Making sense of the polls
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The WA state election will be held in two months on 11 March. A ReachTEL poll, conducted Thursday night from a sample of 1530, has Labor leading 52-48, unchanged since October. However, One Nation has…
At the US election held on 8 November 2016, Donald Trump won the Electoral College by 306 Electoral Votes (EVs), to 232 EVs for Hillary Clinton. While this seems a convincing victory, Trump won four states…
This week’s Newspoll, conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1630, has Labor leading by 52-48, but this is a one point gain for the Coalition. Primary votes are 39% for the Coalition (up 1), 36…
The first Ipsos phone poll conducted since the election has primary votes of Coalition 36% (down 6 since the election). Labor 30% (down 5) and Greens 16% (up 6). Labor leads by 51-49 after preferences…
This week’s Newspoll, conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1850, has Labor leading by an unchanged 53-47, from primary votes of 38% Coalition (down 1), 38% Labor (steady) and 10% Greens (steady…
Tuesday’s Newspoll, conducted 3-6 November from a sample of 1850, had Labor leading 53-47, a one point gain for Labor. Primary votes were 39% for the Coalition (steady), 38% for Labor (up 1) and 10% for…
A small sample Morgan phone poll of 552, conducted 24-26 October, has Julie Bishop leading Malcolm Turnbull as preferred Coalition leader. Bishop has 34% (up 10 since May), to 25% for Turnbull (down 16…
The Western Australian election will be held on 11 March 2017. A ReachTEL poll, conducted Thursday night from a sample of 1790, has Labor leading by 52-48, a 1 point gain for Labor since mid-September…
This week’s Newspoll, conducted from last Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1670, had Labor retaining a 52-48 lead from primary votes of 39% Coalition (steady), 37% Labor (up 1) and 10% Greens (steady…
With 78% of enrolled votes counted in yesterday’s ACT election, Labor has won 11 of the 25 seats, to 10 Liberals and 1 Green, with 3 still in doubt. One of the doubtful seats is a contest between Labor…