Recent protests in Tehran's Grand Bazaar are part of a long reform movement, not a new revolution.
The Iranian government reacted to a nationwide truck drivers' strike with unprecedented restraint, apparently fearful a crackdown might provoke a Trump intervention.
It largely depends on whether Europe will decide to ignore (and pay the price for) US sanctions.
Although the unrest that shocked Iran's ruling elite appears to be over, there are several reasons to think this won't be the last time disaffected citizens take to the streets.
Rouhani's conservative rivals are exploiting growing pessimism about the economy, increasing the odds that someone more hostile to the West might become Iran's next president.