The coalition is increasingly using parliamentary urgency, cutting the public service and fast-tracking legislation – all of which risks upsetting the equilibrium between government and the governed.
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Artículos sobre MMP
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The country’s first formal three-party coalition will test Christopher Luxon’s promise of ‘strong and stable’ government – and the minor parties’ patience if things don’t go their way.
National and ACT will need to get past their animosity towards NZ First, and its mercurial leader Winston Peters, if the right wing coalition is to have any hope of forming a government.
Ahead of Friday’s final election results, the most likely outcome is National and ACT will need to add NZ First to form a right-wing coalition government. These are the results and seats to watch.
The final outcome of the general election may not be known for two weeks. But one thing is clear: the country has resoundingly rejected the government that led it through the pandemic.
With final results awaiting the inclusion of special votes, the shape of New Zealand’s next parliament hangs in the balance. Here are the variables in play.
New Zealand has swung decisively back to the right at the 2023 general election. With official results pending, it seems National and ACT can still form a government without the help of NZ First.
With two days of the campaign left, what had earlier seemed like a relatively predictable election has narrowed considerably, with several variables potentially influencing the outcome.
The final days of the campaign have seen both major parties warn of instability if the other wins. But behind the jockeying for power, other forces are shaping the future of New Zealand politics.
New Zealand’s proportional electoral system makes coalition governments all but inevitable. Ahead of the October 14 election, the jockeying for power is all on the right.
The Conversation’s poll-watcher breaks down the party support trend since March – which has all been surging one way, despite some variation between pollsters.
A referendum on changing New Zealand’s parliamentary term to four years would be the third such exercise in under 60 years. Why would the outcome be any different this time?
The cost of living is important. But there are even bigger problems rumbling beneath the surface of New Zealand politics that the MMP electoral system may be ill-suited to deal with.
It was the first time in a Westminster democracy that citizens were given the chance to change their electoral system. The rest is history.
The National Party’s internal tensions have played out in a succession of leadership changes. Would the political right be better off formally divided, as it once was?
Germany’s imminent election may seem far away, but in an inter-connected world threatened by political and climate instability, the outcome will affect New Zealand in significant ways.
In a major essay, senior Australian political correspondent Laura Tingle suggests her country could still learn from the New Zealand ‘experiment’.
The new cabinet may be diverse and inclusive, but Labour also has unprecedented executive and legislative control.
If the pattern on election night holds, 2020 will be the most dramatic election in 100 years in terms of votes shifting between major parties.
The people have spoken, and MMP has delivered the right result — even if it means Labour governs alone.
Principales colaboradores
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Professor of Politics, Massey University
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professor of Political Science, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Visiting Scholar in Politics, City, University of London
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Professor, Political Science and International Relations, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
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Professor of Politics and Policy, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
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Professor of Politics, University of Canterbury
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Adjunct Professor, Faculty of Health and Environmental Sciences, Auckland University of Technology, and Professor of Political Science, Charles Sturt University
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Professor of Political Science, University of Guelph
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Senior Lecturer in Social Sciences and Public Policy, Auckland University of Technology
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Senior Lecturer, National Centre for Research on Europe, University of Canterbury
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Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Research on Europe, University of Canterbury
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PhD Student, University of Otago
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Senior Lecturer in Politics, University of Canterbury
