Democrat Beto O'Rourke lost in Texas, but many expect to see him return in the 2020 presidential race.
The Democrats are currently about 57% to 43% favourites over the Republicans to win the presidency – if you trust the markets.
Prime Minister Scott Morrison concedes the Liberals lost the byelection in Wentworth on Saturday night- but postal votes have added uncertainty to the outcome.
After election night reports of a thumping win in by independent Kerryn Phelps, the Liberals have recovered significantly in postal votes - so much so, the result is now uncertain.A
Many pollsters have been asked to explain why they didn’t better predict the 2016 election.
When political polls are aggregated together, that can make the results misleading.
A Michigan township collects votes in 2016.
How do you know whether to trust a poll? Look carefully at how it was conducted – and examine your own biases.
The latest Fairfax Ipsos poll gives Labor a 53-47 lead, a two-point gain for the Coalition since mid-August.
Fairfax Ipsos gives Labor another win on two-party preferred, albeit with weird primary vote numbers, while the Labor party in Victoria has another poll win just over two months ahead of the state election.
The latest polls show Morrison is relatively popular, but the Coalition is trailing Labor badly on two-party preferred.
Another poor showing in the polls for the government, with analysis showing the Coalition most likely to lose support at the next election among the well-educated, the young and in Victoria.
The latest Fairfax Ipsos poll has brought bad news for Malcolm Turnbul - and good news for Bill Shorten.
The latest polls show the government's internal divisions are taking their toll- and some of its members are seriously out of step with the general public on energy policy.
In this week’s Newspoll, 36% (down six) were satisfied with Turnbull’s performance, while 55% (up seven) were dissatisfied.
While the two-party preferred polling remains steady, the prime minister has taken a tumble in his personal approval ratings.
If the economy does not perform well, Trump’s ratings are likely to suffer a large drop.
As the US president brags about his approval ratings, an analysis of the poll numbers shows the upcoming mid-terms to be very tight races.
Labor’s strong showing in its seats and the Liberals’ generally poor performance will be a huge fillip to Bill Shorten.
Despite reports Labor might struggle in Braddon and Longman, the byelections delivered a comfortable win in Braddon and a strong one in Longman.
The Centre Alliance’s Rebeka Sharkie looks to be a strong contestant in Mayo’s by-election.
With the contest for the five 'Super Saturday' byelections heating up, Longman hangs in the balance, while Rebekha Sharkie has a solid lead in Mayo.
Bill Shorten and the ALP will need to work hard to win July byelections in Longman and Braddon.
ReachTEL polls show Labor is behind in key byelections, but Essential has better news for Bill Shorten.
The survey results are in, but do they say anything meaningful?
We are often presented with surveys that claim to show how we all think on a certain subject. But how many people do you need to ask for that finding to have have any convincing meaning?
Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has notched up his 33rd consecutive twp party preferred Newspoll loss as leader.
Labor still holds a narrow two-party preferred lead over the Coalition, while polling takes a skewed turn.
While this is Malcolm Turnbull’s 32nd consecutive Newspoll loss as PM, the past two have been narrow losses.
Polls also have good news for the government, with the two-party preferred gap narrowing and the budget well-received.
Labor’s primary vote was up three points in the Fairfax-ipsos poll. The Coalition’s was unchanged.
LUKAS COCH/AAP Image
Labor continues to hold a 51-49% two-party lead in the wake of last week's budget.
Labor MP Tim Hammond’s resignation has triggered a byelection in Perth, which Labor looks likely to hold.
AAP/Rebecca Le May
Labor holds its two-party preferred lead over the Coalition, but recent momentum has been with the incumbent government.
A big difference between the losing streaks of Malcolm Turnbull and former PM Tony Abbott is that Abbott often trailed Shorten as better PM, while Turnbull has always led Shorten.
Despite the government's 30th Newspoll loss under Malcolm Turnbull, this week's polls have been a mixed bag for both sides.
The results of next week’s Newspoll will be eagerly awaited on both sides of the House.
The Coalition braces for the next Newspoll, while a redistribution gives Labor reason to smile, and the Batman byelection results are finalised.
Adult-film actress Stephanie Clifford, also known as Stormy Daniels, poses for pictures at the end of a show at Gossip, a gentlemen’s club in Long Island, New York.
When it comes to political scandals, context is king.