Normally stock markets tell us a lot about the economy. In 2020 that's no longer the case.
Shutting down the stock market would be like closing our eyes and shooting the messenger.
The Conversation's 2020 economic survey points to a dismal year, with no progress on many of the key measures that matter for Australians and an increase in the unemployment rate.
The Conversation has assembled a forecasting team of 19 academic economists from 12 universities across six states. Together, they assign a 25% probability to a recession within two years.