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Articles sur Polls

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Legendary New York City columnist Jimmy Breslin, right, ready to do shoe-leather journalistic research in a bar, said preelection polls were “monstrous frauds.” Michael Brennan/Getty Images

When noted journalists bashed political polls as nothing more than ‘a fragmentary snapshot’ of a moment in time

There was a time when well-known journalists resented preelection polls and didn’t mind saying so. One even said he felt “secret glee and relief when the polls go wrong.” Why did they feel this way?
42% of media coverage of the 2016 election focused on the horserace. Photobank Gallery/Shutterstock.com

Americans are drowning in a sea of polls

Polls have become an essential component of the news coverage of presidential campaigns. That may affect who voters decide to back on an election day.
President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally on Jan. 28 in Wildwood, New Jersey. AP Photo/Mel Evans

Trump supporters have little trust in societal institutions

In a survey, Trump supporters showed the lowest faith in the Supreme Court, the federal government, the media and other pillars of society.
The identity that people choose most often is actually ‘independent’ – not Democratic or Republican. Victor Moussa/Shutterstock.com

Don’t be fooled – most independents are partisans too

The true number of people who do not favor either of the two major political parties in the US has actually remained stable in recent years.
Senator Huey Long at the Capitol in 1935. Everett Historical/Shutterstock.com

The secret origins of presidential polling

The very first scientific horse race poll, which took place 85 years ago, was shrouded in secrecy and may have changed history – even though it was faulty.
Women’s perceptions of ‘gender linked fate’ were contingent on two dimensions: their race and their marital status. Shutterstock

Why white married women are more likely to vote for conservative parties

Women are swinging elections in the US and Australia in ways analysts have struggled to predict. Two recent studies can help explain.
Online discussion doesn’t always accurately reflect the real political landscape. Russ Vance/Shutterstock.com

4 reasons why social media election data can misread public opinion

Political campaigns and journalists often turn to social media to see how voters feel about an election. But the numbers they see there may not accurately reflect the electorate's views.

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