Making sense of the polls
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The table below gives the Senate breakdown for each state and territory. 12 Senators were elected for each state, and 2 for each territory, for a total of 76 Senators. The table also gives the percent…
Today and yesterday, the button to distribute preferences was pressed in Victoria, Queensland and NSW. In Victoria, 5 Coalition, 4 Labor, 2 Greens and 1 Derryn Hinch were elected, as expected. In Queensland…
In SA, final Senate primary votes gave the Liberals 4.24 quotas, Labor 3.55, the Nick Xenophon Team (NXT) 2.83, the Greens 0.76, One Nation 0.39 and Family First 0.37. 4 Liberals, 3 Labor, 3 NXT and 1…
Today, the “Button” was pressed to distribute preferences for the WA Senate. 5 Liberals, 4 Labor, 2 Greens and 1 One Nation were elected. The WA and Tasmanian Senate results mean it is likely that Labor…
Today the “Button” was pressed to distribute preferences for the Tasmanian Senate. On final primary votes, Labor had 4.37 quotas, the Liberals 4.23, the Greens 1.45, Jacqui Lambie 1.08 and One Nation 0.33…
On current Senate results, the Coalition can expect to win 32 of 76 seats at most, which would be a one seat loss from the pre-election Senate. Although 32 Coalition seats are possible, the most likely…
Defying expectations of a solid Remain victory, the UK has voted to Leave the European Union by about a 52-48 margin. Remain won easily in Scotland, London and some other big cities, but otherwise Leave…
Hillary Clinton today clinched the Democratic Presidential nomination, following big wins in the two highest population states voting. She won New Jersey (126 pledged delegates) 63-37 and California (475…
The Western Australian election will be held in early 2017. A WA Newspoll, conducted March to May from a sample of 1140, gives Labor an emphatic 54-46 lead, a 1 point gain for Labor since the October to…
Elections were held in the UK last Thursday. At stake were the Scottish and Welsh assemblies, the Mayoralty of London and control of 124 English councils. Labour’s Sadiq Khan is the new Mayor of London…