature.
2016 was the world’s warmest year on record, due in part to a very strong El Niño event. But 2023 (and 2024) could beat that record – what should we expect?
The official forecast calls for a strong El Niño by winter, but other models suggest it might dip in and out. An atmospheric scientist explains.
The likely El Niño is bad timing for the electricity sector, and means Australians may face supply disruptions and volatile prices.
The scale of climate threat is beyond the tools we have to manage the Great Barrier Reef. New measures and sustained effort are needed.
Current forecasts suggest a warm tropical Pacific will be interfering with what could otherwise be a ferocious Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño years put Hawaii and the Mexican Riviera on alert for destructive tropical storms and hurricanes.
The research help us understand how El Niño and La Niña will change as the world warms in the future.
There’s a 98% chance of a record hot year by 2028, and a 66% chance of exceeding the 1.5°C threshold for at least that year, according to the latest World Meteorological Organization update.
Where there’s fire, there’s smoke – could plumes from the Black Summer of fire have cooled regions of the Pacific and triggered a La Niña? New research suggests it’s possible.
El Niño can trigger intense and widespread periods of extreme ocean warming known as marine heat waves. They can devastate marine life.
Not all La Niñas are wet, nor El Niños dry – especially if you live in Sydney. So here’s how to interpret what an El Niño forecast means for you.
After three long years of rainy weather, La Niña is over. But that doesn’t mean El Niño is a certainty. Here’s why.
The Pacific Ocean climate pattern is the opposite of El Niño.
Not all El Niño events lead to drought in Australia. Other factors are involved and it will take some time for drought to develop now catchments are wet and most dams are full.
We can now monitor coastal changes across thousands of beaches over the last 40 years, from Australia, New Zealand and Japan, to Chile, Peru, Mexico and California. Here’s what our new tool uncovered.
From bushfires in Australia to insect-borne disease outbreaks in Colombia.
The latest Bureau of Meteorology forecast offers relief from record rain and floods brought about by La Niña. A longer-term outlook for El Niño is still up in the air – but its arrival would be disastrous.
Globally, the air is getting hotter and drier, which means flash droughts and risky fire conditions are developing faster and more frequently.
Top contributors
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Senior Lecturer in Climate Science, The University of Melbourne
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Head of Operational Climate Services, Australian Bureau of Meteorology
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Senior Climatologist, Australian Bureau of Meteorology
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Senior Research Associate, UNSW Sydney
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Chief Research Scientist, Oceans and Atmosphere, CSIRO, CSIRO
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Climate scientist, Australian Bureau of Meteorology
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Lecturer, The University of Melbourne
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Climate Scientist, Australian Bureau of Meteorology
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Principal Research Scientist, CSIRO
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Distinguished Scholar, NCAR; Affiliate Faculty, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Scientia Professor and Deputy Director of the ARC Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science (ACEAS), UNSW Sydney
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Associate Professor – Hydroclimatology, University of Newcastle
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Chief Investigator on the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes; ARC Future Fellow, UNSW Sydney
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Associate Professor in Physics, James Cook University
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Climate Scientist, Australian Bureau of Meteorology
