With polling day on Saturday, the incumbent Labor government is facing an uphill battle to stay in power, but neither major party is acknowledging the elephant in the room.
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Articles sur Polls
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An expected low turnout could threaten Labour’s poll lead.
While Labor still holds a two-party-preferred lead over the Coalition, Peter Dutton has moved ahead as preferred PM for the first time.
Does a poll lead increase your poll lead? The science of bandwagon effects explained.
His key opponent is an incendiary character in a world of legal trouble. So why isn’t Joe Biden in a better position to win the 2024 presidential race than he seems to be?
The slumping polls show how damaging the heavy defeat of the Voice referendum and continuing cost of living pressures have been to the prime minister and Labor.
Data gleaned from even early polls reveals critical clues on how voters view candidates and issues.
Our election analyst lays out the current projections across the nation.
With less than a week to go until the Voice referendum, the polls are looking grim for the “yes” campaign.
The prime minister’s approval ratings have turned around from the last Newspoll - but the “yes” campaign for the Voice referendum continues to struggle.
The United States has a two-party political system because of single-winner plurality voting.
Even with a handful of seats still in doubt, Chris Minns’ Labor Party is on track for majority government.
The final NSW election polls vary on the predicted outcome, but they all point to a Labor win.
Latest polling shows some of the gloss coming off federal Labor and Anthony Albanese - but they are still well ahead of the opposition.
The first Newspoll to ask about the Indigenous Voice to Parliament also found 56-37 in favour.
In covering the final days of the Victorian election, mainstream media fell victim to wanting the most dramatic outcome – no matter how weak the evidence for it may have been.
As election day arrives in Victoria, two late polls predict a return of the Andrews Labor government.
Lots has been said about the 2022 US midterm elections. But a scholar of democracy says there’s really only one conclusion that can be made about how voters behaved.
Polling for the 2022 midterms was more accurate than the dramatically wrong predictions of 2016 and 2020, leading one pollster to boast, ‘The death of polling has been greatly exaggerated.’
Latest polls show a narrowing lead for the ALP in the Victorian election, while the upper house voting system continues to attract criticism.
Les contributeurs les plus fréquents
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professor of Economics and Finance. Director of the Betting Research Unit and the Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University
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Professor of Politics, University of Strathclyde and Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Social Research
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Research Professor at the Center for Political Studies, University of Michigan
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Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
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Senior Lecturer, School of Political and Social Inquiry, Monash University
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Professor of Sociology, University of California, Irvine
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PhD Candidate, The University of Western Australia
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Senior Project Manager, Murdoch University
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Professor of Geography, University of Bristol
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Senior Lecturer in Quantitative Social Science and Director of the Sheffield Q-Step Centre (The University of Sheffield); Statistical Ambassador (Royal Statistical Society), University of Sheffield
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Adjunct Research Fellow; Journalist, University of Notre Dame Australia
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Associate Professor in American Politics and Foreign Policy, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
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Professor of Political Science, LaGrange College
